{"id":17182,"date":"2014-11-27T11:41:40","date_gmt":"2014-11-27T03:41:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2014\/11\/27\/abenomics-challenge-and-oppoturnities\/"},"modified":"2014-11-27T11:41:40","modified_gmt":"2014-11-27T03:41:40","slug":"abenomics-challenge-and-oppoturnities","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2014\/11\/27\/abenomics-challenge-and-oppoturnities\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5b89\u500d\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u73fe\u5728\u9b6f\u9b6f\u7684\uff0c\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u5927\u5bb6\u9084\u662f\u90a3\u9ebc\u770b\u597d\u65e5\u672c\u5fa9\u7526\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"\/\/buzzorange.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/A6F72AF0-7B2C-4486-B3BA-3FEC67BA003D.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter  wp-image-19903\" src=\"\/\/buzzorange.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/A6F72AF0-7B2C-4486-B3BA-3FEC67BA003D.jpg\" alt=\"A6F72AF0-7B2C-4486-B3BA-3FEC67BA003D\" width=\"600\" height=\"327\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u56e0\u70ba\u9023\u5169\u5b63\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\uff0c\u8b93\u65e5\u672c\u6b63\u5f0f\u9081\u5165\u4e8c\u25cb\u25cb\u516b\u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\u7b2c\u56db\u5ea6\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u3002\u65e5\u672c\u9996\u76f8\u5b89\u500d\u6649\u4e09\u5728\u5341\u4e00\u6708\u5341\u516b\u65e5\u665a\u9593\u8a18\u8005\u6703\u4e0a\u5ba3\u5e03\uff0c\u539f\u672c\u8981\u5728\u660e\u5e74\u5341\u6708\u8abf\u5347\u6d88\u8cbb\u7a05\uff0c\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u5ef6\u5f8c\uff1b\u70ba\u6b64\uff0c\u5b89\u500d\u4e5f\u5ba3\u5e03\u89e3\u6563\u773e\u8b70\u9662\uff0c\u4e26\u8a02\u5728\u5341\u4e8c\u6708\u5341\u56db\u65e5\u9583\u96fb\u91cd\u9078\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e00\u4e8c\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\uff0c\u7528\u5bec\u9b06\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u3001\u8ca1\u653f\u653f\u7b56\u53ca\u7d50\u69cb\u6539\u9769\u70ba\u4e09\u652f\u7bad\u7684\u300c\u5b89\u500d\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u300d\uff08Abenomics\uff09\u4f86\u52e2\u6d36\u6d36\uff0c\u66fe\u7d93\u662f\u90a3\u9ebc\u7684\u6709\u5e0c\u671b\uff0c\u537b\u5728\u5ba3\u5e03\u89e3\u6563\u570b\u6703\u7684\u7a98\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u5927\u53d7\u6253\u64ca\u3002\u300a\u4eca\u5468\u520a\u300b\u5728\u53bb\u5e74\u5341\u4e00\u6708\u5c31\u4ee5\u5c01\u9762\u6545\u4e8b\u300a\u5b89\u500d\u7684\u56f0\u5c40\u300b\u76f4\u9673\u5b89\u500d\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u7684\u6311\u6230\u3002\u9019\u4e9b\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u679c\u7136\u9010\u4e00\u767c\u751f\uff0c\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u5b89\u500d\u5718\u968a\u537b\u6c92\u9810\u6599\u5230\uff1f\u95dc\u9375\u5c31\u662f\u4ed6\u5011\u5c0f\u770b\u4e86\u300c\u4e09\uff05\u300d\u7684\u5a01\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><b>\u8a0e\u4eba\u53ad\uff1a\u4e03\u6210\u6c11\u610f\u53cd\u5c0d\u52a0\u7a05<\/b><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u52a0\u7a05\uff0c\u6c38\u9060\u90fd\u4e0d\u662f\u8a0e\u559c\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u65e5\u672c\u6771\u4eac\u96fb\u8996\u53f0\u5341\u6708\u7684\u6c11\u8abf\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u81ea\u5f9e\u4eca\u5e74\u56db\u6708\u65e5\u672c\u5c07\u6d88\u8cbb\u7a05\u5f9e\u4e94\uff05\u8abf\u5347\u81f3\u516b\uff05\u5f8c