{"id":50429,"date":"2022-01-28T11:53:26","date_gmt":"2022-01-28T03:53:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/?p=50429"},"modified":"2022-01-28T11:53:26","modified_gmt":"2022-01-28T03:53:26","slug":"ukraine-is-not-taiwan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2022\/01\/28\/ukraine-is-not-taiwan\/","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u62ff\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u6bd4\u53f0\u7063\uff0c\u5927\u932f\u7279\u932f\u3011\u7f8e\u570b\u6d88\u6975\u4fdd\u70cf\u514b\u862d\uff0c\u8b93\u7fd2\u8fd1\u5e73\u89ba\u5f97\u53ef\u653b\u53f0\uff1f\u7f8e\u77e5\u540d\u5b78\u8005\u5217 5 \u9ede\u53cd\u99c1"},"content":{"rendered":"<blockquote><p>\u3010\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6211\u5011\u6311\u9078\u9019\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u3011<\/p>\n<p>\u524d\u767d\u5bae\u570b\u5b89\u9867\u554f\u6b50\u5e03\u840a\u6069\uff08Robert O\u2019Brien\uff0921 \u65e5<a href=\"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2022\/01\/27\/us-submarine\/\">\u8868\u793a<\/a>\uff0c\u7fd2\u8fd1\u5e73\u6b63\u770b\u8457\u4fc4\u70cf\u7dca\u5f35\u5c40\u52e2\uff0c\u4e26\u8003\u616e\u662f\u5426\u5728\u51ac\u5967\u5f8c\u4fb5\u53f0\u3002\u7f8e\u8ecd 15 \u65e5\u5247\u7f55\u898b\u5ba3\u4f48\u6838\u52d5\u529b\u6f5b\u8266\u300c\u5167\u83ef\u9054\u865f\u300d\uff08USS Nevada\uff09\u505c\u6cca\u95dc\u5cf6\uff1b\u300a\u65e5\u7d93\u4e9e\u6d32\u300b\uff08Nikkei Asia\uff09\u5206\u6790\u6b64\u8209\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u50b3\u8a71\u7d66\u4e2d\u570b\uff1a\u7f8e\u570b\u6c92\u6709\u5fd8\u8a18\u53f0\u7063\u53ca\u4e9e\u592a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5169\u5cb8\u95dc\u4fc2\u6703\u56e0\u70ba\u4fc4\u70cf\u52d5\u614b\u6709\u4ec0\u9ebc\u8b8a\u5316\u55ce\uff1f\u77e5\u540d\u5b78\u8005\u8a8d\u70ba\u76ee\u524d\u4e2d\u570b\u4fb5\u53f0\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4f4e\u3002\uff08\u8cac\u4efb\u7de8\u8f2f\uff1a\u9023\u67cf\u7ff0\uff09<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\u7f8e\u570b\u77e5\u540d\u653f\u6cbb\u5b78\u8005\u5e03\u862d\u9ed8\uff08Ian Bremmer\uff09\u520a\u51fa\u5c08\u6587\uff0c\u4e3b\u5f35\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u8207\u53f0\u7063\u4e0d\u80fd\u5c0d\u6bd4\uff0c\u53cd\u99c1\u8fd1\u4f86\u5a92\u9ad4\u8981\u6c42\u62dc\u767b\u5c0d\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u66f4\u52a0\u5f37\u786c\uff0c\u4ee5\u514d\u7fd2\u8fd1\u5e73\u6703\u8aa4\u4ee5\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u4fdd\u885b\u53f0\u7063\u4e5f\u6c92\u90a3\u9ebc\u5805\u5b9a\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u7f8e\u570b\u77e5\u540d\u653f\u6cbb\u5b78\u8005\uff1a\u7fd2\u8fd1\u5e73\u4e0d\u6703\u56e0\u70ba\u7f8e\u4e0d\u7a4d\u6975\u4fdd\u70cf\u800c\u4fb5\u53f0<\/h2>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u5e03\u862d\u9ed8\u5728\u81ea\u5df1\u7684 Gzero \u7db2\u7ad9\u4e0a\u520a\u51fa\u8a72\u7bc7\u984c\u70ba<a href=\"https:\/\/ianbremmer.bulletin.com\/why-ukraine-is-not-taiwan\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u300a\u4e0d\uff0c\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u4e0d\u662f\u53f0\u7063\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u300b<\/a>\uff08No, Ukraine is not like Taiwan. Here\u2019s why.