{"id":18328,"date":"2014-07-15T16:29:02","date_gmt":"2014-07-15T08:29:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2014\/07\/15\/age-invaders\/"},"modified":"2014-07-15T16:29:02","modified_gmt":"2014-07-15T08:29:02","slug":"age-invaders","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2014\/07\/15\/age-invaders\/","title":{"rendered":"\u9ad8\u9f61\u5316\u793e\u6703\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u504f\u597d\u5bcc\u4eba\u3001\u9ad8\u9f61\u8005\uff0c\u5e74\u8f15\u4eba\u8981\u751f\u5b58\u96e3\u554a\uff01"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/farm1.staticflickr.com\/21\/33968122_dc135bdd9f_z.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"419\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u5728 20 \u4e16\u7d00\u6642\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u6210\u9577\u4e86\u5169\u500d\u3002\u4f46\u5728\u9019\u500b\u4e16\u7d00\u4e2d\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u5728\u67d0\u4e9b\u570b\u5bb6\u4e2d\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u7684\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u751a\u81f3\u4e0d\u6703\u6210\u9577\u5230\u4e00\u500d\u3002\u4f46 65 \u6b72\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u5728 25 \u5e74\u5167\u5c07\u6703\u6210\u9577\u4e00\u500d\u3002<span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u9019\u500b\u4eba\u53e3\u7d50\u69cb\u4e0a\u7684\u6539\u8b8a\u4e0d\u50cf\u4e4b\u524d\u4e00\u6a23\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u4f46\u537b\u8db3\u4ee5\u6539\u8b8a\u9019\u500b\u4e16\u754c\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u64da\u806f\u5408\u570b\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u7d71\u8a08\u9810\u6e2c\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u5927\u7d04\u6709 6 \u5104\u4eba\u53e3\u5e74\u9f61\u5728 65 \u6b72\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002\u9019\u4ef6\u4e8b\u672c\u8eab\u5c31\u8b93\u4eba\u9a5a\u5606\u4e0d\u5df2\uff0c\u800c\u6839\u64da\u4f5c\u8005 <a href=\"\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Fred_Pearce\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Fred Pearce<\/a> \u7684\u8aaa\u6cd5\uff0c\u4eba\u985e\u53f2\u4e0a\u6d3b\u8d85\u904e 65 \u6b72\u7684\u4eba\u76ee\u524d\u6709\u4e00\u534a\u4ee5\u4e0a\u90fd\u9084\u6d3b\u8457\u3002\u4f46\u9019\u53ea\u4f54\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u7684 8%\uff0c\u548c\u5e7e\u4e16\u7d00\u524d\u76f8\u6bd4\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6c92\u6709\u592a\u5927\u7684\u6539\u8b8a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c<span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5230 2035 \u5e74\u70ba\u6b62\uff0c\u8d85\u904e 11 \u5104\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\uff0c\u5176\u5927\u7d04\u5360\u5168\u7403 13% \u7684\u4eba\u53e3\uff0c\u5c07\u6703\u8d85\u904e 65 \u6b72<\/strong><\/span>\u3002\u4e14\u56e0\u70ba\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u7684\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0b\u964d\u6240\u9020\u6210\u6574\u9ad4\u4eba\u53e3\u6210\u9577\u7684\u653e\u6162\uff0c\u9019\u5c07\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u5fc5\u7136\u7684\u7d50\u679c\uff0c\u800c\u9019\u4ee3\u8868\u4e86\u5e74\u8f15\u4eba\u53e3\u6bd4\u4f8b\u7684\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u6276\u990a\u6bd4\u4e5f\u5c07\u56e0\u6b64\u6210\u9577\u3002 \u5728 2010 \u5e74\uff0c16 \u4f4d\u8d85\u904e 65 \u6b72\u7684\u4eba\u5c0d\u61c9\u8457 100 \u4f4d 25~64 \u4f4d\u7684\u6210\u5e74\u4eba\uff0c\u5e7e\u4e4e\u548c 1980 \u5e74\u7684\u6bd4\u7387\u76f8\u540c\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"\/\/techorange.com\/?attachment_id=128515\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-128515\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-128515\" title=\"123\" src=\"\/\/techorange.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/05\/1231-428x550.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"428\" height=\"550\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u800c\u5230 2035 \u5e74\uff0c\u806f\u5408\u570b\u9810\u6e2c\u6276\u990a\u6bd4\u5c07\u4e0a\u5347\u5230 26\u3002\u5728\u5bcc\u6709\u570b\u5bb6\u4e2d\u6bd4\u4f8b\u6703\u66f4\u9ad8\uff08\u898b\u4e0a\u8868\uff09\u3002\u65e5\u672c\u6703\u5f9e 2010 \u5e74\u7684 43 \u4e0a\u5347\u5230 2035 \u5e74\u7684 69\uff0c\u5fb7\u570b\u5f9e 38 \u5230 66\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\u9019\u500b\u6709\u76f8\u5c0d\u9ad8\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u5176\u6276\u990a\u6bd4\u90fd\u5c07\u6703\u4e0a\u5347 70% \u5230 44\u3002 \u800c\u5728\u767c\u5c55\u4e2d\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u56e0\u70ba\u73fe\u5728\u6bd4\u4f8b\u4e0d\u9ad8\u6240\u4ee5\u5be6\u969b\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u4e0d\u6703\u4e0a\u5347\u5230\u592a\u9ad8\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u6210\u9577\u7684\u6bd4\u7387\u537b\u76f8\u5c0d\u9ad8\u7684\u591a\u3002\u800c\u5230 2035 \u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u6703\u5f9e 15 \u6210\u9577\u5230 36\uff0c\u800c\u62c9\u4e01\u7f8e\u6d32\u4e5f\u6703\u5f9e 14 \u4e0a\u5347\u5230 