{"id":53287,"date":"2022-03-17T11:36:32","date_gmt":"2022-03-17T03:36:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/?p=53287"},"modified":"2022-03-17T11:36:32","modified_gmt":"2022-03-17T03:36:32","slug":"putins-sunk-cost","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2022\/03\/17\/putins-sunk-cost\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5f9e\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u7406\u8ad6\u4f86\u89e3\u91cb\uff1a\u5584\u8b00\u7565\u7684\u666e\u4e01\u4e5f\u8a31\u4e0d\u662f\u5fc3\u667a\u60e1\u5316\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u60f3\u8981\u300c\u8ced\u5fa9\u6d3b\u300d"},"content":{"rendered":"<blockquote><p>\u3010\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6211\u5011\u6311\u9078\u9019\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u3011<\/p>\n<p>\u611b\u6c99\u5c3c\u4e9e\u524d\u9632\u9577\u7279\u62c9\u65af\uff08Riho Terras\uff092 \u6708\u5e95<a href=\"https:\/\/tw.appledaily.com\/international\/20220227\/VQWZSYZAT5G2VHAJSZAENDRWR4\/\">\u6307\u51fa<\/a>\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u5728\u6230\u4e8b\u4e0a\u6bcf\u5929\u8017\u8cbb\u7d04 150 \u5104\u82f1\u938a\uff08\u7d04 5626 \u5104\u5143\u53f0\u5e63\uff09\uff0c\u4ed6\u9810\u8a08\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u82e5\u80fd\u6490 10 \u5929\uff0c\u5c31\u80fd\u903c\u4fc4\u570b\u4e0a\u8ac7\u5224\u684c\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u73fe\u5728\u70cf\u4fc4\u6230\u722d\u5df2\u7d93\u8d85\u904e 20 \u5929\uff0c\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u666e\u4e01\u4ecd\u4e0d\u505c\u6230\uff1f\uff08\u8cac\u4efb\u7de8\u8f2f\uff1a\u9023\u67cf\u7ff0\uff09<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\u4fb5\u70cf\u6230\u722d\u5df2 20 \u5929\uff0c\u4fc4\u65b9\u4e0d\u50c5\u906d\u9022\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u5805\u5fcd\u62b5\u6297\uff0c\u5728\u570b\u969b\u4e0a\u4e5f\u53d7\u5230\u9ad8\u5f37\u5ea6\u5b64\u7acb\uff0c\u4f46\u666e\u4e01\u70ba\u4f55\u4e0d\u5feb\u627e\u53f0\u968e\u4e0b\uff1f\u5c08\u5bb6\u5206\u6790\u4ed6\u9677\u5165\u300c\u6c89\u6c92\u6210\u672c\u300d\u7b49\u8ff7\u601d\uff0c\u5bb3\u4eba\u5bb3\u5df1\u537b\u505c\u4e0d\u4e0b\u4f86\uff1b\u4e5f\u6709\u8a55\u8ad6\u6307\u4ed6\u53ea\u5269 2 \u5f35\u724c\u53ef\u6253\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u9762\u5c0d\u897f\u65b9\u5236\u88c1\u3001\u4e2d\u570b\u9650\u7e2e\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u666e\u4e01\u4ecd\u4e0d\u505c\u6230<\/h2>\n<p>\u5728\u7e3d\u7d71\u666e\u4e01\uff08Vladimir