{"id":6912,"date":"2018-05-10T18:06:54","date_gmt":"2018-05-10T10:06:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2018\/05\/10\/morris-chang-trade-war\/"},"modified":"2018-05-10T18:06:54","modified_gmt":"2018-05-10T10:06:54","slug":"morris-chang-trade-war","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2018\/05\/10\/morris-chang-trade-war\/","title":{"rendered":"\u300c\u9019\u662f\u4e00\u9805\u65b0\u6311\u6230\uff0c\u6211\u904e\u53bb\u4e0d\u66fe\u9762\u81e8\u904e\u300d\u5f35\u5fe0\u8b00\u8ac7\u7f8e\u4e2d\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u5982\u4f55\u5f71\u97ff\u53f0\u7a4d\u96fb"},"content":{"rendered":"<blockquote><p>\u3010\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6211\u5011\u8981\u9078\u9019\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u3011<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u4e2d\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u5ef6\u71d2\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u5728\u9019\u5834\u6230\u722d\u7576\u4e2d\u4e26\u4e0d\u80fd\u7f6e\u8eab\u4e8b\u5916\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u53f0\u7a4d\u96fb\u7522\u54c1\u6700\u5f8c\u7d44\u88dd\u4e3b\u8981\u5728\u4e2d\u570b\u5b8c\u6210\uff0c\u53c8\u53f0\u7a4d\u96fb\u662f\u860b\u679ciPhone\u8655\u7406\u5668\u7684\u6700\u5927\u4ee3\u5de5\u5546\uff0c\u7f8e\u4e2d\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u5c07\u6703\u4f7f\u5f9e\u4e2d\u570b\u92b7\u5f80\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u96fb\u5b50\u96f6\u7d44\u4ef6\u6210\u672c\u63d0\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5c0d\u65bc\u9019\u5834\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u722d\uff0c\u53f0\u7a4d\u96fb\u8463\u4e8b\u9577\u5f35\u5fe0\u8b00\u600e\u9ebc\u770b\uff1f\uff08\u8cac\u4efb\u7de8\u8f2f\uff1a\u7fc1\u7b60\u831c\uff09<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<div id=\"attachment_133645\" style=\"width: 646px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-133645\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-133645 \" src=\"http:\/\/buzzorange.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/5925020.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"636\" height=\"480\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-133645\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u5716\u7247\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a<a href=\"http:\/\/www.cna.com.tw\/news\/firstnews\/201805075005-1.aspx?utm_source=cna.facebook&amp;utm_medium=fanpage&amp;utm_campaign=fbpost\">\u4e2d\u592e\u793e<\/a>\u3002<\/p><\/div>\n<p>\u53f0\u7a4d\u96fb\u8463\u4e8b\u9577\u5f35\u5fe0\u8b00\u63a5\u53d7\u82f1\u570b\u300c\u91d1\u878d\u6642\u5831\u300d\u8a2a\u554f\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u7f8e\u4e2d\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u662f\u4ed6\u672a\u66fe\u9762\u81e8\u904e\u7684\u6311\u6230\uff0c\u300c\u9019\u6b21\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u6703\u90a3\u9ebc\u53cb\u5584\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u770b\u8d77\u4f86\u5c31\u4e0d\u592a\u53cb\u5584\u300d\u3002\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u5f71\u97ff\u860b\u679c\uff08Apple\uff09\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5f35\u5fe0\u8b00\u53d7\u8a2a\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u300c\u9019\u662f\u4e00\u9805\u65b0\u6311\u6230\uff0c\u6211\u904e\u53bb\u4e0d\u66fe\u9762\u81e8\u904e\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u7684\u63a5\u73ed\u4eba\u5fc5\u9808\u9762\u5c0d\u9019\u4e9b\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\u4ed6\u5011\u8981\u600e\u9ebc\u505a\uff1f\u6211\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #800000\">\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5169\u500b\u8cbf\u6613\u9ad4\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u5c71\u96e8\u6b32\u4f86\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u8981\u6c42\u4e2d\u570b\u57282020\u5e74\