27\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u4e09\u7a2e\u767c\u5c55\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u5728\u9019\u5168\u7403\u8001\u5316\u4e2d\u6709\u4e00\u500b\u6975\u5927\u7684\u4f8b\u5916\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u4ecd\u6709\u9ad8\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u7684\u5357\u4e9e\u548c\u975e\u6d32\u3002\u56e0\u70ba\u9019\u4e9b\u5730\u5340\u76ee\u524d\u6709 30 \u5104\u4eba\uff0c\u4e14\u5230\u672c\u4e16\u7d00\u4e2d\u5c07\u6703\u9054\u5230 50 \u5104\u4eba\uff0c\u5176\u5e74\u8f15\u4eba\u53e3\u5c07\u6210\u70ba\u5c0d\u6297\u5168\u7403\u8001\u5316\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u7d44\u6210\u3002\u4f46\u9019\u53ea\u80fd\u6e1b\u7de9\u8001\u5316\u73fe\u8c61\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u626d\u8f49\u9019\u500b\u73fe\u8c61\u3002\u5230 2035 \u5e74\uff0c\u767c\u5c55\u4e2d\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\u6574\u9ad4\u7684\u6276\u990a\u6bd4\u5c07\u6703\u6210\u9577\u4e00\u500d\u5230 22\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u76ee\u524d\u666e\u904d\u63a5\u53d7\u7684\u89c0\u5ff5\u662f\u8d8a\u5927\u6bd4\u4f8b\u7684\u8001\u5e74\u4eba\u53e3\u5c07\u6703\u8b93\u6210\u9577\u8b8a\u6162\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u8001\u5e74\u4eba\u8981\u82b1\u539f\u672c\u6709\u7684\u8ca1\u7522\u4f86\u751f\u6d3b\uff0c\u9019\u6e1b\u5c11\u4e86\u5b58\u6b3e\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u4e14\u8cc7\u7522\u50f9\u683c\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u6709\u4e9b\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6\u5247\u8f03\u70ba\u6a02\u89c0\uff0c\u8a8d\u70ba\u4eba\u6703\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u66f4\u9577\uff0c\u653e\u68c4\u4e86\u539f\u672c\u505a\u8861\u91cf\u6642\u8a8d\u70ba 65 \u6b72\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u4eba\u90fd\u4e0d\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u5047\u8a2d\u3002\u800c\u6709\u7b2c\u4e09\u500b\u5718\u9ad4\u91cd\u65b0\u8a0e\u8ad6\u5230<a href=\"\/\/zh.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/%E9%98%BF%E7%88%BE%E6%96%87%C2%B7%E6%BC%A2%E6%A3%AE\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> Alvin Hansen<\/a> \u7684\u770b\u6cd5\uff0c\u5176\u88ab\u7a31\u4e4b\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u51f1\u56e0\u65af\uff0c\u4ed6\u8a8d\u70ba\u5728 1938 \u5e74\u7f8e\u570b\u7e2e\u6e1b\u4e2d\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u5c07\u6703\u964d\u4f4e\u516c\u53f8\u6295\u8cc7\u7684\u610f\u9858\uff0c<span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u56e0\u70ba\u66f4\u5c11\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u4eba\u53e3\u6703\u6e1b\u5c11\u6295\u8cc7\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u6703\u9020\u6210\u6301\u7e8c\u7684\u505c\u6eef\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u5728 1946 ~ 1964 \u5e74\u9593\u7121\u9810\u671f\u7684\u5b30\u5152\u6f6e\u6253\u4e82\u4e86 Hansen \u7684\u9810\u6e2c\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u975e\u9810\u671f\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4ecd\u5c07\u6703\u64fe\u4e82\u4eca\u65e5\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u7d71\u8a08\u9810\u6e2c\u3002\u4f46\u6211\u5011\u5fc5\u9808\u8981\u77e5\u9053\u5b30\u5152\u6f6e\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u4e16\u754c\u6230\u722d\u6240\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u4e0d\u80fd\u5c07\u5176\u8996\u70ba\u89e3\u6c7a\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\u3002\u82e5\u8001\u5e74\u4eba\u53e3\u5de5\u4f5c\u5f97\u66f4\u4e45\u4e26\u5b58\u6b3e\u66f4\u4e45\uff0c\u7576\u6210\u9577\u6e1b\u7de9\u4ee3\u8868\u8457\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u610f\u9858\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4e8b\u60c5\u5c07\u6703\u63a5\u8fd1 Hansen \u6240\u9810\u6e2c\u7684\u90a3\u6a23\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u4ed6\u6240\u9810\u6e2c\u7684\u7e3d\u9ad4\u4eba\u53e3\u4e0b\u964d\u6c92\u6709\u5230\u4f86\u3002 \u5728\u5e7e\u500b\u6708\u524d\uff0c\u524d\u8ca1\u653f\u90e8\u9577\u54c8\u4f5b\u6559\u6388 Larry Summers \u8a8d\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u986f\u793a\u5176\u65e9\u5df2\u53d7\u82e6\u65bc Hansen \u6240\u63d0\u5230\u7684\u300c\u9577\u671f\u505c\u6eef\u300d\u4e2d\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u800c\u8ab0\u662f\u5c0d\u7684? \u9019\u500b\u7b54\u6848\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u6aa2\u6e2c\u4e09\u500b\u4eba\u53e3\u7d71\u8a08\u4e3b\u8981\u5f71\u97ff\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u7684\u7ba1\u9053\uff1a<span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u52de\u52d5\u4eba\u53e3\u591a\u5be1\u7684\u8b8a\u5316\u3001\u751f\u7522\u6210\u9577\u7387\u7684\u8b8a\u5316\u4ee5\u53ca\u5b58\u6b3e\u65b9\u5f0f\u7684\u8b8a\u5316<\/strong><\/span>\u3002\u90a3\u4e9b\u6aa2\u6e2c\u7684\u7d50\u679c\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u6c7a\u5b9a\u6027\u3002<span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u4f46\u81f3\u5c11\u5728\u63a5\u4e0b\u4f86\u7684\u5e7e\u5e74\uff0cHansen \u7684\u64d4\u6182\u5c07\u8b8a\u5f97\u548c\u6211\u5011\u606f\u606f\u76f8\u95dc\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u4e00\u500b\u51fa\u4e4e\u610f\u6599\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff1a\u9ad8\u6280\u8853\u5de5\u4f5c\u8005\u6bd4\u4ed6\u5011\u73fe\u5728\uff0c\u5de5\u4f5c\u5f97\u66f4\u4e45\u4e26\u4e14\u66f4\u6709\u751f\u7522\u529b\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u7b2c\u4e00\u500b\u56e0\u70ba\u4eba\u53e3\u8001\u5316\u4e26\u4e14\u6c92\u6709\u5927\u5e45\u6210\u9577\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u6700\u660e\u986f\u7684\u73fe\u8c61\u662f\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u9000\u4f11\u5e74\u9f61\u6539\u8b8a\uff0c\u4e0d\u7136\u5de5\u4f5c\u4eba\u53e3\u4e00\u5b9a\u6703\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u800c\u9019\u4ee3\u8868\u4e86\u7522\u51fa\u7684\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u751f\u7522\u529b\u7684\u63d0\u5347\u628a\u5f71\u97ff\u62b5\u92b7\u3002\u6839\u64da\u806f\u5408\u570b\u7684\u6a19\u6e96\u4f86\u5047\u8a2d\uff0c\u7576\u9000\u4f11\u5e74\u9f61\u4ecd\u5728 65 \u6b72\uff0c\u800c\u751f\u7522\u529b\u6c92\u6709\u6210\u9577\u7684\u8a71\uff0c\u8001\u5316\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u5c07\u6703\u5728\u672a\u4f86\u5e7e\u5e74\u6e1b\u5c11 2\/3 ~ 1\/2 \u7684\u5bcc\u6709\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u6210\u9577\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u6709\u6280\u8853\u8005\u5c31\u6703\u6301\u7e8c\u5de5\u4f5c<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u745e\u58eb\u4fe1\u8cb8\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6 Amlan Roy \u8a08\u7b97\u51fa\u5728 2010~2013 \u5e74\u9593\u7684\u65e5\u672c GDP \u6bcf\u5e74\u56e0\u70ba\u4eba\u53e3\u8001\u5316\u5e36\u4f86\u5e73\u5747 0.6% \u7684\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u800c\u63a5\u8457\u5e7e\u5e74\u5c07\u6703\u6210\u9577\u5230\u6bcf\u5e74\u4e0b\u964d 1%\u3002\u800c\u5fb7\u570b\u7684 GDP \u4e5f\u5c07\u56e0\u6b64\u800c\u6bcf\u5e74\u4e0b\u964d 0.5%\u3002\u800c\u540c\u6a23\u7684\u5047\u8a2d\u4e0b\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5b30\u5152\u6f6e\u4e16\u4ee3\u9000\u4f11\u5f8c\u4e5f\u6703\u9020\u6210 0.7% \u7684\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\u52de\u52d5\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u771f\u6b63\u5927\u5c0f\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u7d50\u69cb\u3002\u9019\u6c7a\u5b9a\u65bc\u90a3\u4e9b\u4eba\u5de5\u4f5c\u53ca\u4ed6\u5011\u5de5\u4f5c\u591a\u4e45\u3002\u800c\u5728 20 \u4e16\u7d00\u5f8c\u671f\uff0c\u5f8c\u8005\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u6539\u8b8a\u7684\u5f88\u5c11\u3002 \u800c\u6839\u64da David Bloom\u3001David Canning \u9084\u6709 G\u00fcnther Fink \u4e09\u4eba\u5728\u54c8\u4f5b\u5c0d 43 \u500b\u6700\u6709\u9322\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u767c\u73fe\uff0c\u5f9e 1965 ~ 2005 \u5e74\u9593\uff0c\u9000\u4f11\u5e74\u9f61\u53ea\u5ef6\u5f8c\u4e86\u516d\u500b\u6708\uff0c\u4f46\u540c\u6642\u7537\u6027\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u58fd\u547d\u5728\u9019\u6bb5\u6642\u9593\u4e2d\u5ef6\u9577\u4e86\u4e5d\u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5728\u65b0\u4e16\u7d00\u7684\u5230\u4f86\u5f8c\uff0c\u6f6e\u6d41\u4e5f\u96a8\u4e4b\u6539\u8b8a\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u6709 20% \u8d85\u904e 65 \u6b72\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u4eba\u4ecd\u5728\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u5c0d\u6bd4\u65bc 2000 \u5e74\u7684 13%\u3002\u800c\u73fe\u5728\u6709\u4e00\u534a\u4ee5\u4e0a 60 \u51fa\u982d\u7684\u7684\u570b\u4eba\u90fd\u5728\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u5728 10 \u5e74\u524d\u7684 1\/4 \u76f8\u6bd4\u591a\u51fa\u8a31\u591a\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u662f\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u3002\u8ca0\u50b5\u7d2f\u7d2f\u7684\u6b50\u6d32\u570b\u5bb6\u6e1b\u5c11\u4e86\u4ed6\u5011\u627f\u8afe\u7684\u9000\u4f11\u91d1\u4e26\u62c9\u9ad8\u4e86\u9000\u4f11\u5e74\u9f61\u3002\u516d\u500b\u6b50\u6d32\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u7fa9\u5927\u5229\u3001\u897f\u73ed\u7259\u548c\u8377\u862d\u90fd\u628a\u6cd5\u5b9a\u9000\u4f11\u5e74\u9f61\u548c\u9810\u671f\u58fd\u547d\u639b\u52fe\u3002 \u500b\u4eba\u8ca1\u52d9\u72c0\u6cc1\u4e5f\u662f\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u90e8\u4efd\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u3002\u5728\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u570b\u5bb6 2008 \u5e74\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u6a5f\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u8b93\u8a31\u591a\u63a5\u8fd1\u9000\u4f11\u7684\u4eba\u7684\u5b58\u6b3e\u5927\u53d7\u5f71\u97ff\u3002\u800c\u516c\u53f8\u9000\u4f11\u91d1\u8a08\u756b\u4e2d\u53d7\u96c7\u8005\u7684\u7d42\u751f\u990a\u8001\u91d1\u7684\u6e1b\u5c11\u4e5f\u8b93\u8a31\u591a\u4eba\u6c7a\u5b9a\u8981\u5de5\u4f5c\u66f4\u9577\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"\/\/techorange.com\/?attachment_id=129237\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-129237\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-129237\" title=\"13\" src=\"\/\/techorange.