{"id":18890,"date":"2014-06-06T13:05:05","date_gmt":"2014-06-06T05:05:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2014\/06\/06\/5-predictions-for-the-future-that-arent-so-new-after-al\/"},"modified":"2014-06-06T13:05:05","modified_gmt":"2014-06-06T05:05:05","slug":"5-predictions-for-the-future-that-arent-so-new-after-al","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2014\/06\/06\/5-predictions-for-the-future-that-arent-so-new-after-al\/","title":{"rendered":"\u9810\u6e2c\u672a\u4f86\u7e3d\u5931\u6e96\uff1a\u79d1\u6280\u9032\u6b65\u795e\u901f\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u4eba\u985e\u7684\u5922\u60f3\u5f9e\u6c92\u5be6\u73fe"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/farm2.staticflickr.com\/1117\/763399258_b2aae8ed6d_z.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"512\" height=\"384\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\uff08\u672c\u6587\u53d6\u81ea\u00a0<a href=\"\/\/paleofuture.gizmodo.com\/5-predictions-for-the-future-that-arent-so-new-after-al-1570866958\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">PaleoFuture<\/a>\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u70ba\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/paleofuture\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Matt Novak<\/a>\uff0cMatt \u73fe\u70ba\u00a0<a href=\"\/\/gizmodo.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Gizmode<\/a>\u00a0\u5beb\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u4ed6\u64c5\u9577\u4ee5\u6aa2\u8996\u904e\u53bb\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u4f86\u5beb\u95dc\u65bc\u672a\u4f86\u3002\u904e\u53bb\u4e5f\u66fe\u70ba\u00a0<a href=\"\/\/www.bbc.com\/future\/columns\/paleofuture\">BBC Future<\/a>\u3001<a href=\"\/\/www.theverge.com\/2012\/5\/24\/3035470\/future-passed-television-history\">\u00a0Verge<\/a>,\u00a0\u00a0<a href=\"\/\/online.wsj.com\/article\/SB10001424052748704816604576335320696532568.html\">Wall Street Journal<\/a>\u00a0\u7b49\u7b49\u5beb\u5c08\u6b04\u3002\uff09<\/p>\n<p>\u300a\u7d10\u7d04\u6642\u5831\u300b\u6700\u8fd1\u6709\u7bc7\u95dc\u65bc\u300c<a href=\"\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2014\/05\/02\/upshot\/FUTURE.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u672a\u4f86\u6703\u6709\u600e\u9ebc\u6a23\u7684\u79d1\u6280\uff1f<\/a>\u300d\u7684\u5831\u5c0e\uff0c\u7576\u4e2d\u8a2a\u554f\u4e86\u4e03\u500b\u5275\u696d\u5bb6\u548c\u79d1\u6280\u696d\u7684\u57f7\u884c\u9577\u3002\u9019\u7bc7\u5831\u5c0e\u6eff\u9177\u7684\uff0c\u8b93\u751f\u5728 2014 \u5e74\u7684\u6211\u5011\u64c1\u6709\u4e00\u5f35\u5c0d\u65bc\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u7c21\u8981\u5f71\u50cf\u3002\u4f46\u90a3\u4e9b\u60f3\u6cd5\u3001\u9810\u6e2c\uff0c\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u6211\u5011\u5c0d\u65bc\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u5922\u60f3\uff0c\u53cd\u800c\uff0c\u6709\u4e9b\u60f3\u6cd5\u65e9\u5df2\u662f\u904e\u53bb\u7684\u4e00\u4ee3\u5c0d\u65bc\u300c\u73fe\u5728\u300d\u7684\u5922\u60f3\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u4e9b\u9810\u6e2c\u90fd\u8a3b\u5b9a\u8981\u5931\u6557\u55ce\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\uff0c\u5176\u5be6\u6709\u4e9b\u9084\u771f\u7684\u975e\u5e38\u53ef\u884c\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u6c92\u6709\u4eba\u53ef\u4ee5\u6e96\u78ba\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\u672a\u4f86\uff0c\u4f46\u9019\u5c31\u662f\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u300c\u672a\u4f86\u300d\u8b8a\u6210\u4e00\u500b\u5927\u5bb6\u90fd\u975e\u5e38\u6709\u8208\u8da3\u63a2\u8a0e\u7684\u4e3b\u984c\u3002\u800c\u7576\u6211\u5011\u5728\u9032\u884c\u9810\u6e2c\u7684\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u300c\u6b77\u53f2\u300d\u4f86\u6aa2\u8996\u9019\u4e9b\u9810\u6e2c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005 Matt \u622a\u53d6\u4e86\u300a\u7d10\u7d04\u6642\u5831\u300b<a href=\"\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2014\/05\/02\/upshot\/FUTURE.