\uff0c\u6709\u4e03\u6210\u7684\u6c11\u773e\u548c\u4e03\u6210\u4e8c\u7684\u4f01\u696d\u53cd\u5c0d\u8abf\u5347\u6d88\u8cbb\u7a05\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u4e09\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\u7684\u6d88\u8cbb\u7a05\u8abf\u5347\u5e45\u5ea6\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u9810\u8a08\u53ef\u4ee5\u70ba\u65e5\u672c\u653f\u5e9c\u5e36\u4f86\u4e94\u2022\u4e8c\u5146\u65e5\u5713\u7684\u5e74\u7a05\u6536\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u7684\u885d\u64ca\u537b\u6bd4\u60f3\u50cf\u4e2d\u5927\u3002\u5c31\u9023\u8209\u96d9\u624b\u652f\u6301\u5b89\u500d\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u7684\u8afe\u8c9d\u723e\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u734e\u5f97\u4e3b\u514b\u9b6f\u66fc\uff08Paul Krugman\uff09\uff0c\u4e5f\u975e\u5e38\u4e0d\u8a8d\u540c\u5728\u6b64\u6642\u63d0\u9ad8\u6d88\u8cbb\u7a05\u3002\u300c\u6d88\u8cbb\u7a05\u5be6\u5728\u4e0b\u5f97\u592a\u6025\u4e86\u3002\u300d\u4ed6\u8aaa\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>\u4e8b\u5be6\u4e0a\uff0c\u9019\u6b21\u8b93\u65e5\u672c\u9677\u5165\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u7684\u80cc\u5f8c\u5143\u51f6\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u6d88\u8cbb\u7a05\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u5f8c\u907a\u75c7\u3002\u5982\u679c\u62c6\u89e3\u6578\u64da\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u51fa\uff0c\u8b93\u5b89\u500d\u63aa\u624b\u4e0d\u53ca\u7684\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u5728\u6d88\u8cbb\u6216\u51fa\u53e3\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u300c\u4f01\u696d\u5b58\u8ca8\u300d\u8abf\u6574\uff0c\u539f\u4f86\u56db\u6708\u5f8c\u6d88\u8cbb\u5927\u6e1b\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u7684\u4f01\u696d\u5b58\u8ca8\u5927\u589e\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u5b58\u8ca8\u64fa\u4e86\u4e00\u6574\u5b63\uff0c\u53ea\u597d\u5728\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u8655\u7406\u6389\u3002\u532f\u8c50\u9280\u884c\u65e5\u672c\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6\u6234\u74e6\u8389\u723e\uff08Izumi Devalier\uff09\u5206\u6790\uff1a\u300c\u9019\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u4ef6\u58de\u4e8b\uff0c\u9019\u500b\u5b58\u8ca8\u8abf\u6574\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u5065\u5eb7\u7684\u8abf\u7bc0\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\u6d88\u8cbb\u7a05\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u885d\u64ca\uff1a\u6c11\u9593\u6d88\u8cbb\u548c\u4f01\u696d\u6295\u8cc7\uff0c\u5247\u662f\u5b89\u500d\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u7684\u8001\u554f\u984c\u3002\u6234\u74e6\u8389\u723e\u7528\u7c21\u55ae\u5e7e\u53e5\u8a71\u89e3\u91cb\u9019\u6b21\u5b89\u500d\u300c\u8dcc\u8de4\u300d\u7684\u539f\u56e0\uff1a\u300c\u85aa\u8cc7\u6c92\u6709\u8ddf\u4e0a\u7269\u50f9\u6210\u9577\uff0c\u518d\u52a0\u4e0a\u532f\u7387\u8cb6\u503c\uff0c\u6d88\u8cbb\u529b\u88ab\u58d3\u7e2e\uff1b\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u8cb6\u503c\u53c8\u6c92\u6709\u5e6b\u52a9\u51fa\u53e3\u6210\u9577\u592a\u591a\uff0c\u800c\u5168\u7403\u5e02\u5834\u9700\u6c42\u4e5f\u4e0d\u5f37\u52c1\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n<p>\u5b89\u500d\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u8ffd\u6c42\u7684\u6b63\u5411\u5faa\u74b0\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u5728\u9019\u88e1\u5361\u4f4f\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u7b2c\u4e00\u652f\u7bad\uff1a\u5bec\u9b06\u7684\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