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/05\/13-427x550.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"427\" height=\"550\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u4f46\u53e6\u5916\u4e00\u500b\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u662f\u6559\u80b2\u3002\u53d7\u66f4\u9ad8\u6559\u80b2\u7684\u8001\u4eba\u50be\u5411\u65bc\u5de5\u4f5c\u66f4\u4e45\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"\/\/www.brookings.edu\/\">Brookings Institution\u00a0<\/a>\u7684\u00a0Gary Burtless \u66fe\u91dd\u5c0d\u6b64\u8b70\u984c\u9032\u884c\u7d71\u8a08\uff1b\u4ed6\u767c\u73fe\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\u53ea\u6709 32% \u7684\u6c92\u6709\u7e7c\u7e8c\u6df1\u9020\u7684\u9ad8\u4e2d\u7562\u696d\u751f\uff0c\u5230\u4e86 62~74 \u6b72\u4ecd\u5728\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002\u800c\u6709\u6559\u6388\u5b78\u6b77\u7684\u7537\u4eba\u5247\u662f 65%\uff08\u96d6\u7136\u9019\u4e9b\u4eba\u76f8\u7576\u7684\u5c11\uff09\u3002\u800c\u5973\u4eba\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u5247\u662f 25% ~ 50%\uff0c\u96a8\u8457\u53d7\u9ad8\u6559\u80b2\u5973\u6027\u5728\u516d\u5341\u5e7e\u6b72\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u4eba\u53e3\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0a\u5347 \uff08\u898b\u4e0a\u8868\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u6b50\u6d32\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u985e\u578b\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u8005\u90fd\u6bd4\u904e\u53bb\u5de5\u4f5c\u5230\u66f4\u8001\uff0c\u5176\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u4e26\u4e0d\u986f\u8457\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u5341\u5206\u9a5a\u4eba\u3002\u53ea\u6709 1\/4 \u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u6559\u80b2\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u6b50\u6d32\u4eba\u5728 60\u00a0~ 64 \u6b72 \u9593\u9084\u5728\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u800c\u81f3\u5c11\u6709\u4e00\u500b\u5b78\u4f4d\u7684\u4eba\u5247\u662f\u6709\u4e00\u534a\u4ee5\u4e0a\u5728\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u500b\u73fe\u8c61\u4e26\u975e\u96e3\u4ee5\u89e3\u91cb\u3002\u4f4e\u6280\u8853\u8005\u4e00\u822c\u90fd\u5f9e\u4e8b\u52de\u529b\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u96a8\u8457\u5e74\u7d00\u589e\u9577\u5c31\u6703\u66f4\u96e3\u7e7c\u7e8c\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002\u800c\u52de\u529b\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u85aa\u6c34\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u4f4e\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u653f\u5e9c\u9000\u4f11\u91d1\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u8a98\u4eba\u3002\u5c0d\u90a3\u4e9b\u4f4e\u6280\u8853\u7684\u5931\u696d\u8005\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u9000\u4f11\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u5341\u5206\u99ed\u4eba\u7684\u9078\u9805\u3002Clemens Hetschko\u3001Andreas Knabe \u548c Ronnie Sch\u00f6b \u4e09\u4eba\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u986f\u793a\uff1a\u90a3\u4e9b\u5f9e\u5931\u696d\u76f4\u63a5\u5230\u9000\u4f11\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u7d93\u6b77\u4ee4\u4eba\u9a5a\u8a1d\u7684\u5e78\u798f\u611f\u63d0\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u9ad8\u6280\u8853\u5de5\u4f5c\u8005\u56e0\u70ba\u85aa\u6c34\u591a\u800c\u50be\u5411\u65bc\u7e7c\u7e8c\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002\u540c\u6642\u9019\u4e9b\u4eba\u4e5f\u66f4\u52a0\u5065\u5eb7\u8207\u9577\u58fd\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u4ed6\u5011\u80fd\u5920\u5de5\u4f5c\u8d85\u904e 65 \u6b72\u9084\u80fd\u5920\u4eab\u53d7\u4ed6\u5011\u5de5\u4f5c\u6240\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u751c\u7f8e\u679c\u5be6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u9019\u4e26\u4e0d\u8868\u793a\u52de\u52d5\u4eba\u53e3\u5c07\u6703\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u8d85\u904e 60 \u6b72\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u6bd4\u7387\u4ecd\u7136\u6bd4\u4ed6\u5011\u5e74\u8f15\u6642\u4f4e\uff0c\u800c\u751a\u81f3\u56e0\u70ba\u66f4\u591a\u6709\u6280\u8853\u7684\u8001\u5e74\u4eba\u4ecd\u5728\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u4f4e\u6280\u8853\u7684\u5e74\u8f15\u4eba\u6c92\u6709\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002\u5728\u6b50\u6d32\uff0c\u5931\u696d\u7387\u6700\u9ad8\u7684\u662f\u90a3\u4e9b\u4f4e\u6559\u80b2\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u5e74\u8f15\u4eba\u3002\u800c\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\uff0c\u52de\u52d5\u53c3\u8207\u7387\u662f\u8fd1\u4e09\u4e16\u7d00\u4ee5\u4f86\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\uff0863%\uff09\uff0c\u800c\u5176\u4e2d\u4f4e\u6280\u8853\u4eba\u7fa4\u7684\u5c31\u696d\u4e0b\u964d\u7684\u6700\u591a\u3002\u800c\u56e0\u70ba\u5973\u6027\u7684\u52de\u52d5\u53c3\u8207\u7387\u6c92\u6709\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4e14\u4e0d\u6b61\u8fce\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