Putin\uff09\u9818\u5c0e\u4e0b\uff0c\u4fc4\u8ecd\u5728\u6230\u5834\u63a8\u9032\u7de9\u6162\uff0c\u4fc4\u570b\u537b\u5feb\u901f\u6210\u70ba\u570b\u969b\u793e\u6703\u516c\u6575\u3001\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u908a\u7de3\u4eba\u3002\u5373\u4fbf\u4e00\u500b\u6708\u524d\u5ba3\u7a31\u8207\u4fc4\u53cb\u8abc\u300c\u7121\u4e0a\u9650\u300d\u7684\u4e2d\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\uff0c\u4e5f\u5728\u9019\u5834\u6230\u4e8b\u6975\u529b\u9650\u7e2e\u5c0d\u4fc4\u652f\u6301\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e00\u5207\u90fd\u4e0d\u5982\u666e\u4e01\u7684\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u537b\u9072\u9072\u4e0d\u4f5c\u300c\u505c\u640d\u300d\u6c7a\u5b9a\u3002\u5148\u4e0d\u8ad6\u4ed6\u662f\u5426\u5982\u5916\u5a92\u5f15\u8ff0\u533f\u540d\u60c5\u5831\u6240\u8aaa\u7684\u300c\u5fc3\u667a\u60e1\u5316\u300d\uff0c\u7562\u7adf\u66b4\u6012\u3001\u53cd\u8986\u3001\u9072\u9813\u7b49\u7cbe\u795e\u5b98\u80fd\u73fe\u8c61\u4e5f\u5728\u8a31\u591a\u570b\u5bb6\u9818\u5c0e\u4eba\u8eab\u4e0a\u770b\u5f97\u5230\uff0c\u53ef\u662f\u539f\u672c\u6709\u8457\u64c5\u9577\u8b00\u7565\u5f62\u8c61\u7684\u666e\u4e01\uff0c\u9019\u6b21\u537b\u843d\u5f97\u9032\u9000\u5931\u64da\uff0c\u5c08\u5bb6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4ed6\u53ef\u80fd\u72af\u4e86\u5e7e\u500b\u6c7a\u7b56\u8005\u5e38\u898b\u7684\u601d\u8003\u8b2c\u8aa4\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5c08\u5bb6\uff1a\u666e\u4e01\u9677\u6c89\u6c92\u6210\u672c\u8ff7\u601d<\/h2>\n<p>\u300c\u7d10\u7d04\u6642\u5831\uff08New York Times\uff09\u300d\u7d93\u6fdf\u5c08\u6b04\u4f5c\u5bb6\u67ef\u76ca\uff08Peter Coy\uff09\u5f15\u7528\u7ba1\u7406\u5b78\u4e0a\u7684\u300c\u6c89\u6c92\u6210\u672c\uff08sunk cost\uff09\u300d\u8ff7\u601d\u4f86\u89e3\u91cb\u666e\u4e01\u7e7c\u7e8c\u63a8\u9032\u6230\u722d\u7684\u52d5\u6a5f\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u4ed6\u5f88\u96e3\u63a5\u53d7\u5df2\u7d93\u6295\u5165\u7684\u8ecd\u968a\u5c07\u662f\u5f92\u52de\u7121\u529f\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u6368\u4e0d\u5f97\u5df2\u7d93\u300c\u6c89\u6c92\u300d\u3001\u82b1\u6389\u7684\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u65bc\u662f\u6301\u7e8c\u6295\u5165\u5175\u54e1\u6b66\u5668\uff0c\u60f3\u6273\u56de\u5c40\u9762\uff0c\u7d50\u679c\u537b\u53ef\u80fd\u640d\u5931\u66f4\u591a\u6210\u672c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u67ef\u76ca\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u9677\u5165\u6230\u722d\u4e2d\u7684\u9818\u5c0e\u4eba\u5e38\u6709\u9019\u7a2e\u60f3\u6cd5\uff0c\u5c31\u50cf\u7f8e\u570b\u5148\u524d\u5728\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u6230\u722d\u7684\u9577\u671f\u6d88\u8017\u3002\u4ed6\u5f15\u8ff0\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u8005\u5e03\u862d\u53ef\uff08Abigail Hall Blanco\uff09\u7684\u8a71\u4f86\u51f8\u986f\u9019\u500b\u8ff7\u601d\u7684\u8352\u8b2c\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u666e\u4e01\u600e\u80fd\u544a\u8a34\u4eba\u6c11\uff1a\u300c\u6211\u628a\u4f60\u7684\u5b69\u5b50\u9001\u5230\u6230\u5834\u4e0a\u53bb\u72a7\u7272\uff0c\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u4e0d\u6368\u5225\u4eba\u5148\u524d\u5df2\u72a7\u7272\u7684\u5b69\u5b50\uff1f\u300d<\/p>\n<h2>\u7121\u6cd5\u9762\u5c0d\u5f8c\u679c\uff0c\u666e\u4e01\u53ea\u80fd\u8ced\u4e00\u628a<\/h2>\n<p>\u666e\u4e01\u4e0d\u60f3\u505c\u6230\u7684\u53e6\u500b\