{"id":16534,"date":"2015-02-24T11:25:23","date_gmt":"2015-02-24T03:25:23","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2015\/02\/24\/from-fortune-slip-to-publication-biass\/"},"modified":"2015-02-24T11:25:23","modified_gmt":"2015-02-24T03:25:23","slug":"from-fortune-slip-to-publication-biass","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2015\/02\/24\/from-fortune-slip-to-publication-biass\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8a\u5e74\u570b\u904b\u8a69\u9019\u9ebc\u591a\uff0c\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6211\u5011\u53ea\u5728\u96fb\u8996\u6a5f\u524d\u770b\u5230\u5c0f\u82f1\u8981\u9078\u7e3d\u7d71\u7684\u300c\u6b66\u5247\u5929\u300d\u7c64\u8a69\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\" aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/fbcdn-sphotos-a-a.akamaihd.net\/hphotos-ak-xpf1\/v\/t1.0-9\/1908167_724787844285338_1461877442801412011_n.jpg?oh=a99b2972eecf31bfde63812770b1d990&amp;oe=554AB43A&amp;__gda__=1435280123_f53e694983b45105e4244cae6b5de408\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"600\" \/><\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<h4>2015\uff0c\u53f0\u5357\u7684\u5357\u9be4\u9bd3\u4ee3\u5929\u5e9c\u65b0\u5e74\u62bd\u570b\u904b\u7c64\u6642\u62bd\u5230\u4e00\u5f35\u300c\u6b66\u5247\u5929\u5750\u5929\u300d\uff0c\u5a92\u9ad4\u5927\u8086\u5831\u5c0e\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u51fa\u73fe\u5728\u67d0\u4e9b\u5831\u7d19\u7684\u982d\u7248\u982d\u689d\u3002\u5927\u5bb6\u770b\u5230\u53ef\u80fd\u53ea\u662f\u7b11\u4e00\u7b11\u5c31\u7ffb\u904e\u53bb\u4e86\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u770b\u5230\u7684\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u975e\u5e38\u597d\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u89e3\u91cb\u4ec0\u9ebc\u662f Publication Bias.(\u7de8\u6309\uff1a\u51fa\u7248\u504f\u501a)<\/h4>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\u8cc7\u6599\u53ca\u5716\u7247\u4f86\u6e90\u5728\u6587\u7ae0\u7d50\u5c3e<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone aligncenter\" src=\"\/\/4.bp.blogspot.com\/-sh7kdgkO85M\/VOa6VxZ6aiI\/AAAAAAAAAfo\/Wd_9v89koRQ\/s1600\/d951366.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"338\" height=\"450\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u7248\u4e0a\u4e5f\u6709\u4e0d\u5c11\u4e0d\u5728\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u83ef\u4eba\u670b\u53cb\uff0c\u70ba\u4e86\u8b93\u5927\u5bb6\u770b\u4e86\u90fd\u80fd\u77ad\u89e3\u6574\u500b\u72c0\u6cc1\uff0c\u8acb\u5bb9\u6211\u7a0d\u5fae\u89e3\u91cb\u4e00\u4e0b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5176\u5be6\u6211\u4e5f\u662f\u4eca\u5e74\u624d\u77e5\u9053\uff0c\u539f\u4f86\u5168\u53f0\u5404\u5730\u7684\u8a31\u591a\u5edf\u5b87\uff0c\u5728\u65b0\u5e74\u7684\u6642\u5019\u6703\u62bd\u51fa\u4e00\u5f35\u9810\u6e2c\u672a\u4f86\u4e00\u5e74\u570b\u5bb6\u904b\u52e2\u7684\u300c\u570b\u904b\u7c64\u300d[1]\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u9019\u773e\u591a\u5edf\u5b87\u5404\u81ea\u62bd\u51fa\u7684\u7121\u6578\u5f35\u570b\u904b\u7c64\u88e1\u9762\uff0c\u6709\u4e00\u5f35\u7279\u5225\u5f15\u4eba\u6ce8\u76ee\u7684\u300c\u6b66\u5247\u5929\u5750\u5929\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u5f15\u4eba\u6ce8\u76ee\u5462\uff1f<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u56e0\u70ba\u53f0\u7063\u6709\u4e00\u4f4d\u5973\u6027\u653f\u6cbb\u4eba\u7269\u53eb\u505a\u8521\u82f1\u6587 (\u5c0f\u82f1)\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u5728 2012 \u5e74\u7e3d\u7d71\u5927\u9078\u9078\u8f38\u4e86\uff0c\u4f46\u81f3\u4eca\u4ecd\u7136\u6df1\u5f97\u6c11\u5fc3\uff0c\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u90fd\u5e0c\u671b\u5979\u80fd\u5728\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b21\u7e3d\u7d71\u5927\u9078\u7e7c\u7e8c\u51fa\u4f86\u9078\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u7576\u9019\u4e9b\u4eba\u770b\u5230\u300c\u6b66\u5247\u5929\u5750\u5929\u300d\u6642\uff0c\u5fc3\u4e2d\u4e0d\u514d\u71c3\u8d77\u5e0c\u671b\uff0c\u8a8d\u70ba\u9019\u5f35<span style=\"color: #800000;\"><b>\u5617\u8a66<\/b><\/span>\u9810\u6e2c\u672a\u4f86\u4e00\u5e74\u570b\u5bb6\u904b\u52e2\u7684\u570b\u904b\u7c64\uff0c\u9810\u6e2c\u4e86\u5c0f\u82f1\u5f88\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5728 2015 \u5e74\u9078\u4e0a\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u7e3d\u7d71 (\u5118\u7ba1\u53f0\u7063\u6bcf\u56db\u5e74\u624d\u9078\u4e00\u6b21\u7e3d\u7d71)\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\" aligncenter\" src=\"\/\/upload.wikimedia.org\/wikipedia\/commons\/5\/5b\/Tsai_Ing-Wen_Cropped.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"391\" height=\"587\" \/><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u8b93\u6211\u5011\u5148\u5047\u88dd\u7c64\u8a69\u5c0d\u73fe\u5be6\u4e16\u754c\u6709\u9810\u6e2c\u80fd\u529b<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u5c0f\u82f1\u80fd\u5728 2015 \u5e74\u9078\u5f97\u4e0a\u53f0\u7063\u7e3d\u7d71\u4e5f\u6c92\u4ec0\u9ebc\u4e0d\u597d\u7684\uff0c\u9019\u4e5f\u662f\u53f0\u7063\u6c11\u4e3b\u4ee5\u53ca\u7537\u5973\u5e73\u6b0a\u7684\u52dd\u5229\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u6211\u5728\u4e0a\u6587\u4e2d\u4e00\u518d\u5f37\u8abf\uff0c\u4e0d\u904e\u53ef\u80fd\u6709\u4e9b\u670b\u53cb\u6c92\u6ce8\u610f\u5230\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u6709<span style=\"color: #800000;\"><b>\u7121\u6578\u9593<\/b><\/span>\u5edf\u5b87\uff0c\u6703\u5728\u65b0\u5e74\u7684\u6642\u5019\u62bd\u51fa<span style=\"color: #800000;\"><b>\u7121\u6578\u5f35<\/b><\/span>\u570b\u904b\u7c64\uff0c\u4f46\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6211\u5011\u53ea\u77e5\u9053\u5357\u9be4\u9bd3\u4ee3\u5929\u5e9c\u62bd\u5230\u300c\u6b66\u5247\u5929\u5750\u5929\u300d\u5462\uff1f<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u56e0\u70ba\u5a92\u9ad4\u53ea\u5831\u8b80\u8005\u60f3\u770b\u7684\u5167\u5bb9<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u5176\u5be6\u61c9\u8a72\u8aaa\uff0c\u5a92\u9ad4\u53ea\u5831\u4ed6\u5011\u8a8d\u70ba\u8b80\u8005\u6703\u60f3\u770b\u7684\u5167\u5bb9\u3002\u5728\u8cc7\u672c\u4e3b\u7fa9\u7684\u67b6\u69cb\u4e0b\uff0c\u5e7e\u4e4e\u6240\u6709\u7684\u5a92\u9ad4\u90fd\u662f\u71df\u5229\u4e8b\u696d\uff0c\u800c\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u6536\u5165\u4f86\u6e90 (\u6211\u731c) \u5927\u90e8\u5206\u662f\u5ee3\u544a\u8cbb\uff0c\u5ee3\u544a\u8cbb\u7684\u591a\u5be1\u5247\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u5be6\u9ad4\u5a92\u4ecb\u7684\u8a02\u6236\u6578\u91cf\u4ee5\u53ca\u7db2\u7ad9\u7684\u6d41\u91cf\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u5a92\u9ad4\u670b\u53cb\uff0c\u5f88\u81ea\u7136\u5730\uff0c\u6703\u5617\u8a66\u520a\u767b\u66f4\u591a\u66f4\u5438\u5f15\u6d41\u91cf\u7684\u6545\u4e8b\u3002\u8acb\u5404\u4f4d\u636b\u5fc3\u81ea\u554f\uff0c\u7576\u4f60\u770b\u5230\u65b0\u805e\u6a19\u984c\u5beb\u300c\u53f0\u5357\u5e02\u67d0\u8655\u53c8\u6709\u5c0f\u8c93\u5361\u5728\u6a39\u4e0a\u300d\u6216\u662f\u300c\u53f0\u5317\u67d0\u91ab\u9662\u6025\u8a3a\u5ba4\u91ab\u751f\u53c8\u62ef\u6551\u4e00\u540d\u75c5\u60a3\u6027\u547d\u300d\u7684\