u52de\u5de5\u79fb\u5165\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u8001\u5e74\u4eba\u4ecd\u6301\u7e8c\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u90a3\u4e9b\u5bcc\u6709\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u52de\u52d5\u4eba\u53e3\u4ecd\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u7a7a\u6d1e\u5316\u7684\u5f8c\u907a\u75c7<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u751f\u7522\u529b\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u8a71\uff0c\u8f03\u5c0f\u7684\u52de\u52d5\u4eba\u53e3\u4e26\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u6703\u6291\u5236\u6210\u9577\u3002\u4f46\u9019\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u5927\u5bb6\u5728\u9762\u5c0d\u8001\u5316\u4eba\u53e3\u6642\u7684\u666e\u904d\u770b\u6cd5\uff0c\u8a31\u591a\u7814\u7a76\u548c\u82e6\u6f80\u7684\u7d93\u9a57\u544a\u8a34\u6211\u5011\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u8eab\u9ad4\u548c\u8a8d\u77e5\u80fd\u529b\u90fd\u6703\u96a8\u8457\u5e74\u9f61\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u4e00\u500b\u7531\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u7684\u5b78\u8853\u4e09\u4eba\u7d44\u6839\u64da\u300c\u661f\u969b\u722d\u9738\u4e8c\u300d\u6240\u4f5c\u7684\u65b0\u7814\u7a76\u986f\u793a\u51fa\u4eba\u7684\u8166\u529b\u5927\u7d04\u5728 24 \u6b72\u5c31\u6703\u9054\u5230\u5dd4\u5cf0\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u800c\u4e14\u8001\u5316\u7684\u793e\u6703\u5f88\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u9677\u5165\u50f5\u5316\u7684\u60c5\u5f62\u3002\u767c\u660e\u300c<a href=\"\/\/zh.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/%E7%AC%AC%E4%B8%89%E4%B8%96%E7%95%8C\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u7b2c\u4e09\u4e16\u754c<\/a>\u300d\u9019\u500b\u540d\u8a5e\u7684\u6cd5\u570b\u601d\u60f3\u5bb6\u00a0<a href=\"\/\/zh.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/%E9%98%BF%E5%B0%94%E5%BC%97%E9%9B%B7%E5%BE%B7%C2%B7%E7%B4%A2%E7%BB%B4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Alfred Sauvy<\/a> \u64d4\u5fc3\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e16\u754c\u5c07\u6703\u8b8a\u6210\u4e00\u500b\u300c\u8001\u4eba\u7684\u793e\u6703\uff0c\u4e26\u4f4f\u5728\u8001\u820a\u7684\u623f\u5b50\u5167\uff0c\u6c89\u6eba\u65bc\u8001\u820a\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\u3002\u300d\u65e5\u672c\u5728 1990 \u5e74\u4ee3\u7576\u5de5\u4f5c\u5e74\u9f61\u4eba\u53e3\u7e2e\u6e1b\u6642\u7684\u751f\u7522\u529b\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u800c\u5fb7\u570b\u7684\u751f\u7522\u529b\u4e5f\u5728\u4eba\u53e3\u8001\u5316\u6642\u8868\u73fe\u9eef\u6de1\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u65e5\u672c\u7684\u751f\u7522\u529b\u6210\u9577\u6e1b\u7de9\u4e5f\u53ef\u6b78\u56e0\u65bc\u5176\u8cc7\u7522\u6ce1\u6cab\u7684\u60c5\u5f62\uff0c\u5fb7\u570b\u7684\u60c5\u5f62\u4e5f\u53ef\u8aaa\u662f\u70ba\u4e86\u6e1b\u5c11\u5931\u696d\u800c\u9020\u6210\u7684\u7d50\u679c\u3002\u800c\u9019\u5169\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u96d6\u7136\u4eba\u53e3\u8001\u5316\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u7d93\u6fdf\u8ad6\u58c7\u4e0a\u95dc\u65bc\u5275\u65b0\u7684\u6392\u540d\u537b\u662f\u6bd4\u7f8e\u570b\u9084\u597d\u3002\u800c\u5de5\u4f5c\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u6e1b\u5c11\u4e5f\u6703\u4fc3\u9032\u4f4e\u52de\u529b\u9ad8\u8cc7\u672c\u5bc6\u96c6\u7684\u79d1\u6280\u6210\u9577\uff0c\u50cf\u662f\u65e5\u672c\u516c\u53f8\u5728\u6a5f\u5668\u4eba\u7167\u9867\u8001\u5e74\u4eba\u7684\u65b9\u9762\u5c31\u5c45\u65bc\u9818\u5148\u5730\u4f4d\u3002\u5728\u9019\u500b\u6a5f\u5668\u65e5\u76ca\u8070\u660e\u7684\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u751f\u7522\u529b\u7684\u6210\u9577\u5df2\u4e0d\u80fd\u50c5\u6b78\u56e0\u65bc\u8a8d\u77e5\u4e0a\u7684\u6d3b\u529b\uff0c\u800c\u61c9\u8a72\u662f\u6fc0\u52f5\u3001\u6280\u5de7\u548c\u7ba1\u7406\u7d93\u9a57\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u6216\u8a31\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u6559\u80b2\uff0c\u5728\u4efb\u4f55\u5e74\u9f61\u90fd\u80fd\u5e36\u4f86\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u751f\u7522\u529b\u3002\u56e0\u70ba\u9019\u4e9b\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u9ad8\u6559\u80b2\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u8001\u5e74\u5de5\u4f5c\u8005\u80fd\u63d0\u9ad8\u751f\u7522\u529b\uff0c\u4e26\u62b5\u92b7\u52de\u52d5\u4eba\u53e3\u7e2e\u6e1b\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u5169\u5cb8\u7684\u8b49\u64da\u90fd\u986f\u793a\u4e86\u9019\u500b\u7d50\u679c\u3002\u4e00\u500b\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u986f\u793a\u51fa\u8001\u5e74\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u751f\u7522\u529b\u4e0d\u6210\u6bd4\u4f8b\u5730\u5927\u5e45\u6210\u9577\uff0c\u5c31\u5982\u540c\u5927\u5bb6\u6703\u731c\u6e2c\u5176\u662f\u5426\u4e5f\u6709\u8457\u4e0d\u6210\u6bd4\u4f8b\u5730\u9ad8\u6559\u80b2\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002\u00a0<a href=\"\/\/www.dza.de\/en\/\">German Centre of Gerontology<\/a>\u00a0\u7684 Laura Romeu Gordo \u548c\u00a0<a