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u4ed6\u7121\u6cd5\u9762\u5c0d\u5f8c\u679c\u3002\u67ef\u76ca\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u5c31\u7b97\u518d\u6253\u4e0b\u53bb\u80fd\u8d0f\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u6108\u4f86\u6108\u6e3a\u832b\uff0c\u5c0d\u666e\u4e01\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u5c31\u5403\u6557\u4ed7\u7684\u4ee3\u50f9\u66f4\u9ad8\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u4ed6\u7e7c\u7e8c\u653e\u624b\u4e00\u640f\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u570b\u969b\u95dc\u4fc2\u4e2d\u7684\u300c\u8ced\u5fa9\u6d3b\uff08gambling for resurrection\uff09\u300d\u7406\u8ad6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u666e\u4e01\u7684\u8ced\u6ce8\uff0c\u662f\u4fc4\u570b\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u3001\u8ecd\u968a\u3001\u5e73\u6c11\u767e\u59d3\uff0c\u8f38\u8d0f\u7684\u4ee3\u50f9\uff0c\u537b\u53ea\u662f\u4ed6\u7684\u653f\u6b0a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u76ee\u524d\u570b\u969b\u653f\u58c7\u548c\u4fc4\u70cf\u96d9\u65b9\u4ecd\u6709\u8a31\u591a\u4eba\u5728\u5954\u8d70\uff0c\u5e0c\u671b\u4fc3\u6210\u505c\u6230\u5354\u8b70\u3002\u67ef\u76ca\u6307\u51fa\u8ac7\u5224\u5354\u8abf\u8005\u7684\u6311\u6230\uff0c\u5728\u65bc\u8a55\u4f30\u666e\u4e01\u9019\u5834\u8840\u8165\u4fb5\u7565\u6253\u5230\u73fe\u5728\uff0c\u4ed6\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u88ab\u524d\u8ff0\u601d\u8003\u9ede\u6240\u9a45\u52d5\u3002\u56e0\u70ba\uff0c\u9054\u6210\u5354\u8b70\u6700\u96e3\u7684\u4e00\u9ede\uff0c\u5728\u65bc\u600e\u9ebc\u8b93\u666e\u4e01\u300c\u6709\u9762\u5b50\u7684\u8a8d\u8f38\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u70cf\u4fc4\u505c\u6230\u7684 4 \u7a2e\u7d50\u5c40<\/h2>\n<p>\u7d10\u6642\u53e6\u4e00\u7bc7\u5831\u5c0e\u63d0\u51fa\u505c\u6230\u7684\u5e7e\u7a2e\u53ef\u80fd\uff0c\u4e00\u662f\u5916\u4ea4\u8abf\u505c\uff0c\u6b50\u7f8e\u5b98\u54e1\u6700\u5e0c\u671b\u7d93\u6fdf\u5236\u88c1\u7684\u5f8c\u679c\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5012\u50b5\u5371\u6a5f\uff0c\u80fd\u8b93\u666e\u4e01\u7e2e\u6e1b\u4ed6\u539f\u5148\u7684\u6230\u722d\u76ee\u6a19\u3002\u4f46\u6b63\u5982\u67ef\u76ca\u524d\u8ff0\uff0c\u8ac7\u5224\u96e3\u5728\u6349\u6478\u666e\u4e01\u7684\u5e95\u7dda\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7b2c 2 \u7a2e\u53ef\u80fd\uff0c\u662f\u666e\u4e01\u4e0d\u60f3\u8017\u8cbb\u592a\u591a\u6642\u9593\u6d3e\u5175\u5730\u6bef\u5f0f\u6536\u670d\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u5404\u57ce\u5e02\u3001\u906d\u9047\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u4eba\u53ef\u80fd\u9577\u9054\u6578\u6708\u7684\u6e38\u64ca\u5df7\u6230\u62b5\u6297\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u6539\u4ee5\u5f37\u529b\u8f5f\u70b8\u6bc0\u6389\u70cf\u514b\u862d\uff0c\u7e7c\u7e8c\u72af\u4e0b\u4e00\u9577\u4e32\u6230\u722d\u7f6a\u884c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7b2c 3 \u500b\u5287\u672c\u662f\u985e\u4f3c 