u8b93\u65e5\u672c\u80a1\u5e02\u5927\u6f32\u3001\u65e5\u5713\u5927\u8dcc\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u5b89\u500d\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u7684\u552f\u4e00\u5b97\u65e8\uff1a\u8b93\u65e5\u672c\u8d70\u51fa\u901a\u7e2e\uff0c\u901a\u81a8\u7387\u56de\u5347\u81f3\u4e8c\uff05\uff0c\u5982\u4eca\u537b\u96e2\u76ee\u6a19\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u9060\u3002\u9019\u500b\u76ee\u6a19\uff0c\u4ef0\u8cf4\u7684\u6b63\u662f\u5360\u65e5\u672c\u7d93\u6fdf\u7d50\u69cb\u516d\u6210\u7684\u6c11\u9593\u6d88\u8cbb\u3002\u7562\u7adf\uff0c\u6c11\u773e\u5f97\u958b\u59cb\u8cb7\u6771\u897f\uff0c\u624d\u6703\u6709\u901a\u81a8\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u5728\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u7684\u6d88\u8cbb\u4e2d\uff0c\u6c11\u9593\u6700\u7d42\u6d88\u8cbb\u7684\u5b63\u6210\u9577\u537b\u662f\u5927\u5927\u7684\u9d28\u86cb\u3002\u6574\u9ad4\u570b\u5167\u6700\u7d42\u9700\u6c42\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u9084\u6709\u4e8c\uff0e\u4e03\uff05\u7684\u6210\u9577\uff0c\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u653f\u5e9c\u652f\u51fa\u3002\u4e8b\u5be6\u4e0a\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u65e5\u672c\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u6c92\u6709\u5d29\u6f70\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8aaa\u662f\u5168\u9760\u8457\u65e5\u672c\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u8ca1\u653f\u652f\u51fa\u5728\u82e6\u6490\u3002\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u65e5\u5713\u8cb6\u503c\u4e4b\u4e0b\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u96d6\u7136\u6210\u9577\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u4f01\u696d\u537b\u6c92\u6709\u958b\u59cb\u52a0\u85aa\uff0c\u4e5f\u672a\u898b\u5b89\u500d\u7684\u7b2c\u4e09\u652f\u7bad\u300c\u7d50\u69cb\u6539\u9769\u300d\u80fd\u6539\u5584\u9019\u9ede\u3002\u6c92\u6709\u85aa\u6c34\uff0c\u54ea\u4f86\u7684\u9322\u8cb7\u6771\u897f\uff1f\u518d\u52a0\u4e0a\u5f31\u52e2\u65e5\u5713\uff0c\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u65e5\u672c\u6c11\u773e\u548c\u4f01\u696d\u7684\u8cfc\u8cb7\u529b\uff0c\u53cd\u800c\u8b93\u65e5\u672c\u7684\u9006\u5dee\u64f4\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\u518d\u9019\u6a23\u4e0b\u53bb\uff0c\u5b89\u500d\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u7684\u4e8c\uff05\u901a\u81a8\u7387\u76ee\u6a19\uff0c\u773c\u898b\u5c31\u8981\u5931\u6557\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\u5b89\u500d\u5f9e\u5317\u4eac APEC\uff08\u4e9e\u592a\u7d93\u5408\u6703\uff09\u56de\u570b\u5f8c\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e00\u4ef6\u4e8b\u5c31\u662f\u958b\u8a18\u8005\u6703\uff0c\u5ba3\u5e03\u5ef6\u5f8c\u6d88\u8cbb\u7a05\u8abf\u5347\u5341\u516b\u500b\u6708\uff0c\u4e00\u76f4\u5230\u4e8c\u25cb\u4e00\u4e03\u5e74\u56db\u6708\u624d\u8abf\u6574\u3002\u4e26\u4e14\u89e3\u6563\u773e\u8b70\u9662\uff0c\u63d0\u65e9\u5927\u9078\uff0c\u91cd\u65b0\u53d6\u4fe1\u65bc\u6c11\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e8b\u5be6\u4e0a\uff0c\u9078\u64c7\u300c\u7576\u6a5f\u7acb\u65b7\u300d\u91cd\u65b0\u9078\u8209\u7684\u5b89\u500d\u975e\u5e38\u8070\u660e\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u89e3\u6563\u773e\u8b70\u9662\u5f8c\uff0c\u5341\u5929\u5167\u8981\u91cd\u9078\u9996\u76f8\uff1b\u5b89\u500d\u4e5f\u63d0\u51fa\u4f46\u66f8\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u91cd\u9078\u4ed6\u9818\u5c0e\u7684\u81ea\u6c11\u9ee8\u6c92\u6709\u7372\u5f97\u591a\u6578\u5e2d\uff0c\u4ed6\u5c31\u8fad\u8077\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u5f9e