{"id":53930,"date":"2022-03-25T11:53:22","date_gmt":"2022-03-25T03:53:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/?p=53930"},"modified":"2022-03-25T11:53:22","modified_gmt":"2022-03-25T03:53:22","slug":"glaser-on-strategic-clarity","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2022\/03\/25\/glaser-on-strategic-clarity\/","title":{"rendered":"\u845b\u840a\u5100\u70ba\u4f55\u53cd\u5c0d\u84ec\u4f69\u5967\u7684\u300c\u53f0\u7063\u4e3b\u6b0a\u570b\u5bb6\u8ad6\u300d\uff1a\u4ed6\u5e36\u6709 2 \u7a2e\u8aa4\u5224\uff0c\u975e\u5e38\u5371\u96aa\uff01"},"content":{"rendered":"<blockquote><p>\u3010\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6211\u5011\u6311\u9078\u9019\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u3011<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u570b\u524d\u570b\u52d9\u537f\u84ec\u4f69\u5967 4 \u65e5\u65bc\u5176\u500b\u4eba\u793e\u7fa4\u4e0a\u547c\u7c72\u7f8e\u570b\u61c9\u627f\u8a8d\u4e2d\u83ef\u6c11\u570b\uff08\u53f0\u7063\uff09\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u4e3b\u6b0a\u7368\u7acb\u4e14\u4eab\u6709\u81ea\u7531\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\u3002\u4f46\u95dc\u6ce8\u53f0\u6d77\u5c40\u52e2\u7684\u5b78\u8005\u845b\u840a\u5100\uff0c\u537b\u8a8d\u70ba\u6b64\u8209\u975e\u5e38\u5371\u96aa\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff1f\uff08\u8cac\u4efb\u7de8\u8f2f\uff1a\u9023\u67cf\u7ff0\uff09<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\u4fc4\u70cf\u6230\u722d\u6fc0\u8d77\u90e8\u5206\u7f8e\u570b\u8f3f\u8ad6\u63d0\u51fa\u5c0d\u53f0\u6230\u7565\u8f49\u6e05\u6670\u76f8\u95dc\u8a0e\u8ad6\uff0c\u83ef\u5e9c\u667a\u5eab\u5fb7\u570b\u99ac\u6b47\u723e\u57fa\u91d1\u6703\uff08GMF\uff09\u4e9e\u6d32\u8a08\u756b\u4e3b\u4efb\u845b\u4f86\u5100\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u6230\u7565\u6e05\u6670\u4e0d\u6703\u8d77\u5a01\u61fe\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u6050\u53cd\u800c\u5728\u53f0\u7063\u554f\u984c\u4e0a\u523a\u6fc0\u4e2d\u570b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u570b\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u667a\u5eab\u6230\u7565\u8207\u570b\u969b\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff08Center for Strategic and International Studies, CSIS\uff0923 \u65e5\u8209\u884c\u7dda\u4e0a\u8ad6\u58c7\u63a2\u8a0e\u4fc4\u70cf\u6230\u722d\u4f5c\u70ba\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u501f\u93e1\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u64da\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u806f\u5408\u65e9\u5831\u5831\u5c0e\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5c0d\u65bc\u53f0\u6d77\u5c40\u52e2\u5411\u4f86\u63a1\u300c\u6230\u7565\u6a21\u7cca\u300d\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u4e0d\u8b1b\u660e\u4e2d\u570b\u6b66\u529b\u72af\u53f0\u662f\u5426\u6703\u6d3e\u5175\u652f\u63f4\u53f0\u7063\u3002\u4fc4\u70cf\u6230\u722d\u767c\u751f\u5f8c\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u7f8e\u570b\u8f3f\u8ad6\u63d0\u51fa\u5c0d\u53f0\u6230\u7565\u7531\u6a21\u7cca\u8f49\u70ba\u6e05\u6670\u7684\u5fc5\u8981\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u845b\u4f86\u5100\u6279\u84ec\u4f69\u5967\u8aa4\u5224 2 \u9ede<\/h2>\n<p>\u524d\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u52d9\u537f\u84ec\u4f69\u5967\uff08Mike