\uff09\u4ed6\u958b\u982d\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u5a92\u9ad4\u4eba\u8a8d\u70ba\u666e\u4eac\u628a\u7f8e\u8ecd\u64a4\u51fa\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u7576\u4f5c\u53ef\u4ee5\u5165\u4fb5\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u7684\u300c\u7da0\u71c8\u300d\uff0c\u7fd2\u8fd1\u5e73\u4e5f\u6703\u628a\u7f8e\u570b\u4fdd\u885b\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u6c92\u90a3\u9ebc\u7a4d\u6975\u7576\u4f5c\u5165\u4fb5\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u300c\u7da0\u71c8\u300d\u3002\u62b1\u6301\u540c\u6a23\u908f\u8f2f\u60f3\u6cd5\u7684\u9084\u5305\u62ec\u524d\u5317\u7d04\u53f8\u4ee4 Adm. James Stavridis\uff0c\u653f\u6cbb\u5b78\u8005\u798f\u5c71\uff08Francis Fukuyama\uff09\uff0c\u4e0d\u5c11\u5169\u9ee8\u7684\u570b\u6703\u8b70\u54e1\u4e5f\u5982\u6b64\u8a8d\u70ba\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The Russians see our retreat from Afghanistan as a green light to invade Ukraine. China sees American passivity toward Ukraine as a green light to invade Taiwan. Regardless of the US\u2019s ultimate position, this is the reality the White House faces. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/NTueJEbVhO\">https:\/\/t.co\/NTueJEbVhO<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Joe Scarborough (@JoeNBC) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JoeNBC\/status\/1484999457800400897?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 22, 2022<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u5e03\u862d\u9ed8\u8868\u793a\u81ea\u5df1\u7121\u6cd5\u8d0a\u540c\u9019\u7a2e\u5c0d\u6bd4\uff0c\u5169\u8005\u7684\u76f8\u4f3c\u4e4b\u8655\u50c5\u6709\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u8ddf\u4e2d\u570b\u90fd\u628a\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u8207\u53f0\u7063\u7576\u4f5c\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u8a8d\u70ba\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u662f\u300c\u5c0f\u7f85\u65af\u300d\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u8a8d\u70ba\u53f0\u7063\u5c6c\u65bc\u4e00\u500b\u4e2d\u570b\u3002\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u628a\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u52a0\u5165\u5317\u7d04\u548c\u4e2d\u570b\u628a\u53f0\u7063\u7368\u7acb\u90fd\u7576\u4f5c\u662f\u751f\u5b58\u5a01\u8105\u3002\u4e2d\u4fc4\u90fd\u9858\u610f\u4f75\u541e\u9019\u5169\u500b\u300c\u53db\u96e2\u5340\u57df\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n<h3 dir=\"ltr\">\u539f\u56e0\u4e00\uff1a\u570b\u5bb6\u5229\u76ca<\/h3>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u4ed6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u9996\u5148\u53f0\u7063\u548c\u6574\u500b\u5370\u592a\u5730\u5340\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u662f<strong>\u300c\u6838\u5fc3\u570b\u5bb6\u5229\u76ca\u300d<\/strong>\uff08Vital national interest\uff09\uff0c\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u9802\u591a\u7b97\u662f\u6b21\u8981\u3002\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u53f0\u7063\u662f\u9032\u6b65\u5de5\u696d\u570b\u5bb6\u3001\u64c1\u6709\u5805\u5f37\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u3001\u8207\u897f\u65b9\u6709\u7dca\u5bc6\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u8207\u5916\u4ea4\u95dc\u4fc2\u3001\u95dc\u9375\u534a\u5c0e\u9ad4\u751f\u7522\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u4e9e\u6d32\u806f\u76df\u9ad4\u7cfb\u4f54\u6709\u95dc\u9375\u5730\u4f4d\u3002\u76f8\u8f03\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u6a5f\u69cb\u8106\u5f31\uff0c\u9084\u6709\u56b4\u91cd\u7684\u8caa\u8150\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u8207\u6b50\u6d32\u7684\u8ecd\u4e8b\u7d93\u6fdf\u50f9\u503c\u4e5f\u6c92\u90a3\u9ebc\u9ad8\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u8d0a\u540c\uff0c\u5317\u7d04\u4e5f\u6c92\u90a3\u9ebc\u5e0c\u671b\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u52a0\u5165\u5317\u7d04\u3002<\/p>\n<h3 