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u5fc5\u9808\u5c07\u5e74\u5ea6\u5c0d\u7f8e\u8cbf\u6613\u9806\u5dee\u7684\u898f\u6a21\u6e1b\u7e2e\u81f3\u5c112000\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u53f0\u7a4d\u96fb\uff08TSMC\uff09\u662f\u860b\u679ciPhone\u8655\u7406\u5668\u7684\u6700\u5927\u4ee3\u5de5\u5546\uff0c\u53f0\u7a4d\u96fb330\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5e74\u71df\u6536\u6709\u4e00\u534a\u4f86\u81ea\u884c\u52d5\u88dd\u7f6e\uff0c\u82e5\u7f8e\u570b\u52a0\u5927\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u624b\u6a5f\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u53d7\u5f71\u97ff\u7684\u5c64\u9762\u6050\u66f4\u5ee3\u3002\u5f35\u5fe0\u8b00\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u300c\u7522\u54c1\u6700\u5f8c\u7d44\u88dd\u4e3b\u8981\u5728\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u9678\u5b8c\u6210\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u7f8e\u4e2d\u8cbf\u6613\u722d\u7aef\u6050\u6015\u4e5f\u6703\u5f71\u97ff\u6211\u5011\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n<h2>\u5f35\u5fe0\u8b00\uff1a\u7f8e\u4e2d\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u9019\u6b21\u4e0d\u6703\u90a3\u9ebc\u53cb\u5584<\/h2>\n<p>\u5f35\u5fe0\u8b00\u4e5f\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u4e2d\u7684\u5c0d\u5cd9\u60c5\u52e2\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u8b8a\u5f97\u6bd4\u4ed6\u57281970\u5e74\u4ee3\u7d93\u6b77\u7684\u7f8e\u65e5\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u66f4\u7cdf\u3002\u5f35\u5fe0\u8b00\u7576\u6642\u64d4\u4efb\u5fb7\u5dde\u5100\u5668\uff08Texas Instruments\uff09\u534a\u5c0e\u9ad4\u96c6\u5718\u7e3d\u7d93\u7406\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u300c<strong><span style=\"color: #800000\">\u65e5\u672c\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u7576\u6642\u975e\u5e38\u548c\u5e73\u3001\u5713\u6eff\u5730\u89e3\u6c7a\u554f\u984c\u3002\u9019\u6b21\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u6703\u90a3\u9ebc\u53cb\u5584\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u770b\u8d77\u4f86\u5c31\u4e0d\u592a\u53cb\u5584\u3002<\/span><\/strong>\u300d<\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u64da\u5831\u5c0e\uff0c\u8377\u862d\u570b\u969b\u96c6\u5718\uff08ING\uff09\u5927\u4e2d\u83ef\u5340\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6\u6f58\u6069\uff08Iris Pang\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u96fb\u5b50\u7522\u54c1\u8ab2\u4ee5\u65b0\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u5c07\u6703\u4f7f\u8a31\u591a\u5f9e\u4e2d\u570b\u92b7\u5f80\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u96fb\u5b50\u96f6\u7d44\u4ef6\u6210\u672c\u63d0\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5143\u5927\u8b49\u5238\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\u5361\u6b50\uff08Sam Kao\uff09\u5247\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u4e2d\u570b\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u6c92\u6709\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u751f\u7522\u57fa\u5730\u7684\u860b\u679c\u4f9b\u61c9\u5546\u9762\u81e8\u6700\u5927\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\u4ed6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5bcc\u58eb\u5eb7\uff08Foxconn\uff09\u3001\u548c\u78a9\uff08Pegatron\uff09\u548c\u7def\u5275\u8cc7\u901a\uff08Wistron\uff09\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u627f\u53d7\u58d3\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u570b\u969b\u4fe1\u8a55\u6a5f\u69cb\u7a46\u8fea\uff08Moody\u2019s\uff09\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u8207\u79d1\u6280\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u4e2d\u570b\u88fd\u9020\u5546\u5c07\u53d7\u5230\u7f8e\u570b\u65b0\u95dc\u7a05\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u300c\u76f4\u63a5\u885d\u64ca\u300d\uff0c\u4e0d\u904e\u5149\u6aa2\u8996\u9019\u4e9b\u88fd\u9020\u5546\u53d7\u5230\u7684\u885d\u64ca\uff0c\u6703\u300c\u4f4e\u4f30\u300d\u9019\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u9020\u6210\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u6469\u6839\u5927\u901a\uff08JPMorgan\uff09\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u79d1\u6280\u57fa\u91d1\uff08Pacific