{"id":17959,"date":"2014-08-28T10:29:08","date_gmt":"2014-08-28T02:29:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2014\/08\/28\/having-more-babies-or-being-extinct\/"},"modified":"2014-08-28T10:29:08","modified_gmt":"2014-08-28T02:29:08","slug":"having-more-babies-or-being-extinct","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2014\/08\/28\/having-more-babies-or-being-extinct\/","title":{"rendered":"\u518d\u4e0d\u751f\uff0c\u97d3\u570b\u4eba\u5c07\u5728 2750 \u5e74\u6d88\u5931\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u6bd4\u4ed6\u5011\u66f4\u65e9\uff01"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/farm3.staticflickr.com\/2797\/4430305304_de49c48e02_z.jpg?zz=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"427\" \/><\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>\u300aBO\u300b\u5c0e\u8b80\uff1a\u4eba\u53e3\u554f\u984c\u662f\u8a31\u591a\u5df2\u958b\u767c\u570b\u5bb6\u6700\u7169\u60f1\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u96a8\u8457<a href=\"\/\/buzzorange.com\/2014\/08\/26\/how-will-it-look-like-in-2030\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u9ad8\u9f61\u5316\u60c5\u5f62\u5df2\u4e0d\u53ef\u9006<\/a>\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u570b\u5bb6\u90fd\u5728\u5c0b\u6c42\u4eba\u53e3\u554f\u984c\u7684\u89e3\u6c7a\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u56e0\u70ba\u5982\u679c\u4e0d\u5f9e\u73fe\u5728\u5c31\u958b\u59cb\u89e3\u6551\uff0c\u90a3\u300c\u4ea1\u570b\u300d\u4e4b\u65e5\u53ef\u8aaa\u662f\u4e0d\u9060\u77e3\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5c0d\u53f0\u7063\u4f86\u8b1b\uff0c\u9019\u60c5\u6cc1\u7121\u7591\u66f4\u70ba\u96aa\u5cfb\uff0c\u5f9e\u4e0b\u5716\u6211\u5011\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u51fa\u6211\u5011\u7684\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u4e4b\u4f4e\u9ad8\u5c45\u5168\u7403\u524d\u4e09\uff0c<a href=\"\/\/www.setnews.net\/ColumnNews.aspx?PageGroupID=9&amp;NewsID=36055\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u300a\u5929\u4e0b\u300b\u5831\u5c0e<\/a>\u4e5f\u8b49\u5be6\u5230\u4e86 2016 \u5e74\u53f0\u7063<strong style=\"color: #444444;\">\u300c15 \u5230 64 \u6b72\u52de\u52d5\u4eba\u53e3\u5c07\u53f2\u7121\u524d\u4f8b\u5730\u6e1b\u5c11\u300d\u3001\u300c\u8001\u4eba\u6578\u8d85\u8d8a\u5c0f\u5b69\u6578\u300d\u3001\u300c\u53f0\u7063\u4eba\u7684\u5e74\u9f61\u4e2d\u4f4d\u6578\u7a81\u7834 40 \u6b72\u300d<\/strong>\u3002\u66f4\u6709\u65e5\u672c\u4eba\u53e3\u5c08\u5bb6\u63d0\u5230\u300c\u53f0\u7063\u4eba\u81ea\u5df1\u6c92\u5dee\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u4f55\u5fc5\u66ff\u4f60\u5011\u4e7e\u8457\u6025\u3002\u300d\u5373\u4fbf\u6709\u90a3\u9ebc\u591a\u8cc7\u8a0a\u986f\u793a\u9ad8\u9f61\u5316\u7684\u5371\u6a5f\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u537b\u597d\u4f3c\u7121\u52d5\u65bc\u8877\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u97d3\u570b\u8aaa\u4ed6\u5011\u5982\u679c\u4e0d\u591a\u751f\u5b69\u5b50\uff0c\u5230\u4e86 2750 \u5e74\u97d3\u570b\u5c07\u6d88\u5931\u3002\u4f46\u770b\u770b\u6211\u5011\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u53ef\u6bd4\u4ed6\u5011\u66f4\u4f4e\u3001\u653f\u5e9c\u548c\u4eba\u6c11\u5c31\u6b64\u4e8b\u4e5f\u66f4\u7121\u4f5c\u70ba\uff0c\u97d3\u570b\u4eba\u6d88\u5931\u524d\u53f0\u7063\u4eba\u5c31\u6703\u5148\u8ddf\u6b77\u53f2\u8aaa\u518d\u898b\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ee5\u4e0b\u4f86\u770b\u770b\u97d3\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u60f3\u4e86\u4ec0\u9ebc\u62db\u4f86\u89e3\u6c7a\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u5427\u3002<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\u64da<a