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2014 \u5e74\u672a\u4f86\u9810\u6e2c<\/a>\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u4e5f\u6574\u7406\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u904e\u53bb\u5c0d\u65bc\u76f8\u540c\u4e3b\u984c\u985e\u4f3c\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\u3002\u7576\u7136\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7684\u5217\u8868\u53ea\u662f\u76ae\u6bdb\uff0c\u4ed6\u53ea\u662f\u60f3\u63d0\u9192\u5927\u5bb6\uff0c\u904e\u53bb\u7684\u6211\u5011\uff0c\u66fe\u7d93\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u63d0\u51fa\u54ea\u4e9b\u627f\u8afe\uff1f<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong><span style=\"color: #800000;\">\u54ea\u4e9b\u8352\u8b2c\u7684\u79d1\u6280\u5c07\u6703\u5728\u5e7e\u5341\u5e74\u5f8c\u8b8a\u5f97\u5f88\u7a00\u9b06\u5e73\u5e38\uff1f<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>2014 \u5e74\uff1a\u300c\u300e\u5ba2\u88fd\u5316\u85e5\u7269\u300f\uff0c\u60f3\u50cf\u4e00\u4e0b\uff0c\u91ab\u751f\u53ef\u4ee5\u6839\u64da\u4f60\u7684 DNA \u548c\u8eab\u9ad4\u75be\u75c5\uff0c\u5217\u5370\u51fa\u4f60\u9700\u8981\u7684\u85e5\u7269\u3002\u300dReid Hoffman \u8aaa\u3002<\/p>\n<p>1997 \u5e74\uff1a\u300c\u5927\u7d04\u5728 2012 \u5e74\u6642\uff0c\u5c0d\u65bc\u764c\u75c7\u7684\u57fa\u56e0\u6cbb\u7642\u5c07\u6703\u5f88\u7d14\u719f\uff0c\u800c\u518d\u4e94\u5e74\u5f8c\uff0c4,000 \u7a2e\u57fa\u56e0\u5e38\u898b\u75be\u75c5\u4e2d\uff0c\u6703\u6709\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u90fd\u80fd\u5229\u7528\u57fa\u56e0\u5de5\u7a0b\u907f\u514d\u3002\u300d1997 \u5e74\u4e03\u6708\uff0c<a href=\"\/\/archive.wired.com\/wired\/archive\/5.07\/longboom.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Wired<\/a>\u00a0magazine\u3002<\/p>\n<p>1996 \u5e74\uff1a\u300c\u4e8b\u5be6\u4e0a\uff0c\u5f88\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u5341\u5e74\u3001\u4e8c\u5341\u5e74\u5f8c\uff0c\u5927\u5bb6\u8eab\u4e0a\u90fd\u6703\u5e36\u8457\u4e00\u5f35\u667a\u6167\u578b\u5c0f\u5361\u7247\uff0c\u4e0a\u9762\u8a18\u8f09\u8457\u4f60\u7684\u57fa\u56e0\u578b\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u53ea\u8981\u4f60\u53bb\u770b\u75c5\u7684\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u91ab\u751f\u5c31\u80fd\u6839\u64da\u4f60\u7684\u5c0f\u5361\u7d66\u4e88\u7279\u5b9a\u7684\u85e5\u7269\u3001\u6cbb\u7642\u3002\u800c\u9019\u5c31\u662f\u5728\u5305\u7f85\u842c\u8c61\u7684\u79d1\u6280\u8da8\u52e2\u4e2d\u7684\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u500b\u4f8b\u5b50\uff0c\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u79d1\u6280\u6703\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u5ba2\u88fd\u5316\u3002\u300d1996 \u5e74\u4e03\uff0d\u516b\u6708\uff0cThe Futurist\u00a0magazine\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong><span style=\"color: #800000;\">\u79d1\u6280\u5c07\u6703\u628a\u54ea\u4e9b\u9818\u57df\u6dd8\u6c70\u6389\uff1f<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>2014 \u5e74\uff1a\u300c\u9ad8\u968e\u6559\u80b2\u3002\u300dEv Williams \u8aaa\u3002<\/p>\n<p>1935 \u5e74\uff1a\u300c\u7576\u96fb\u8996\u5ee3\u64ad\u771f\u7684\u666e\u53ca\u5230\u5bb6\u5bb6\u6236\u6236\uff0c\u5927\u6982\u4e00\u5169\u5e74\u5f8c\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u5c31\u80fd\u5728\u5bb6\u4e2d\u5b78\u7fd2\u4efb\u4f55\u4f60\u60f3\u7684\u5230\u7684\u79d1\u76ee\u3002\u85c9\u7531\u5ee3\u64ad\u6536\u807d\u5b78\u7fd2\u6578\u5b78\u3001\u5730\u7406\u3001\u5176\u4ed6\u77e5\u8b58\u76f8\u7576\u96e3\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u5149\u9760\u8072\u97f3\u7121\u6cd5\u5c07\u79d1\u76ee\u5177\u9ad4\u5316\uff0c\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u96fb\u8996\u5ee3\u64ad\u5728\u4e0d\u4e45\u5f8c\u4f5c\u70ba\u6559\u80b2\u7528\u9014\uff0c\u5730\u7406\u3001\u6578\u5b78\u7b49\u7b49\u79d1\u76ee\u9700\u8981\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u5716\u7247\u3001\u5716\u8868\uff0c\u5c31\u80fd\u6e05\u695a\u5730\u5448\u73fe\u7d66\u5927\u773e\u3002\u300d1935 \u5e74\u56db\u6708\uff0c\u00a0<a href=\"\/\/bit.ly\/1asVnBx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Short Wave Craft<\/a>\u00a0magazine\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong><span style=\"color: #800000;\">\u5728\u5e7e\u5341\u5e74\u5f8c\uff0c\u54ea\u4e9b\u79d1\u6280\u6703\u8b8a\u6210\u8001\u53e4\u8463\uff1f<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>2014 \u5e74\uff1a\u300c\u9470\u5319\u3002\u300dSebastian Thrun \uff08Google \u526f\u7e3d\u88c1\uff09 \u8aaa\u3002<\/p>\n<p>1996 \u5e74\uff1a\u300c\u53e3\u888b\u5728\u672a\u4f86\u5341\u5e74\u5c31\u4e0d\u6703\u518d\u50b3\u51fa\u53ee\u5679\u8072\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u63a5\u4e0b\u4f86\u6703\u6709\u300e\u667a\u6167\u578b\u5c0f\u5361\u300f\u53d6\u4ee3\u9322\u548c\u9470\u5319\u3002\u300d1996 \u5e74\u4e03\uff0d\u516b\u6708\u00a0The Futurist\u00a0magazine\u3002<\/p>\n<p>1993 \u5e74\uff1a\u300c\u4f60\u8a66\u904e\u7528\u4f60\u7684\u8072\u97f3\u958b\u9580\u55ce\uff1f\u300dDavid Fincher&#8217;s\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=TZb0avfQme8\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">AT&amp;T ad campaign<\/a>\u300a\u4f60\u5c07\u6703\uff0cYou Will\u300b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>1982 \u5e74\uff1a\u300c\u4ee5\u5f8c\u5f88\u591a\u6771\u897f\u90fd\u80fd\u8072\u63a7\u4e86\uff0c\u4f60\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ddf\u74e6\u65af\u7210\u5c0d\u8a71\uff0c\u4f60\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u8072\u97f3\u958b\u9580\uff0c\u4f60\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ddf\u4f60\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u50a2\u4ff1\u8aaa\u8a71\uff01\u300d1982 \u5e74\u4e00\u6708\u5341\u65e5\uff0c\u300a\u7d10\u7d04\u6642\u5831\uff1a<a href=\"\/\/www.nytimes.com\/1982\/01\/10\/us\/a-glimpse-of-the-year-2000.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u8ac7\u672a\u4f86\uff0d2000 \u5e74<\/a>\u300b\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #800000;\"><strong>\u54ea\u500b\u8b70\u984c\u5373\u5c07\u6709\u91cd\u5927\u6539\u8b8a\uff1f<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>2014 \u5e74\uff1a\u300c\u5de5\u696d\u5f0f\u755c\u7267\u8fb2\u5834\uff08\u67d0\u7a2e\u5de5\u696d\u5316\u751f\u7522\u904e\u7a0b\uff0c\u4ee5\u91cf\u7522\u70ba\u4e3b\uff0c\u5c0d\u65bc\u52d5\u7269\u6b98\u5fcd\uff09\u3002\u300dEv Williams \u8aaa\u3002<\/p>\n<p>1982 \u5e74\uff1a\u300c\u5728\u672a\u4f86\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u6703\u6162\u6162\u7684\u56de\u5230\u66f4\u4eba\u6027\u5316\u7684\u4e16\u754c\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u80fd\u5920\u5c07\u98df\u7269\u3001\u7522\u54c1\u5728\u5730\u5316\uff0c\u81ea\u7d66\u81ea\u8db3\uff0c\u8cb7\u725b\u8089\u4e0d\u518d\u53ea\u80fd\u8cb7\u7f8e\u570b\u725b\u3002\u300d1982 \u5e74\u4e00\u6708\u5341\u65e5\uff0c\u300a\u7d10\u7d04\u6642\u5831\uff1a<a href=\"\/\/www.nytimes.com\/1982\/01\/10\/us\/a-glimpse-of-the-year-2000.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u8ac7\u672a\u4f86\uff0d2000 \u5e74<\/a>\u300b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>1914 \u5e74\uff1a\u300c\u6211\u76f8\u4fe1\u5728\u9019\u500b\u4e16\u7d00\u672b\uff0c\u5927\u5bb6\u5c31\u4e0d\u6703\u518d\u5403\u52d5\u7269\u7684\u8089\u4e86\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u5230\u6642\u5019\u5eda\u623f\u7684\u5783\u573e\u3001\u5eda\u9918\u5c31\u6703\u8b8a\u5f97\u66f4\u597d\u8655\u7406\u3002\u300d1914 \u5e74\u4e00\u6708\uff0c<a href=\"\/\/www.paleofuture.com\/blog\/2007\/4\/23\/animal-food-abandoned-the-anaconda-standard-1914.