{"id":17499,"date":"2014-10-30T10:11:43","date_gmt":"2014-10-30T02:11:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2014\/10\/30\/m-labor-market-in-the-future\/"},"modified":"2014-10-30T10:11:43","modified_gmt":"2014-10-30T02:11:43","slug":"m-labor-market-in-the-future","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2014\/10\/30\/m-labor-market-in-the-future\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4f60\u7684\u672a\u4f86\u53ea\u6709\u9019\u7a2e\u9078\u64c7\uff1a\u8070\u660e\u5230\u7834\u8868\u7684\u9ad8\u968e\u4eba\u624d\u3001\u5c08\u505a\u7463\u4e8b\u7684\u4f4e\u968e\u96dc\u5de5"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"\/\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Travel\/Pix\/pictures\/2014\/10\/18\/1413643094086\/Britain-Needs-a-Pay-Rise--011.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"460\" height=\"276\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u62fc\u7d93\u6fdf\u9664\u4e86\u6551\u53f0\u7063\uff0c\u82f1\u570b\u4e5f\u96e3\u4fdd\u9762\u81e8\u6b77\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u6158\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0b\u5716\u66f2\u7dda\u7684\u6ce2\u52d5\u770b\u4e86\u4e0d\u7981\u8b93\u4eba\u76f4\u5192\u6c57\uff0c\u5c0d\u767e\u842c\u540d\u4e2d\u4f4e\u6536\u5165\u7684\u82f1\u570b\u4eba\u4f86\u8aaa\u66f4\u662f\u3002\u793e\u6703\u74b0\u5883\u548c\u7d93\u6fdf\u72c0\u6cc1\u6539\u8b8a\u751a\u5927\uff0c\u5c0e\u81f4\u524d\u6240\u672a\u6709\u7684\u4f4e\u85aa\uff0c\u537b\u4e5f\u9020\u5c31\u4e86\u5e78\u904b\u800c\u5bcc\u6709\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u7fa4\u4eba\uff0c\u600e\u9ebc\u6703\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u82f1\u683c\u862d\u9280\u884c\u9996\u5e2d\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6<a href=\"\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/2014\/oct\/17\/bank-england-chief-economist-gloomier-interest-rates-andrew-haldane\">Andy Haldane \u5728\u8fd1\u671f\u4e00\u5834\u6f14\u8b1b\u4e2d\u63d0\u5230<\/a>\uff0c\u5be6\u969b\u5de5\u8cc7\uff08\u7d93\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\u8abf\u6574\u904e\uff09\u548c\u4e0a\u4e00\u6b21\u8870\u9000\u4f4e\u8c37\u6bd4\u8d77\u4f86\u9084\u4e0b\u964d\u4e86 10%\uff0c\u8ab0\u80fd\u6599\u5230\u8207 19 \u4e16\u7d00\u4e2d\u671f\u6bd4\u8d77\u4f86\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u6c34\u6e96\u7adf\u4e0b\u964d\u5230\u5982\u6b64\u6158\u72c0\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u5206\u6790\u5716\u8868\u53ef\u4ee5\u767c\u73fe\uff0c<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">\u5728\u82f1\u570b\u5373\u4fbf\u5be6\u969b\u5de5\u8cc7\u4e0b\u964d\u4e5f\u5c11\u6709\u6301\u7e8c\u4e03\u5e74\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u72c0\u6cc1\uff0c\u5728\u904e\u53bb\u4e00\u767e\u4e94\u5341\u5e74\u9593\u50c5\u6709\u4e09\u6b21\uff1a\u5341\u4e5d\u4e16\u7d00\u5f8c\u671f\u7684\u8870\u9000\uff0c\u7dca\u63a5\u5728\u7d93\u6fdf\u5927\u856d\u689d\u4e4b\u5f8c\u7684 1930 \u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5f9e\u4eca\u7b97\u8d77\u7684\u904e\u53bb\u4e03\u5e74\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"\/\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2014\/10\/18\/1413655539624\/cf494b8f-9602-40e4-970c-53274497be9f-bestSizeAvailable.