Pompeo\uff09\u8a2a\u53f0\u671f\u9593\uff0c4 \u65e5\u65bc\u5176\u500b\u4eba\u793e\u7fa4\u9801\u9762\u4e0a\u547c\u7c72\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u61c9\u8a72\u7acb\u523b\u5728\u5916\u4ea4\u4e0a\u627f\u8a8d\u4e2d\u83ef\u6c11\u570b\uff08\u53f0\u7063\uff09\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u4e3b\u6b0a\u7368\u7acb\u4e14\u4eab\u6709\u81ea\u7531\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u845b\u4f86\u5100\uff08Bonnie Glaser\uff09\u5728\u8ad6\u58c7\u4e0a\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u5021\u5c0e\u5c0d\u53f0\u6230\u7565\u6e05\u6670\u7684\u4eba\u6709\u5169\u500b\u8aa4\u5224\uff0c\u7b2c 1\uff0c\u8aa4\u5224\u4e2d\u570b\u4eba\u6c11\u89e3\u653e\u8ecd\u4e0d\u8a8d\u771f\u770b\u5f85\u7f8e\u570b\u4ecb\u5165\u53f0\u6d77\u6230\u722d\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff1b\u7b2c 2\uff0c\u8aa4\u5224\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u63a1\u53d6\u8072\u660e\u653f\u7b56\uff08declaratory policy\uff09\u5c31\u80fd\u5687\u963b\u5176\u5c0d\u53f0\u52d5\u6b66\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u845b\u4f86\u5100\u8aaa\u660e\uff0c\u89e3\u653e\u8ecd\u986f\u7136\u5df2\u9ad8\u5ea6\u91cd\u8996\u7f8e\u570b\u4ecb\u5165\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u9019\u5df2\u5851\u9020\u4e86\u89e3\u653e\u8ecd\u6578 10 \u5e74\u4f86\u7684\u73fe\u4ee3\u5316\u9032\u7a0b\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u63a1\u6e05\u6670\u6230\u7565\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u9069\u5f97\u5176\u53cd\uff0c\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u523a\u6fc0\u4e2d\u570b\uff1b\u56e0\u6b64\u84ec\u4f69\u5967\u7684\u63d0\u8b70\u300c\u975e\u5e38\u5371\u96aa\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u56e0\u300c\u6a21\u7cca\u300d\u624d\u80fd\u8ddf\u5176\u4ed6\u570b\u5bb6\u633a\u53f0<\/h2>\n<p>\u524d\u767d\u5bae\u570b\u5b89\u6703\u4e9e\u6d32\u4e8b\u52d9\u8cc7\u6df1\u4e3b\u4efb\u845b\u6797\uff08Michael Green\uff09\u662f 3 \u6708\u7f8e\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u62dc\u767b\uff08Joe Biden\uff09\u6d3e\u9063\u8a2a\u53f0\u4ee3\u8868\u5718\u6210\u54e1\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u845b\u6797\u5728\u8ad6\u58c7\u4e0a\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5728\u805a\u7126\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u5c40\u52e2\u7684\u540c\u6642\u6d3e\u975e\u5b98\u65b9\u5718\u968a\u5230\u53f0\u7063\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u70ba\u4e86\u986f\u793a\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u4f9d\u820a\u95dc\u6ce8\u4e9e\u6d32\u5c40\u52e2\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u845b\u6797\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u516c\u5171\u9818\u57df\u88e1\u6709\u95dc\u6230\u7565\u6e05\u6670\u7684\u8a0e\u8ad6\u300c\u975e\u5e38\u4e8c\u5143\u5316\u300d\uff0c\u9019\u4e0d\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u770b\u5f85\u554f\u984c\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5b78\u8853\u548c\u7406\u8ad6\u7684\u8c61\u5fb5\u6027\u8faf\u8ad6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u570b\u53bb\u5e74\u5728\u5206\u5225\u8207\u65e5\u672c\u3001\u97d3\u570b\u3001\u6b50\u76df\u767c\u8868\u7684\u806f\u5408\u8072\u660e\u4ee5\u53ca 7 \u570b\u96c6\u5718\u806f\u5408\u8072\u660e\u4e2d\uff0c\u90fd\u7d0d\u5165\u4e86\u6709\u95dc\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u8868\u8ff0\u3002\u845b\u6797\u5f37\u8abf\uff0c\u82e5\u7f8e\u570b\u63a8\u884c\u6230\u7565\u6e05\u6670\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4fbf\u7121\u6cd5\u548c\u95dc\u9375\u76df\u53cb\u9054\u6210\u9019\u4e9b\u8072\u660e\uff0c\u6230\u7565\u6a21\u7cca\u662f\u70ba\u4e86\u7dad\u6301\u570b\u969b\u5718\u7d50\u6240\u5fc5\u9808\u4f5c\u51fa\u7684\u59a5\u5354\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u89c0\u5bdf\u62dc\u767b\u300c\u5370\u592a\u6230\u7565\u5831\u544a\u300d\uff0c\u6230\u7565\u6a21\u7cca\u53ef\u80fd\u6b63\u8f49\u5411<\/h2>\n<p>\u4e2d\u7f8e\u805a\u7126\uff08CHINA US Focus\uff09\u7db2\u7ad9 14 \u65e5\u520a\u767b\u4e2d\u570b\u570b\u969b\u53cb\u597d\u4ea4\u6d41\u806f\u7d61\u6703\u548c\u5e73\u8207\u767c\u5c55\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7279\u7d04\u7814\u7a76\u54e1\u9673\u7a4d\u654f\u5206\u6790\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u5370\u592a\u6230\u7565\u5831\u544a\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\u3002\u9673\u7a4d\u654f\u5728\u6587\u4e2d\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u628a\u5370\u592a\u5730\u5340\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u63d0\u9ad8\u5230\u95dc\u4e4e\u5730\u5340\u8207\u570b\u969b\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u5c64\u6b21\uff0c\u5c07\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u6311\u6230\u8996\u70ba\u6700\u6838\u5fc3\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6587\u7ae0\u63d0\u5230\uff0c\u9019\u4efd\u5831\u544a\u5728\u5177\u9ad4\u63aa\u65bd\u65b9\u9762\u4ecd\u6307\u8981\u589e\u5f37\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u81ea\u885b\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u4e14\u5f37\u8abf\u300c\u7f8e\u570b\u5c07\u634d\u885b\u81ea\u8eab\u5229\u76ca\uff0c\u963b\u6b62\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u76df\u53cb\u3001\u5925\u4f34\u7684\u8ecd\u4e8b\u4fb5\u7565\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u53f0\u7063\u6d77\u5cfd\u300d\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u5426\u6697\u793a\u7f8e\u570b\u6709\u610f\u628a\u53f0\u7063\u6d77\u5cfd\u7d0d\u5165\u9632\u885b\u5708\uff0c\u662f\u5426\u610f\u5473\u53f0\u7063\u554f\u984c\u4e0a\u7684\u50b3\u7d71\u300c\u6230\u7565\u6a21\u7cca\u300d\u653f\u7b56\u6b63\u6f38\u9032\u8f49\u5411\uff0c\u503c\u5f97\u95dc\u6ce8\u3002<\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #800000;\"><strong>\u53f0\u7063\u662f\u500b\u81ea\u7531\u6c11\u4e3b\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u5e0c\u671b\u5b83\u66f4\u597d\uff01<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<blockquote><p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">\u5feb\u4f86\u586b<a href=\"https:\/\/www.surveycake.com\/s\/DnzNR?ssn43=co208&amp;utm_source=co208&amp;utm_medium=referral\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>\u300a\u5b9c\u5c45\u57ce\u5e02\u6eff\u610f\u5ea6\u5927\u8abf\u67e5\u300b<\/strong><\/span><\/a>\uff0c\u70ba\u4f60\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\u751f\u6d3b\u6253\u5206\uff01<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h2>\u63a8\u85a6\u95b1\u8b80<\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2022\/03\/11\/china-learns-from-ukraine-war\/\">\u3010\u5171\u8ecd\u4fb5\u53f0\u5f8c\u6050\u767c\u73fe\u81ea\u5df1\u4e0d\u662f\u300c\u89e3\u653e\u8005\u300d\u3011\u845b\u840a\u5100\u9ede\u51fa\u4e2d\u570b 