1990 \u5e74\u4ee3\u5df4\u723e\u5e79\u534a\u5cf6\u6230\u722d\uff0c\u7d50\u679c\u5357\u65af\u62c9\u592b\uff08Yugoslavia\uff09\u5206\u88c2\u6210\u6578\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u3002\u5982\u4eca\uff0c\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u653f\u5e9c\u82e5\u6490\u4e0d\u4e0b\u53bb\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u8feb\u8b93\u70cf\u6771\u89aa\u4fc4\u5730\u5340\u5206\u88c2\u51fa\u53bb\uff0c\u6210\u70ba\u4fc4\u570b\u9644\u5c6c\uff0c\u4ee5\u63db\u5f97\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u5176\u4ed6\u570b\u571f\u4ecd\u80fd\u4fdd\u6301\u7368\u7acb\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7d10\u6642\u5206\u6790\u6700\u5f8c\u4e00\u7a2e\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u662f\u4fc4\u8ecd\u6108\u5f80\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u897f\u90e8\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u6ce2\u862d\u7b49\u5317\u7d04\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u908a\u5883\u63a8\u9032\uff0c\u5c31\u6108\u53ef\u80fd\u767c\u751f\u98db\u5f48\u8aa4\u5c04\u5230\u5317\u7d04\uff08NATO\uff09\u570b\u6216\u6253\u5230\u5317\u7d04\u570b\u7684\u98db\u6a5f\uff0c\u53c8\u6216\u8005\u666e\u4e01\u6c7a\u5b9a\u4f7f\u7528\u5316\u5b78\u6b66\u5668\uff0c\u4f7f\u6230\u6cc1\u60e1\u5316\u3001\u64f4\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u666e\u4e01\u773c\u524d\u53ea\u5269 2 \u5f35\u724c\u53ef\u4ee5\u6253<\/h2>\n<p>\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u666e\u4e01\u5df2\u7d93\u8f38\u6389\u4e86\u4fc4\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u548c\u570b\u969b\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u518d\u6253\u4e0b\u53bb\u4ed6\u4e5f\u6c38\u96e3\u56de\u5230\u6230\u524d\u7684\u6b0a\u529b\u5dd4\u5cf0\u3002\u83ef\u5e9c\u667a\u5eab\u300c\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u7406\u4e8b\u6703\uff08Atlantic Council\uff09\u300d\u7684\u6b50\u4e9e\u4e2d\u5fc3\u526f\u4e3b\u4efb\u514b\u862d\uff08Doug Klain\uff09\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u666e\u4e01\u773c\u524d\u53ea\u5269 2 \u5f35\u724c\u53ef\u4ee5\u6253\uff0c\u4e00\u662f\u6253\u5230\u5168\u90e8\u90fd\u8ce0\u5149\u4e86\u70ba\u6b62\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u70ba\u4ed6\u81ea\u5df1\u8216\u4e0a\u672b\u8def\uff1b\u4e8c\u662f\u505c\u6b62\u6230\u722d\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5728\u8ac7\u5224\u4e2d\u53d6\u5f97\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u7684\u8b93\u6b65\uff0c\u8b93\u4ed6\u5c0d\u5167\u6709\u597d\u770b\u4e00\u9ede\u7684\u4e0b\u53f0\u968e\u3002<\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #800000;\"><strong>\u570b\u5916\u7368\u88c1\u52e2\u529b\u8208\u8d77\uff0c<\/strong><\/span><span style=\"color: #800000;\"><strong>\u6211\u5011\u5e0c\u671b\u81ea\u7531\u6c11\u4e3b\u7684\u53f0\u7063\u66f4\u597d\uff01<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<blockquote><p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">\u5feb\u4f86\u586b<a