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"\/\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2014\/10\/18\/1413655539624\/cf494b8f-9602-40e4-970c-53274497be9f-bestSizeAvailable.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"460\" height=\"316\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u6b77\u53f2\u4e0a\u4e09\u6b21\u5de7\u5408\uff0c\u5c31\u7576\u4f5c\u662f\u6a19\u6e96\u4f86\u770b\u597d\u4e86\uff0c\u4e03\u5e74\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u4f4e\u6f6e\u9084\u53ef\u4ee5\u60f3\u50cf\uff0c\u4e26\u671f\u5f85\u4e03\u5e74\u5f8c\u4e00\u5b9a\u6703\u91cd\u65b0\u722c\u5347\uff0c\u4e00\u5207\u9084\u4e0d\u81f3\u65bc\u592a\u7cdf\u3002\u4f46\u73fe\u5728\uff0c\u4e8b\u60c5\u4f3c\u4e4e\u4e0d\u662f\u9019\u6a23\uff0c\u5c0d\u67d0\u4e9b\u5de5\u4f5c\u8005\u4f86\u8aaa\u9019\u6ce2\u9ed1\u6697\u671f\u5df2\u7d93\u592a\u4e45\u4e86\uff01<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>\u751a\u81f3\u662f\u91d1\u878d\u98a8\u66b4\u6642\uff0c\u6700\u4f4e\u85aa\u8cc7\u4ecd\u5728\u4e4b\u5f8c\u8fc5\u901f\u8abf\u5347\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u5e45\u5ea6\u4e0d\u5927\uff0c\u7e3d\u6bd4\u6301\u7e8c\u4f4e\u8ff7\u597d\u5f97\u591a\u3002\u56de\u5230\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u72c0\u6cc1\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u76c8\u9918\u5206\u914d\u6700\u5f8c 20% \u7684\u4eba\u5011\uff0c\u5be6\u969b\u5de5\u8cc7\u7387\u7adf\u9000\u56de 1997 \u5e74\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u800c\u6700\u9802\u7aef\u7684 10% \u548c\u524d\u8ff0\u6642\u671f\u6bd4\u8d77\u4f86\u537b\u4e0a\u5347\u4e86 20%\uff01<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\u7167\u9019\u6a23\u770b\u4f86\u5f88\u986f\u7136\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u82f1\u570b\u7684\u52de\u5de5\u5e02\u5834\u6b63\u503c\u975e\u6bd4\u5c0b\u5e38\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\uff0c\u9019\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u5f8c\u7684\u4e00\u822c\u73fe\u8c61\uff0c\u8870\u9000\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\u5728\u904e\u53bb\u4e09\u5341\u5e74\u5167\u66f4\u52a0\u60e1\u5316\uff0c\u6574\u500b\u52de\u5de5\u5e02\u5834\u7adf\u671d\u5411\u300c\u6975\u7aef\u5316\u300d\u767c\u5c55\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u6975\u7aef\u5316\u767c\u5c55\uff0c\u4e2d\u968e\u6280\u8853\u4eba\u54e1\u63b0\u63b0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u9ad8\u5ea6\u5c08\u696d\u548c\u4f4e\u5ea6\u6280\u80fd\u7684\u8077\u696d\u9700\u6c42\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u4f46\u4e2d\u968e\u6280\u80fd\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u8005\u9700\u6c42\u537b\u7e2e\u6c34\uff0c\u8209\u51e1\u96f6\u552e\u5546\u3001\u6a5f\u5668\u64cd\u63a7\u54e1\u3001\u7ba1\u7406\u79d8\u66f8\u7b49\uff0c\u904e\u53bb\u8a8d\u70ba\u5373\u4fbf\u7d93\u6fdf\u856d\u689d\u4ea6\u4e0d\u53d7\u5927\u5e45\u5f71\u97ff\u7684\u8077\u696d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u79d1\u6280\u7684\u767c\u5c55\u7d72\u6beb\u4e0d\u53d7\u63a7\u5236\uff0c\u9023\u5e36\u5f71\u97ff