href=\"\/\/www.iiasa.ac.at\/\">International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis<\/a>\u7684 Vegard Skirbekk \u767c\u73fe\u5728\u5fb7\u570b\u7684\u8001\u5e74\u5de5\u4f5c\u8005\u50be\u5411\u65bc\u9032\u5165\u4e00\u4e9b\u9700\u8981\u9ad8\u8a8d\u77e5\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002\u6216\u8a31\u56e0\u70ba\u9019\u4e9b\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c50 \u6b72\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u4eba\u7684\u85aa\u6c34\u6bd4\u5e74\u8f15\u4eba\u9ad8\u51fa\u4e0d\u5c11\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u5c0d\u90a3\u4e9b\u6709\u8457\u9ad8\u6559\u80b2\u4eba\u6c11\u4e14\u6b63\u6b65\u5165\u8001\u5e74\u5316\u793e\u6703\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\u4f86\u8aaa\u662f\u597d\u65b0\u805e\uff0c\u4f46\u5c0d\u90a3\u4e9b\u4f4e\u5ea6\u767c\u5c55\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u5c31\u4e0d\u662f\u4e86\u3002\u5c07\u8fd1\u4e00\u534a\u5728 50~64 \u6b72\u9593\u7684\u4e2d\u570b\u5de5\u4f5c\u8005\u5c0f\u5b78\u6c92\u6709\u7562\u696d\uff0c\u800c\u7576\u9019\u4e9b\u4f4e\u6280\u8853\u7684\u4eba\u8001\u5316\u6642\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u751f\u7522\u529b\u4e5f\u96a8\u4e4b\u4e0b\u6ed1\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u5011\u7528\u56de\u61b6\u55ae\u5b57\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u5be6\u9a57\u4f86\u6e2c\u8a66\u3001\u6bd4\u8f03\u5bcc\u6709\u548c\u767c\u5c55\u4e2d\u570b\u5bb6 50 \u6b72\u5de5\u4f5c\u8005\u7684\u8a8d\u77e5\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u4e26\u7528\u9019\u4e9b\u7d50\u679c\u4f86\u8861\u91cf\u5176\u4f9d\u8cf4\u6bd4\u7387\u3002\u9019\u9805\u8a8d\u77e5\u8b8a\u5316\u6bd4\u7387\u5728\u5317\u6b50\u6bd4\u5728\u4e2d\u570b\u4f86\u7684\u4f4e\uff0c\u5118\u7ba1\u5728\u5317\u6b50\u7684\u8001\u5e74\u6bd4\u7387\u8f03\u9ad8\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u8001\u5e74\u4eba\u5728\u8a8d\u77e5\u6e2c\u9a57\u4e0a\u90fd\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u8f03\u9ad8\u7684\u5206\u6578\u3002\u800c\u7f8e\u570b\u548c\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u6bd4\u8f03\u4e5f\u6709\u8457\u76f8\u4f3c\u7684\u7d50\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5982\u679c\u6280\u8853\u548c\u6559\u80b2\u6c7a\u5b9a\u8001\u5e74\u4eba\u80fd\u5de5\u4f5c\u5f97\u591a\u597d\u548c\u591a\u4e45\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u6771\u897f\u5c0d\u5132\u84c4\u4e5f\u6709\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u5f71\u97ff<\/strong><\/span>\uff0c\u5b58\u6b3e\u662f\u7b2c\u4e09\u7a2e\u56e0\u70ba\u5e74\u7d00\u589e\u9577\u800c\u5f71\u97ff\u7684\u6771\u897f\u3002\u4e00\u5927\u7fa4\u9ad8\u6559\u80b2\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u8001\u5e74\u4eba\u8cfa\u4e86\u5168\u90e8\u6240\u5f97\u4e2d\u7684\u4e00\u5927\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u81ea\u5f9e 2000 \u5e74\u5f8c\u90a3\u4e9b\u5b30\u5152\u6f6e\u4e16\u4ee3\u7684\u9ad8\u6559\u80b2\u5de5\u4f5c\u8005\u9081\u5165\u516d\u5341\u5e7e\u6b72\u5f8c\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u7537\u6027\u6536\u5165\u4e2d 60~74 \u6b72\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u5c31\u5f9e 7.3% \u4e0a\u5347\u5230 12.7%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6709\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u5b58\u6b3e\u6703\u7559\u5230\u9000\u4f11\u5f8c\u518d\u6c7a\u5b9a\u662f\u5426\u4f7f\u7528\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64 60 \u591a\u7684\u4eba\u64c1\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u5b58\u6b3e\uff0c\u8b93\u4ed6\u5011\u5230 80 \u597d\u5e7e\u6642\u9084\u80fd\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u6d88\u8cbb\u3002\u4f46\u8a31\u591a\u9ad8\u6559\u80b2\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u8001\u5e74\u4eba\u6703\u6709\u6bd4\u4ed6\u5011\u5230\u6b7b\u524d\u8981\u82b1\u7684\u9322\u9084\u591a\u5f97\u591a\u7684\u5b58\u6b3e\uff0c\u800c\u6709\u4e9b\u9593\u63a5\u7684\u8b49\u64da\u8b49\u660e\u4e86\u9019\u9805\u63a8\u8ad6\uff0c\u6cd5\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6 Thomas Piketty \u8a08\u7b97\u51fa\u6cd5\u570b 80 \u6b72\u5340\u9593\u7684\u4eba\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u8ca1\u5bcc\u662f 50 \u6b72\u4eba\u7684 134%\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u81ea\u5f9e 1930 \u5e74\u4ee3\u4e4b\u5f8c\u7684\u6700\u5927\u5dee\u8ddd\u3002\u800c\u81f3\u5c11\u5728\u63a5\u4e0b\u4f86\u9019\u5e7e\u5e74\uff0c\u6280\u8853\u4e0d\u5747\u7684\u8001\u5316\u60c5\u5f62\u5c07\u6703\u4ee3\u8868\u8457\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u4e0d\u5747\u548c\u79c1\u4eba\u5b58\u6b3e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u540c\u6642\u5728\u5bcc\u88d5\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\uff08\u7279\u5225\u662f\u5728\u6b50\u6d32\uff09\u6b63\u5728\u7e2e\u6e1b\u9000\u4f11\u91d1\u627f\u8afe\u4ee5\u6e1b\u4f4e\u8d64\u5b57\uff0c\u800c\u9019\u5169\u8005\u90fd\u6703\u589e\u52a0\u570b\u6c11\u5132\u84c4\u3002\u6e1b\u5c11\u672a\u4f86\u9000\u4f11\u91d1\u7684\u6539\u9769\u4ee3\u8868\u8457\uff0c\u4e0d\u8ad6\u6280\u8853\u9ad8\u4f4e\uff0c\u63a5\u8fd1\u9000\u4f11\u7684\u4eba\u90fd\u6703\u5b58\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u9322\uff0c\u800c\u9019\u4e5f\u6e1b\u5c11\u4e86\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u6bcf\u500b\u8001\u4eba\u8eab\u4e0a\u7684\u652f\u51fa\u3002\u6b50\u76df\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\u6307\u51fa\u5728\u63a5\u4e0b\u4f86\u7684\u5341\u5e74\u4e2d\u589e\u52a0\u7684 