Technology Fund\uff09\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u7d93\u7406\u67ef\u514b\u65af\uff08Oliver Cox\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5118\u7ba1\u65b0\u95dc\u7a05\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u6703\u5c0d\u860b\u679c\u88fd\u9020\u6210\u672c\u58d3\u529b\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u4e0d\u8a8d\u70ba\u6703\u6709\u9577\u671f\u5f71\u97ff\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u860b\u679c\u548c\u860b\u679c\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u300c\u904e\u53bb\u5728\u61c9\u4ed8\u8b8a\u5316\u3001\u58d3\u4f4e\u6210\u672c\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5c55\u73fe\u51fa\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u5f48\u6027\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u5fc5\u6703\u53d7\u5230\u5f71\u97ff<\/h2>\n<p>\u745e\u58eb\u4fe1\u8cb8\u9280\u884c\uff08Credit Suisse\uff09\u99d0\u53f0\u5317\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\u827e\u5e03\u862d\uff08Randy Abrams\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u300c\u76ee\u524d\u70ba\u6b62\u90fd\u907f\u958b\u4e86\u95dc\u9375\u7684\u9ad8\u7522\u91cf\u79d1\u6280\u985e\u5225\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u96d9\u65b9\u7684\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u5f7c\u6b64\u4f9d\u8cf4\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u300c\u7b2c\u4e00\u8f2a\u95dc\u7a05\u6392\u9664\u667a\u6167\u578b\u624b\u6a5f\u3001\u7b46\u96fb\u3001\u5e73\u677f\u96fb\u8166\u7b49\uff0c\u53ea\u6db5\u84cb\u96fb\u8996\u7b49\u4e3b\u8981\u79d1\u6280\u6d88\u8cbb\u7522\u54c1\uff0c\u800c\u860b\u679c\u4e26\u975e\u4f9b\u61c9\u5546\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u9019\u5c0d\u860b\u679c\u8207\u860b\u679c\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u7684\u6210\u672c\u5f71\u97ff\u61c9\u8a72\u6709\u9650\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u4eba\u8cc7\u8a0a\u793e\uff08EIU\uff09\u4e9e\u6d32\u5340\u4e3b\u7ba1\u6797\u5eb7\u5fb7\uff08Duncan Innes-Ker\uff09\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u95dc\u7a05\u88ab\u8a2d\u8a08\u6210\u5c0d\u860b\u679c\u7b49\u516c\u53f8\u885d\u64ca\u6700\u5c0f\u5316\uff0c\u300c\u90e8\u5206\u96f6\u7d44\u4ef6\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u5e7e\u4e4e\u78ba\u5b9a\u4ecd\u6703\u53d7\u5230\u5f71\u97ff\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\uff1a<strong><span style=\"color: #800000\">\u300c\u860b\u679c\u7684\u6700\u7d42\u7522\u54c1\u6216\u8a31\u80fd\u9003\u904e\u6492\u51fa\u7684\u95dc\u7a05\u5927\u7db2\uff0c\u4f46\u8a31\u591a\u96f6\u7d44\u4ef6\u4f9b\u61c9\u5546\u6703\u53d7\u6ce2\u53ca\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u4ecd\u7121\u53ef\u907f\u514d\u6703\u53d7\u5230\u4e00\u4e9b\u5f71\u97ff\u3002\u300d<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u6797\u5eb7\u5fb7\u8aaa\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4e2d\u570b\u70ba\u4e86\u65bd\u58d3\u83ef\u5e9c\uff0c\u300c\u800c\u8b93\u5728\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u5ee0\u5546\u65e5\u5b50\u4e0d\u597d\u904e\u300d\uff0c\u860b\u679c\u53ef\u80fd\u9762\u81e8\u66f4\u5927\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\u300c\u5c0d\u65bc\u860b\u679c\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u65e2\u662f\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u751f\u7522\u57fa\u5730\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u91cd\u8981\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u9019\u6703\u5c0d\u516c\u53f8\u9020\u6210\u91cd\u5927\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n<h2>\u63a8\u85a6\u95b1\u8b80\uff1a<\/h2>\n<p><a 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