\u5230\u5de5\u4f5c\u74b0\u5883\u4e2d\u7684\u8a31\u591a\u8077\u696d\u7adf\u518d\u4e5f\u6c92\u6709\u5b58\u5728\u7684\u5fc5\u8981\u3002\u5de5\u5ee0\u751f\u7522\u7dda\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u5f97\u4ee5\u76e1\u53ef\u80fd\u8b93\u6a5f\u5668\u53d6\u4ee3\u4eba\u5de5\u4f5c\u696d\uff0c\u904e\u53bb\u4e00\u5bb6\u5de5\u5ee0\u6709\u6578\u5341\u540d\u3001\u751a\u81f3\u767e\u540d\u54e1\u5de5\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u50c5\u9700\u8981\u5e7e\u53f0\u6a5f\u5668\u5373\u8db3\u4ee5\u61c9\u4ed8\u751f\u7522\uff0c\u9084\u4e0d\u6703\u6709\u8ab0\u8ddf\u8001\u95c6\u62b1\u6028\u5de5\u6642\u592a\u9577\u3001\u52a0\u85aa\u3001\u5de5\u4f5c\u74b0\u5883\u4e0d\u4f73\u7b49\u554f\u984c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4ee5\u4f4e\u5de5\u8cc7\u70ba\u7af6\u722d\u512a\u52e2\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u50cf\u662f\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u88fd\u9020\u696d\u5275\u9020\u4e86\u7121\u6578\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u6a5f\u6703\uff0c\u96a8\u4e4b\u53d6\u4ee3\u570b\u5167\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u30021980 \u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u5728\u82f1\u570b\u5f9e\u4e8b\u88fd\u9020\u696d\u7684\u52de\u5de5\u5360\u4e86\u5168\u90e8\u7684\u4e94\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u800c\u4ed6\u5011\u5927\u591a\u7b97\u662f\u64c1\u6709\u4e2d\u968e\u6280\u80fd\u7684\u54e1\u5de5\u3002\u4f46\u53bb\u5e74\uff0c\u5df2\u7d93\u843d\u5230\u5341\u4e8c\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u767d\u9818\u968e\u7d1a\u4ea6\u906d\u53d7\u5a01\u8105\uff0c\u6703\u8a08\u8cc7\u6599\u5efa\u6a94\u3001\u586b\u5beb\u7463\u788e\u8868\u683c\u7b49\u4e8b\u52d9\u5df2\u7d93\u8f2a\u4e0d\u5230\u8ab0\u5c08\u9580\u4f86\u505a\uff0c\u76f8\u8f03\u4e4b\u4e0b\u64c1\u6709\u5de8\u7121\u9738\u5bb9\u91cf\u7684\u96fb\u8166\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u5354\u52a9\u6bcf\u500b\u4eba\u6574\u7406\u672c\u8eab\u7684\u8cc7\u6599\u3002\u5177\u5099\u9ad8\u968e\u6280\u80fd\u7684\u54e1\u5de5\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u4ed6\u5011\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u99d5\u99ad\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u79d1\u6280\u3002\u8fd1\u5e7e\u5e74\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u5927\u589e\u7684\u8077\u696d\u5c31\u662f\u79d1\u6280\u8207\u6578\u4f4d\u6280\u8853\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u5c08\u696d\u4eba\u54e1\uff0c\u5168\u90fd\u662f\u79d1\u6280\u9032\u6b65\u9020\u6210\u7684\u7d50\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u4f4e\u6280\u8853\u3001\u4f4e\u85aa\u8cc7\u7684\u52de\u5de5\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u4e5f\u65e5\u76ca\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u770b\u770b\u751f\u6d3b\u9031\u906d\u4e00\u5bb6\u5bb6\u7ac4\u7d05\u7684\u4e0b\u5348\u8336\u5e97\u92ea\u5427\uff01\u8ddf\u5341\u5e74\u524d\u6bd4\u8d77\u4f86\u7c21\u76f4\u6eff\u5751\u6eff\u8c37\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\u6700\u5927\u7684\u7591\u554f\u662f\u70ba\u4f55\u9ad8\u6280\u8853\u52de\u5de5\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