NHK\uff08\u65e5\u672c\u653e\u9001\u5354\u6703\uff09\u5728\u904e\u53bb\u4e00\u5e74\u6240\u505a\u7684\u6c11\u8abf\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u51fa\uff0c\u81ea\u6c11\u9ee8\u7684\u652f\u6301\u5ea6\u96d6\u8d70\u4f4e\uff0c\u4f46\u4e00\u8def\u90fd\u5728\u4e09\u6210\u4e94\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u8207\u5728\u91ce\u9ee8\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u4e0d\u5230\u4e00\u6210\u7684\u652f\u6301\u5ea6\u4e00\u6bd4\uff0c\u5b89\u500d\u7684\u81ea\u4fe1\u4e0d\u662f\u6c92\u6709\u9053\u7406\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u9078\u8d0f\uff0c\u4ed6\u4e5f\u66f4\u6709\u6c11\u610f\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8b93\u5b89\u500d\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u4e00\u8def\u73a9\u5230\u4e00\u516b\u5e74\u4efb\u671f\u7d50\u675f\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><b>\u5916\u8cc7\u76f8\u633a\uff1a\u4e0a\u8abf\u660e\u5e74\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u7387<\/b><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<blockquote>\n<p>\u5728\u4e00\u7247\u5531\u8870\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u770b\u597d\u5b89\u500d\u7684\u4e0d\u662f\u53ea\u6709\u65e5\u672c\u9078\u6c11\uff0c\u5916\u8cc7\u4e5f\u4e0d\u8a8d\u70ba\u5b89\u500d\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5df2\u7d93\u5ba3\u544a\u5931\u6557\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u672c\u6b21 GDP\uff08\u570b\u5167\u751f\u7522\u6bdb\u984d\uff09\u7684\u8870\u9000\uff0c\u6700\u5927\u7684\u554f\u984c\u5728\u65bc\u4f86\u81ea\u4e0a\u4e00\u5b63\u6d88\u8cbb\u7a05\u5f8c\u7d2f\u7a4d\u7684\u5b58\u8ca8\u8abf\u6574\uff0c\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u5b89\u500d\u6700\u5bb3\u6015\u7684\u6d88\u8cbb\u8870\u9000\uff0c\u800c\u51fa\u53e3\u66f4\u662f\u6709\u6240\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u5916\u8cc7\u7d1b\u7d1b\u4e0b\u8abf\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u7387\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u7d93\u6fdf\u5728\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5c07\u6703\u6709\u4e09\uff05\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u6210\u9577\u53cd\u5f48\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u6709\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6\u8abf\u9ad8\u660e\u5e74\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\u745e\u58eb\u4fe1\u8cb8\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\u767d\u5ddd\u6d69\u9053\u5c31\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u89e3\u6563\u570b\u6703\u53cd\u800c\u5c0d\u65e5\u672c\u7d93\u6fdf\u6709\u6b63\u9762\u6548\u61c9\uff1a\u300c\u5ef6\u5f8c\u6d88\u8cbb\u7a05\u8abf\u6574\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u7684\u6d88\u8cbb\u548c\u9700\u6c42\u53ef\u80fd\u56de\u5f48\u3002\u539f\u672c\u660e\u5e74\u548c\u5f8c\u5e74\u6101\u96f2\u6158\u9727\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u72c0\u6cc1\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u7a0d\u7a0d\u7372\u5f97\u6e1b\u7de9\u3002\u300d\u4ed6\u89e3\u91cb\u3002\u800c\u4e14\uff0c\u5b89\u500d\u63a5\u4e0b\u4f86\u5c07\u63a8\u51fa\u5168\u65b0\u7684\u523a\u6fc0\u6c11\u9593\u6d88\u8cbb\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u898f\u6a21\u9810\u8a08\u6709\u4e8c\u5146\u81f3\u4e09\u5146\u65e5\u5713\uff0c\u5c0d\u65e5\u672c\u75b2\u5f31\u7684\u6d88\u8cbb\u4e5f\u6709\u5e6b\u52a9\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><b>\u6551\u901a\u81a8\uff1a\u660e\u5e74\u53ef\u671b\u518d\u555f 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