href=\"https:\/\/www.surveycake.com\/s\/DnzNR?ssn43=co136&amp;utm_source=co136&amp;utm_medium=referral\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>\u300a\u5b9c\u5c45\u57ce\u5e02\u6eff\u610f\u5ea6\u5927\u8abf\u67e5\u300b<\/strong><\/span><\/a>\uff0c\u70ba\u4f60\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\u751f\u6d3b\u6253\u5206\uff01<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h2>\u63a8\u85a6\u95b1\u8b80<\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2022\/03\/14\/how-ukraine-war-influence-taiwan\/\">\u4fc4\u70cf\u6230\u706b\u52a0\u5287\u5168\u7403\u901a\u81a8\u58d3\u529b\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u592e\u884c\u5982\u4f55\u638c\u63e1\u5347\u606f\u7bc0\u594f\uff1f<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2022\/03\/14\/the-global-food-system\/\">\u3010\u5168\u7403\u7ce7\u98df\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u5927\u4e82\u3011\u4fc4\u70cf\u6230\u722d\u4e0d\u53ea\u98c6\u6f32\u77f3\u6cb9\u50f9\u683c\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4e5f\u6703\u6d88\u6ec5\u6cb9\u6ecb\u6ecb\u7684\u4fbf\u7576<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2022\/03\/10\/the-ukraine-war-changed-taiwan\/\">\u3010\u70cf\u4fc4\u7d66\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u555f\u793a\u3011\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u4eba\uff1a\u53f0\u7063\u51fa\u73fe\u6aa2\u8a0e\u5175\u5236\u7684\u8072\u97f3\uff0c\u6703\u6709\u6548\u52a0\u5f37\u65e5\u5f8c\u634d\u885b\u529b\u55ce\uff1f<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\uff08\u672c\u6587\u7d93\u5408\u4f5c\u5925\u4f34 \u4e2d\u592e\u793e \u6388\u6b0a\u8f49\u8f09\uff0c\u4e26\u540c\u610f CitiOrange \u7de8\u5beb\u5c0e\u8b80\u8207\u4fee\u8a02\u6a19\u984c\uff0c\u539f\u6587\u6a19\u984c\u70ba\u3008<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cna.com.tw\/news\/aopl\/202203160258.aspx\">\u5206\u6790\uff1a\u84b2\u4ead\u9677\u300c\u6c89\u6c92\u6210\u672c\u300d\u8ff7\u601d \u5bb3\u4eba\u5bb3\u5df1\u537b\u505c\u4e0d\u4e86<\/a>\u3009\u3002\u9996\u5716\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a\u7ffb\u651d\u81ea<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/KremlinRussia_E\/status\/1502280453998399495\/photo\/1\">\u4fc4\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u63a8\u7279<\/a>\uff09<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u3010\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6211\u5011\u6311\u9078\u9019\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u3011 \u611b\u6c99\u5c3c\u4e9e\u524d\u9632\u9577\u7279\u62c9\u65af\uff08Riho Terras\uff092 \u6708\u5e95\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u5728\u6230\u4e8b\u4e0a\u6bcf\u5929\u8017\u8cbb\u7d04 150 \u5104\u82f1\u938a\uff08\u7d04 5626 \u5104\u5143\u53f0\u5e63\uff09\uff0c\u4ed6\u9810\u8a08\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u82e5\u80fd\u6490 10 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