u548c\u5be6\u969b\u5de5\u8cc7\u5728\u904e\u53bb\u4e8c\u5341\u5e74\u9593\u7686\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u63da\uff0c\u800c\u4f4e\u6280\u8853\u52de\u5de5\u7684\u5de5\u8cc7\u537b\u505c\u6eef\u4e0d\u524d\u3002\u5176\u5be6\u7b54\u6848\u5f88\u7c21\u55ae\uff1a\u5f9e\u9032\u5165\u9580\u6abb\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u5f9e\u4e8b\u4f4e\u6280\u8853\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u9060\u6bd4\u9ad8\u6280\u8853\u4f86\u5f97\u5bb9\u6613\u592a\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>\u800c\u4ecb\u65bc\u5169\u8005\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u4e00\u958b\u59cb\u90fd\u52aa\u529b\u5c0b\u627e\u8207\u81ea\u8eab\u6280\u80fd\u76f8\u7a31\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u4eba\u6210\u529f\u4e86\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u5de5\u4f5c\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u5c31\u7e2e\u6c34\u4e86\uff0c\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u4eba\u9084\u662f\u7121\u6cd5\u627e\u5230\u7406\u60f3\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002\u7531\u65bc\u7f3a\u5c11\u5c08\u696d\u8a8d\u8b49\u4ee5\u63d0\u9ad8\u5de5\u4f5c\u5c64\u7d1a\uff0c\u9019\u7fa4\u4eba\u6700\u5f8c\u9084\u662f\u5f97\u5c48\u670d\u65bc\u73fe\u5be6\u5f9e\u4e8b\u4f4e\u6280\u8853\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\u65e2\u7136\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u8001\u95c6\u6839\u672c\u4e0d\u6101\u7a7a\u7f3a\u6c92\u6709\u4eba\u66ff\u88dc\uff0c\u5927\u5bb6\u90fd\u5728\u6436\u5de5\u4f5c\u6642\uff0c\u54ea\u9084\u9700\u8981\u63d0\u9ad8\u5de5\u8cc7\u5438\u5f15\u4eba\u4e0a\u9580\u61c9\u5fb5\uff1f\u5c31\u53c8\u9020\u6210\u53e6\u4e00\u7fa4\u4eba\u9078\u64c7\u5f85\u5728\u5bb6\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u79c9\u6301\u300c\u6211\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u6211\u505a\u4e3b\u300d\u7684\u7406\u5ff5\u50ac\u7720\u81ea\u5df1\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u85aa\u8cc7\u9060\u4f4e\u65bc\u8d70\u51fa\u5bb6\u9580\u95d6\u8569\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/farm8.staticflickr.com\/7307\/11990969085_95f720edc7_z.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/farm8.staticflickr.com\/7307\/11990969085_95f720edc7_z.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"424\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7a2e\u7a2e\u8da8\u52e2\u5192\u51fa\u982d\u81f3\u4eca\u5df2\u8d85\u904e\u4e09\u5341\u5e74\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5728\u904e\u53bb\u4e03\u5e74\u9593\u300c\u7cdf\u3001\u9084\u8981\u66f4\u7cdf\u300d\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u5dee\u4e0d\u591a\u8a72\u7d66\u5927\u5bb6\u5e0c\u671b\u4e86\u30022011 \u5e74\u7684\u5931\u696d\u7387\u9ad8\u9054 8.5%\uff0c\u5982\u4eca\u5df2\u56de\u5230 6%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8a72\u662f\u4e2d\u6b62\u82f1\u570b 150 \u5e74\u9577\u6642\u9593\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u843d\u7684\u6642\u5019\u4e86\uff01\u7136\u800c\uff0cHaldane \u4e0d\u5fd8\u63d0\u9192\u9280\u884c\u81ea\u5f9e 2008 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