0.6% \u4e4b\u524d\uff0c2010 ~ 2020 \u5e74\u9593\u9000\u4f11\u91d1\u7684\u652f\u51fa\u5c07\u6703\u5728 GDP \u4e2d\u4e0b\u964d 0.1%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7e3d\u9ad4\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u9ad8\u6559\u80b2\u4eba\u58eb\u7684\u9ad8\u5b58\u6b3e\u548c\u4e0d\u518d\u6177\u6168\u7684\u9000\u4f11\u91d1\uff0c\u5c07\u6703\u5728\u5bcc\u88d5\u570b\u5bb6\u4e2d\u5e36\u4f86\u8d85\u4e4e\u9810\u671f\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u7bc0\u7d04\uff0c\u800c\u81f3\u5c11\u5728\u63a5\u4e0b\u4f86\u5e7e\u5e74\u4e2d\u90fd\u6703\u6301\u7e8c\u767c\u751f\u3002\u5982\u679c\u90a3\u4e9b\u5b58\u6b3e\u8005\u767c\u73fe\u9ad8\u751f\u7522\u529b\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u6a5f\u6703\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u9019\u4e9b\u5b58\u6b3e\u5c07\u6703\u523a\u6fc0\u9577\u671f\u7684\u6210\u9577\uff0c\u4f46\u54ea\u88e1\u624d\u6709\u9019\u4e9b\u6a5f\u6703\u5462\uff1f\u4e00\u822c\u4f86\u8aaa\u6709\u5169\u7a2e\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u4e00\u7a2e\u662f\u5728\u5df2\u958b\u767c\u570b\u5bb6\u4e2d\u7684\u5feb\u901f\u5275\u65b0\uff0c\u6216\u662f\u6295\u8cc7\u5728\u767c\u5c55\u4e2d\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u90a3\u4e9b\u5e74\u8f15\u4e14\u7aae\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u5e78\u7684\u662f\u8cc7\u91d1\u662f\u5f9e\u958b\u767c\u4e2d\u570b\u5bb6\u6d41\u5f80\u5df2\u958b\u767c\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u76f8\u53cd\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u3002\u6700\u6210\u529f\u7684\u958b\u767c\u4e2d\u570b\u5bb6\u6709\u8457\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u5916\u532f\u5b58\u5e95\uff0c\u800c\u8a31\u591a\u570b\u5bb6\u4f9d\u8cf4\u904e\u591a\u5728\u570b\u5916\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u4e0a\u3002\u4f46\u5373\u4f7f\u9019\u7a2e\u60c5\u5f62\u53cd\u8f49\u904e\u4f86\uff0c\u90a3\u4e9b\u5728\u5357\u4e9e\u548c\u975e\u6d32\u7684\u65b0\u8208\u570b\u5bb6\u4e5f\u6c92\u8fa6\u6cd5\u5438\u6536\u4f86\u81ea\u90a3\u4e9b\u8001\u5316\u8f03\u5feb\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u9f90\u5927\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u800c\u5728\u5bcc\u88d5\u570b\u5bb6\u4e2d\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u5728\u96fb\u8166\u79d1\u6280\u7684\u7a81\u51fa\u5275\u65b0\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u751f\u7522\u529b\u6210\u9577\u548c\u6295\u8cc7\u90fd\u505c\u6eef\u4e0d\u524d\u3002\u9019\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u6a5f\u7684\u5f8c\u907a\u75c7\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u7d50\u69cb\u6027\u7684\u8f49\u8b8a<\/strong><\/span>\u3002\u548c\u96fb\u8166\u76f8\u95dc\u7522\u54c1\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u6b63\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u9019\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u4eca\u65e5\u7684\u5275\u65b0\u7684\u8cc7\u672c\u5bc6\u96c6\u7a0b\u5ea6\u5df2\u4e0d\u5982\u5de5\u696d\u6642\u4ee3\u90a3\u9ebc\u9ad8\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u800c\u4e14\u8001\u5316\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u4e5f\u6703\u963b\u7919\u6295\u8cc7\uff0c\u66f4\u5c11\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u8005\u4ee3\u8868\u7576\u5176\u4ed6\u60c5\u6cc1\u76f8\u540c\u6642\u53ea\u9700\u8981\u66f4\u5c11\u7684\u8cc7\u672c\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u90a3\u4e9b\u5de5\u4f5c\u8005\u5341\u5206\u8001\u7df4\u3002\u800c\u4e14\u8001\u5316\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u6d88\u8cbb\u5341\u5206\u7684\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u8001\u5e74\u4eba\u82b1\u8f03\u5c11\u9322\u5728\u9032\u884c\u5927\u578b\u6295\u8cc7\uff0c\u50cf\u662f\u8cb7\u623f\u5b50\u4e4b\u985e\u7684\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u66f4\u50be\u5411\u65bc\u82b1\u8cbb\u5728\u91ab\u7642\u6216\u65c5\u904a\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4eba\u53e3\u8b8a\u5316\u5f62\u5851\u8457\u672a\u4f86\uff0c\u4f46\u9019\u4e26\u4e0d\u4f7f\u7279\u5b9a\u7684\u672a\u4f86\u8b8a\u5f97\u4e0d\u53ef\u907f\u514d\u3002\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u8b8a\u9769\u6703\u96a8\u8457\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u5c0d\u65b0\u74b0\u5883\u7684\u61c9\u5c0d\u800c\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c<span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u4f46\u90a3\u4e9b\u653f\u7b56\u5c07\u6703\u5c0d\u8001\u5e74\u4eba\u7684\u6b0a\u529b\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u512a\u5148\u597d\u8655\uff0c\u800c\u4ed6\u5011\u4e5f\u5c07\u6210\u70ba\u4eba\u53e3\u4e2d\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u4efd\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u5728\u6c11\u4e3b\u653f\u6cbb\u4e2d\u4ed6\u