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Anaconda Standard<\/a>\u00a0newspaper\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong><span style=\"color: #800000;\">\u79d1\u6280\u626e\u6f14\u7684\u89d2\u8272\uff0c\u5982\u4f55\u5f2d\u5e73\u5927\u5bb6\u6536\u5165\u4e0d\u5e73\u7b49\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff1f<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>2014 \u5e74\uff1a\u300c\u5341\u5e74\u3001\u4e8c\u5341\u5e74\u5f8c\uff0c\u77fd\u8c37\u5c07\u6703\u5c0d\u793e\u6703\u5c55\u958b\u597d\u5e7e\u5341\u5104\u7f8e\u91d1\u7684\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u7684\u6148\u5584\u56de\u994b\u3002\u300dMarc Andreessen \u8aaa\u3002<\/p>\n<p>1997 \u5e74\uff1a\u300c\u5927\u6982\u5728 2000 \u5e74\u6642\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u6703\u9054\u5230\u5dd4\u5cf0\uff0c\u5230\u6642\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u5eab\u6703\u524d\u6240\u672a\u6709\u7684\u5145\u88d5\uff0c\u800c\u9019\u4e5f\u5373\u5c07\u89e3\u6c7a\u653f\u5e9c\u9577\u671f\u7684\u8ca0\u50b5\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u4e5f\u8b93\u653f\u5e9c\u6709\u591a\u9918\u7684\u8cc7\u6e90\u8457\u624b\u65b0\u8a08\u5283\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u5c07\u4e0d\u7528\u518d\u659f\u914c\u7e2e\u6e1b\u54ea\u500b\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u7d93\u8cbb\uff0c\u653f\u6cbb\u4eba\u7269\u53ef\u4ee5\u56e0\u6b64\u958b\u59cb\u5229\u7528\u8cc7\u6e90\u89e3\u6c7a\u793e\u6703\u7684\u5927\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u50cf\u662f\u6bd2\u8ca9\u3001\u6bd2\u87f2\u3002\u800c\u653f\u5e9c\u4e5f\u7e3d\u7b97\u53ef\u4ee5\u6e1b\u5c11\u516c\u6c11\u8ce6\u7a05\u91d1\u984d\uff0c\u9019\u6703\u662f\u4e00\u5834\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u6177\u6168\u793e\u6703\u56de\u994b\u76db\u6703\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u96a8\u8457\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u84b8\u84b8\u65e5\u4e0a\u7684\u5927\u90e8\u4efd\u7f8e\u570b\u516c\u6c11\uff0c\u4e5f\u6703\u958b\u59cb\u6ce8\u610f\u5230\u9031\u908a\u53eb\u5f31\u52e2\u7684\u65cf\u7fa4\uff0c\u9032\u800c\u5e6b\u52a9\u4ed6\u5011\u3002\u300d1997 \u5e74\u4e03\u6708\uff0c<a href=\"\/\/archive.wired.com\/wired\/archive\/5.07\/longboom.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Wired<\/a>\u00a0magazine\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\uff08\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a<a href=\"\/\/paleofuture.gizmodo.com\/5-predictions-for-the-future-that-arent-so-new-after-al-1570866958\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">PaleoFuture<\/a>\uff1b\u5716\u7247\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/farm2.staticflickr.com\/1117\/763399258_b2aae8ed6d_z.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ILMO JOE<\/a>, CC Licensed\uff09<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uff08\u672c\u6587\u53d6\u81ea\u00a0PaleoFuture\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u70ba\u00a0Matt Novak\uff0cMatt \u73fe\u70ba\u00a0Gizmode\u00a0\u5beb\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u4ed6\u64c5\u9577\u4ee5\u6aa2\u8996\u904e\u53bb\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u4f86\u5beb\u95dc\u65bc\u672a\u4f86\u3002\u904e\u53bb\u4e5f\u66fe\u70ba\u00a0BBC Future\u3001\u00a0Verge,\u00a0\u00a0Wal[&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":261,"featured_media":40698,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[4558,26575],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18890"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/261"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18890"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18890\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/40698"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18890"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18890"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18890"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}