3 \u56f0\u5883\uff0c\u63d0\u9192\u53f0\u7063\u6293\u7dca\u6a5f\u6703\uff01<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2022\/03\/24\/financial-han-kuang-exercise\/\">\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u6709\u897f\u65b9\u570b\u5bb6\u7528\u300c\u91d1\u878d\u5236\u88c1\u4fc4\u570b\u300d\u6490\u8170\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u53ef\u4ee5\u5982\u4f55\u505a\u6e96\u5099\uff1f<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2022\/03\/22\/how-urkraine-war-affects-taiwan\/\">\u85cd\u7da0\u5c0d\u8ac7\u53f0\u6d77\u6230\u722d\u2014\u2014\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6307\u51fa\u300c\u5982\u679c\u5171\u8ecd\u4eca\u79cb\u6253\u53f0\u7063\uff0c\u6700\u7dca\u5f35\u7684\u6703\u662f\u4e2d\u5171\u4e2d\u592e\u8ecd\u59d4\u300d\uff1f<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\uff08\u672c\u6587\u7d93\u5408\u4f5c\u5925\u4f34 \u4e2d\u592e\u793e \u6388\u6b0a\u8f49\u8f09\uff0c\u4e26\u540c\u610f CitiOrange \u7de8\u5beb\u5c0e\u8b80\u8207\u4fee\u8a02\u6a19\u984c\uff0c\u539f\u6587\u6a19\u984c\u70ba\u3008<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cna.com.tw\/news\/acn\/202203240114.aspx\">\u83ef\u5e9c\u667a\u5eab\uff1a\u7f8e\u570b\u5c0d\u53f0\u6230\u7565\u82e5\u8f49\u6e05\u6670 \u6050\u523a\u6fc0\u4e2d\u570b<\/a>\u3009\u3002\u9996\u5716\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a\u7ffb\u651d\u81ea<a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/MilitarySpokesman\/photos\/pcb.5176587325737877\/5176584802404796\">\u570b\u9632\u90e8\u767c\u8a00\u4eba<\/a>\uff0c\u9678\u8ecd\u822a\u7a7a\u7279\u6230\u6307\u63ee\u90e8\uff09<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u3010\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6211\u5011\u6311\u9078\u9019\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u3011 \u7f8e\u570b\u524d\u570b\u52d9\u537f\u84ec\u4f69\u5967 4 \u65e5\u65bc\u5176\u500b\u4eba\u793e\u7fa4\u4e0a\u547c\u7c72\u7f8e\u570b\u61c9\u627f\u8a8d\u4e2d\u83ef\u6c11\u570b\uff08\u53f0\u7063\uff09\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u4e3b\u6b0a\u7368\u7acb\u4e14\u4eab\u6709\u81ea\u7531\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\u3002\u4f46\u95dc\u6ce8\u53f0\u6d77\u5c40\u52e2\u7684\u5b78\u8005\u845b\u840a\u5100\uff0c\u537b\u8a8d\u70ba\u6b64\u8209\u975e\u5e38\u5371\u96aa\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff1f\uff08\u8cac\u4efb\u7de8\u8f2f[&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":53936,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[29626],"tags":[2405],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53930"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=53930"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53930\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":53947,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53930\/revisions\/53947"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/53936"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=53930"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=53930"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=53930"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}