5011\u6bd4\u5e74\u8f15\u4eba\u66f4\u9858\u610f\u53bb\u6295\u7968<\/strong><\/span>\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5728\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u7684\u5169\u7aef\uff0c\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u9810\u7b97\u653f\u7b56\u986f\u793a\u51fa\u8001\u4eba\u548c\u5bcc\u4eba\u7684\u512a\u5148\u5730\u4f4d<\/strong><\/span>\u3002\u5728\u82f1\u570b\u7684\u5e74\u91d1\u6539\u9769\u8b93\u4eba\u5011\u5728\u82b1\u9000\u4f11\u91d1\u4e0a\u6709\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u81ea\u7531\uff0c\u800c\u8cc7\u7522\u7a05\u6539\u9769\u7684\u6d88\u5931\u4e5f\u8b93\u64c1\u6709\u623f\u7522\u7684\u8001\u5e74\u7fa9\u5927\u5229\u4eba\u6210\u70ba\u65b0\u7684\u969c\u7919\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u9810\u7b97\u653f\u7b56\u6e1b\u5c11\u4e86\u5c0d\u5e74\u8f15\u4eba\u548c\u7aae\u4eba\u7684\u652f\u51fa\uff0c\u4f46\u537b\u6c92\u8fa6\u6cd5\u6e1b\u5c11\u653f\u5e9c\u5c0d\u6709\u9322\u4eba\u7684\u5065\u5eb7\u548c\u9000\u4f11\u91d1\u652f\u51fa\u3002\u800c\u76e1\u7ba1\u6709\u8457\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u4f46\u5f88\u5c11\u6709\u5bcc\u88d5\u570b\u5bb6\u8981\u9032\u884c\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6709\u4e00\u80a1\u529b\u91cf\u8b93\u6295\u8cc7\u6e1b\u5c11\u3001\u5132\u84c4\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u5728\u6c92\u6709\u62b5\u92b7\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u53cd\u61c9\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u8b93\u8001\u5316\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u4f7f\u5f97\u63a5\u4e0b\u4f86\u5e7e\u5e74\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u5c31\u50cf Hansen \u6240\u63cf\u8ff0\u7684:\u300c\u4e00\u500b\u6210\u9577\u7de9\u6162 \uff08\u5118\u7ba1\u4e0d\u6703\u50cf\u662f\u8001\u5e74\u4eba\u4e0d\u518d\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u90a3\u6a23\uff09\uff0c\u904e\u5ea6\u5132\u84c4\u548c\u6975\u4f4e\u7684\u5229\u7387\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6709\u6280\u8853\u7684\u8001\u5e74\u4eba\u8cfa\u66f4\u591a\uff0c\u6c92\u6280\u8853\u7684\u4eba\u5728\u4efb\u4f55\u5e74\u9f61\u90fd\u53d7\u5230\u885d\u64ca\uff1b\u4f4e\u6559\u80b2\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e26\u5931\u696d\u7684\u5e74\u8f15\u4eba\u5c07\u6703\u56b4\u91cd\u5730\u53d7\u82e6\u3002<\/span><\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u5ef6\u4f38\u95b1\u8b80<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><a href=\"\/\/buzzorange.com\/2014\/07\/10\/discount-maid-at-singapores-malls\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u00a0\u4e00\u4f4d\u5916\u50ad\u5f62\u5bb9\uff1a\u5728\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u6211\u5011\u5982\u540c\u300c\u8d85\u5e02\u4e2d\u7684\u6d0b\u5a03\u5a03\u300d\u88ab\u5c55\u793a<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\uff08\u53c3\u8003\u8cc7\u6599\uff1a\u300a<a href=\"\/\/www.economist.com\/news\/briefing\/21601248-generation-old-people-about-change-global-economy-they-will-not-all-do-so\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The Economist<\/a>\u300b\uff1b\u5716\u7247\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a<a style=\"color: #0063dc;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/london\/33968122\/sizes\/z\/in\/photolist-416xh-3d4cy1-dtVQXr-agJRNE-arXw9-hT6hv-98jbn9-5PaU1k-cbSpT-HhHvL-a14QY8-bxfnut-nUmFn5-5WuD3M-baCw7D-iPY82w-fmojRq-8dEHHe-gwo5rX-9qMyPT-a17CEN-64eXrU-a14Tca-63jqnR-mafAU1-87MUbh-5t2Dhs-2AYqA-62HDgi-3d48zj-7nd8g-nVujYa-5t2E4f-nShceN-a14NiH-5j5WeL-8bVjn4-8NZKdw-a17BAJ-pcgzp-8MV6wS-hfC1LS-5qJ4er-5t2zRf-er9eU-dVgC47-cbSpU-9TJjMN-5sXbR6-fsmuxB\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">jonrawlinson<\/a>\uff0cCC Licensed\uff09<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u5728 20 \u4e16\u7d00\u6642\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u6210\u9577\u4e86\u5169\u500d\u3002\u4f46\u5728\u9019\u500b\u4e16\u7d00\u4e2d\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u5728\u67d0\u4e9b\u570b\u5bb6\u4e2d\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u7684\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u751a\u81f3\u4e0d\u6703\u6210\u9577\u5230\u4e00\u500d\u3002\u4f46 65 \u6b72\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u5728 25 \u5e74\u5167\u5c07\u6703\u6210\u9577\u4e00\u500d\u3002\u9019\u500b\u4eba\u53e3\u7d50\u69cb\u4e0a\u7684\u6539\u8b8a\u4e0d\u50cf\u4e4b\u524d\u4e00\u6a23\u91cd\u8981\uff0c[&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":319,"featured_media":40159,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[1373,133,4801,21096],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18328"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/319"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18328"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18328\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/40159"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18328"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18328"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18328"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}