href=\"\/\/qz.com\/255084\/south-koreans-will-go-extinct-in-2750-if-they-dont-have-more-babies\/\">\u97d3\u570b\u570b\u6c11\u5927\u6703\u7814\u7a76\u670d\u52d9<\/a>\uff08NARS\uff09\u7684\u6a21\u64ec\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u82e5\u6309\u53bb\u5e74\u97d3\u570b\u5973\u6027\u4eba\u5747\u751f\u80b2 1.19 \u500b\u5b69\u5b50\u8a08\u7b97\uff0c\u5230 2056 \u5e74\uff0c\u97d3\u570b 5000 \u842c\u4eba\u53e3\u5c07\u6e1b\u5c11 1000 \u842c\uff0c\u5230 2100 \u5e74\u5c07\u6e1b\u5c11 3000 \u842c\u3002\u5230 2750 \u5e74\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u5c31\u6c92\u6709\u97d3\u570b\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u64da\u7f8e\u570b\u4e2d\u60c5\u5c40\u4e16\u754c\u6982\u89bd 2014 \u5e74\u7684\u7d71\u8a08\u8cc7\u6599\uff0c\u97d3\u570b\u662f\u5168\u7403\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u6700\u4f4e\u7684\u5e7e\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u6216\u5730\u5340\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u5973\u6027\u4eba\u5747\u751f\u80b2\u5b69\u5b50 1.25 \u500b\uff0c\u82e5\u8981\u7dad\u6301\u4eba\u53e3\u7a69\u5b9a\uff0c\u5973\u6027\u4eba\u5747\u751f\u80b2\u6578\u8981\u589e\u81f3 2.1 \u500b\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"\/\/buzzorange.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/08\/quartz.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-10368 aligncenter\" src=\"\/\/buzzorange.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/08\/quartz.jpg\" alt=\"quartz\" width=\"654\" height=\"377\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u4e00\u570b\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u793e\u6703\u548c\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u8b8a\u5316\uff1a\u5f9e\u767c\u5c55\u4e2d\u570b\u5bb6\u6210\u70ba\u767c\u9054\u570b\u5bb6\u3002\u8a31\u591a\u6709\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u5973\u6027\u5e0c\u671b\u5ef6\u5f8c\u7d50\u5a5a\u5e74\u9f61\u3002\u7576\u592b\u59bb\u96d9\u65b9\u90fd\u6709\u5de5\u4f5c\u6642\uff0c\u990a\u80b2\u5b50\u5973\u8b8a\u5f97\u9817\u70ba\u8271\u96e3\uff0c\u800c\u97d3\u570b\u662f OECD \u570b\u5bb6\u4e2d\u5de5\u4f5c\u6642\u9593\u6700\u9577\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u9084\u56e0\u70ba\u64ab\u990a\u548c\u6559\u80b2\u5152\u7ae5\u7684\u8cbb\u7528\u589e\u9577\uff1a\u97d3\u570b\u4fdd\u5065\u798f\u7949\u90e8 2013 \u5e74\u7684\u8cc7\u6599\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u97d3\u570b\u4e00\u500b\u5b69\u5b50\u5f9e\u51fa\u751f\u5230\u5927\u5b78\u7562\u696d\u7684\u990a\u80b2\u8cbb\u7528\u8d85\u904e 3 \u5104\u97d3\u5143\uff08\u7d04\u00a0880 \u842c\u53f0\u5e63\uff09\uff0c\u800c\u5317\u4eac\u7684\u6210\u672c\u70ba 42.9 \u842c\u5143\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\uff08\u7d04 208 \u842c\u53f0\u5e63\uff09\u3002\uff08\u6ce8\uff1a\u6709\u8cc7\u6599\u8a55\u4f30<a href=\"\/\/parent.kimy.com.tw\/lifeplan\/arTicle.aspx?c=3&amp;t=2&amp;d=2564d4ef-9e2c-4e69-b664-9e61f4e4e721\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u53f0\u7063\u990a\u4e00\u500b\u5b69\u5b50\u5230\u5927\u5b78\u7562\u696d\u7684\u6210\u672c\u70ba 600 \u842c\u5de6\u53f3<\/a>\u3002\uff09<\/p>\n<p>\u97d3\u570b\u7576\u5c40\u6b63\u5c0b\u6c42\u5728 2017 \u5e74\u524d\uff0c\u70ba\u97d3\u570b 30% 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