dir=\"ltr\">\u539f\u56e0\u4e8c\uff1a\u7f8e\u5c0d\u53f0\u627f\u8afe<\/h3>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u4ed6\u9084\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5c0d\u53f0\u7063\u9019\u500b\u975e\u689d\u7d04\u5925\u4f34\u7684\u627f\u8afe\u662f\u300c\u7368\u4e00\u7121\u4e8c\u300d\u7684\uff0c\u5118\u7ba1\u83ef\u5e9c\u7dad\u6301\u300c\u6230\u7565\u6a21\u7cca\u300d\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4f46<strong>\u83ef\u5e9c\u5c62\u6b21\u5f37\u8abf\u5c0d\u53f0\u627f\u8afe<\/strong>\u3002\u76f8\u6bd4\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u83ef\u5e9c\u660e\u767d\u8868\u793a\u4e0d\u6703\u76f4\u63a5\u4f7f\u7528\u6b66\u529b\u4fdd\u8b77\u70cf\u514b\u862d\uff0c\u4f46\u82e5\u7fd2\u8fd1\u5e73\u60f3\u5165\u4fb5\u53f0\u7063\uff0c\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u7206\u767c\u6230\u722d\u3002<\/p>\n<h3 dir=\"ltr\">\u539f\u56e0\u4e09\uff1a\u7f8e\u4e0d\u4fdd\u53f0\u98a8\u96aa\u9ad8<\/h3>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u5f9e\u98a8\u96aa\u89d2\u5ea6\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u82e5\u7f8e\u570b\u6c92\u80fd\u4fdd\u8b77\u70cf\u514b\u862d\uff0c\u5c0d\u5317\u7d04\u7684\u50b7\u5bb3\u5f88\u6709\u9650\u3002\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u7f8e\u570b\u6c92\u80fd\u4fdd\u8b77\u53f0\u7063\uff0c\u5c07\u6703<strong>\u56b4\u91cd\u7834\u58de\u7f8e\u570b\u5728\u897f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u5730\u5340\u7684\u8ecd\u4e8b\u529b\u91cf<\/strong>\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u300c\u6253\u65b7\u8173\u8e1d\u300d\u7f8e\u570b\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u79d1\u6280\u512a\u52e2\u3002<\/p>\n<h3 dir=\"ltr\">\u539f\u56e0\u56db\uff1a\u4e2d\u4fb5\u53f0\u4ee3\u50f9\u9ad8<\/h3>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u5165\u4fb5\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u52dd\u7387\u6bd4\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u5165\u4fb5\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u4f4e\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u4ee3\u50f9\u9084\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002\u800c\u4e14\u4e0d\u50cf\u662f\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad8\u5ea6\u4f9d\u8cf4\u7f8e\u570b\uff0c\u82e5\u5165\u4fb5\u53f0\u7063\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u53ef\u80fd\u9762\u81e8\u7f9e\u8fb1\u822c\u5730\u5931\u6557\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u7834\u6ec5\u4ee5\u53ca\u5916\u4ea4\u5b64\u7acb\uff0c\u9019<strong>\u5a01\u8105\u7fd2\u8fd1\u5e73\u8207\u5171\u7522\u9ee8\u7684\u6b0a\u529b\u57fa\u790e<\/strong>\u3002<\/p>\n<h3 dir=\"ltr\">\u539f\u56e0\u4e94\uff1a\u73fe\u5728\u975e\u4fb5\u53f0\u6700\u4f73\u6642\u6a5f\u9ede<\/h3>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u66f4\u73fe\u5be6\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u7fd2\u8fd1\u5e73\u76ee\u6a19\u662f\u653e\u773c 2030 \u5e74\uff0c\u5230\u6642\u5019\u4e2d\u570b\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u6b0a\u529b\u5e73\u8861\u66f4\u50be\u5411\u4e2d\u570b\u4e00\u908a\u3002\u5230\u6642\u5019\u8aaa\u4e0d\u597d\u7f8e\u570b\u53c8\u9677\u5165\u653f\u6cbb\u5371\u6a5f\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u9078\u51fa\u4f86\u7684\u7e3d\u7d71\u4e0d\u9858\u610f\u4fdd\u8b77\u53f0\u7063\u3002\u73fe\u5728\u627f\u64d4\u98a8\u96aa\u662f\u6c92\u6709\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\u3002\u53ea\u8981\u53f0\u7063\u4e0d\u5ba3\u5e03\u7368\u7acb\uff0c\u7fd2\u8fd1\u5e73\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e0d\u63a1\u53d6\u4efb\u4f55\u884c\u52d5\u3002<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u5e03\u862d\u9ed8\u6700\u5f8c\u6279\u8a55\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u754c\u7684\u300c\u53ef\u4fe1\u5ea6\u300d\u8ff7\u601d\uff0c\u7e3d\u662f\u88ab\u7528\u4f86\u5408\u7406\u5316\u7f8e\u570b\u505a\u51fa\u9055\u80cc\u81ea\u5df1\u570b\u5bb6\u5229\u76ca\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u3002\u514b\u5236\u81ea\u5df1\u4e0d\u5728\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u554f\u984c\u4e0a\u885d\u52d5\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u53cd\u800c\u66f4\u80fd\u8b93\u5317\u4eac\u76f8\u4fe1\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u300c\u4e9e\u592a\u518d\u5e73\u8861\u300d\u662f\u73a9\u771f\u7684\uff0c\u9019\u6703\u52a0\u5f37\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u524a\u5f31\u7f8e\u570b\u4fdd\u8b77\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u5a01\u651d\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u82e5\u7f8e\u570b\u6372\u5165\u8207\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u7684\u6230\u722d\uff0c\u5c07\u6703\u5206\u6563\u7f8e\u570b\u5728\u5370\u592a\u5730\u5340\u7684\u8cc7\u6e90\uff0c<strong>\u53cd\u800c\u8b93\u4e2d\u570b\u66f4\u53ef\u80fd\u653b\u6253\u53f0\u7063<\/strong>\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u63a8\u85a6\u95b1\u8b80<\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2022\/01\/27\/us-submarine\/\">\u3010\u7f8e\u570b\u6c92\u5fd8\u8a18\u53f0\u7063\u3011\u4e2d\u570b\u4ee5\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u5fd9\u65bc\u4fc4\u70cf\u5c40\u52e2\uff0c\u5ffd\u7565\u53f0\u6d77\uff1f\u7f8e\u570b\u76f4\u63a5\u958b\u4e00\u8258\u300c\u7f55\u898b\u6f5b\u8266\u300d\u558a\u8072<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2022\/01\/27\/ukraine-russia-war\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u3010\u7f8e\u8b66\u544a\uff1a\u96e2\u4fc4\u570b\u958b\u6230\u53ea\u5269\u534a\u500b\u6708\u3011\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u9762\u5c0d\u5a01\u6b0a\u4fc4\u570b\u6b65\u6b65\u76f8\u903c\uff0c\u6c11\u4e3b\u6b50\u6d32\u59cb\u7d42\u7121\u6cd5\u771f\u6b63\u5236\u8861\uff1f<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2022\/01\/26\/russian-ukraine\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u4fc4\u70cf\u7dca\u5f35\u4e00\u89f8\u5373\u767c\uff01\u524d\u767d\u5bae\u570b\u5b89\u9867\u554f\u8b66\u544a\u4e2d\u570b\u6050\u8d81\u6a5f\u653b\u53f0\uff0c\u5404\u65b9\u5b78\u8005\u600e\u9ebc\u770b\uff1f<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u66f4\u591a\u4e0a\u5831\u597d\u6587\uff1a<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.upmedia.mg\/news_info.php?SerialNo=136374\">\u82f1\u5b78\u8005\uff1a\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u5371\u6a5f\u7684\u6839\u6e90\u3000\u662f\u666e\u4eac\u7684\u300c\u5927\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u7fa9\u300d<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.upmedia.mg\/news_info.php?SerialNo=136415\">\u62dc\u767b\u8b66\u544a\uff1a\u82e5\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u5165\u4fb5\u70cf\u514b\u862d\uff0c\u8003\u616e\u76f4\u63a5\u5236\u88c1\u666e\u4eac\u672c\u4eba<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a 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