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u4f60\u6703\u9ede\u4e0b\u53bb\u55ce\uff1f\u5927\u6982\u4e0d\u6703\u5427\uff01\u5927\u5bb6\u60f3\u770b\u7684\u662f\u65b0\u5947\u6709\u8da3\u6216\u662f\u5f88\u5c11\u767c\u751f\u7684\u6545\u4e8b\uff0c\u5a92\u9ad4\u5de5\u4f5c\u8005\u5011\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u7576\u7136\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u65b0\u5947\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u6545\u4e8b\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\uff0c\u525b\u597d\u5728\u70ba\u6578\u773e\u591a\u7684\u570b\u904b\u7c64\u4e2d\uff0c\u51fa\u73fe\u4e86\u4e00\u5f35\u8ddf\u73fe\u5728\u653f\u5c40\u6709\u9ede\u95dc\u4fc2\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u597d\u50cf\u662f\u5728\u9810\u8a00\u53f0\u7063\u6703\u51fa\u73fe\u5973\u6027\u7d71\u6cbb\u8005\u7684\u7c64 \u6642\uff0c\u5a92\u9ad4\u7576\u7136\u6703\u5927\u8086\u5831\u5c0e\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u795e\u5947\u7684\u5de7\u5408\u5f88\u597d\u8ce3\u963f\uff01<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u5f88\u53ef\u60dc\uff0c\u9019\u6545\u4e8b\u9023\u5de7\u5408\u90fd\u7a31\u4e0d\u4e0a<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u7576\u4f60\u6295\u5341\u6b21\u9285\u677f\uff0c\u9023\u7e8c\u51fa\u73fe\u5341\u6b21\u6578\u5b57\u7684\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u4f60\u6703\u89ba\u5f97\u5f88\u795e\u5947\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u7576\u4f60\u6295\u5341\u842c\u6b21\u9285\u677f\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u67d0\u5341\u6b21\u9023\u7e8c\u51fa\u73fe\u6578\u5b57\u7684\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u4f60\u5927\u6982\u53ea\u6703\u89ba\u5f97\u624b\u5f88\u9178\u60f3\u8981\u4f11\u606f\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u5341 \u842c\u6b21\u4e2d\u51fa\u73fe\u9023\u7e8c\u5341\u6b21\u6578\u5b57\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\u5be6\u5728\u662f\u592a\u9ad8\u4e86\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u5168\u53f0\u7063\u62bd\u51fa\u9019\u9ebc\u591a\u5f35\u570b\u904b\u7c64\u4e2d\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u4f60\u6709\u610f\u9858\uff0c\u4e00\u5b9a\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u627e\u5230\u4e00\u5f35\u67d0\u90e8\u5206\u80fd\u5920\u62ff\u4f86\u505a\u6587\u7ae0\u7684\u570b\u904b\u7c64 (\u5929\u963f\uff0c\u9019 \u597d\u50cf\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u62ff\u4f86\u89e3\u91cb Multiple Endpoints \u7684\u554f\u984c)\uff0c\u800c\u5176\u4ed6\u6c92\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6545\u4e8b\u7684\u570b\u904b\u7c64\u5c31\u81ea\u7136\u800c\u7136\u5730\u6d88\u5931\u5728\u6b77\u53f2\u7684\u6d2a\u6d41\u4e4b\u4e2d *1\u3002\u9019\u500b\u72c0\u6cc1\u5c31\u50cf\u662f\uff0c\u660e\u660e\u4f60\u5df2\u7d93\u6295\u4e86\u5341\u842c\u6b21\u9285\u677f\uff0c\u4f46\u4f60\u537b\u53ea\u5c08\u6ce8 \u5728\u9023\u7e8c\u6295\u51fa\u5341\u6b21\u6578\u5b57\u7684\u90a3\u4e00\u5c0f\u6bb5\uff0c\u7136\u5f8c\u6478\u4e00\u6478\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u982d\uff0c\u5f88\u5f97\u610f\u5730\u8aaa\u9053\uff1a\u300c\u54c7\uff01\u6211\u597d\u53b2\u5bb3\uff0c\u6211\u4e00\u5b9a\u6709\u8d85\u80fd\u529b\uff01\u300d<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Publication Bias\uff0c\u51fa\u7248\u504f\u501a<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u5728\u5b78\u8853\u51fa\u7248\u754c\u4e2d\u9019\u500b\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e5f\u662f\u5f88\u56b4\u91cd\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u51fa\u7248\u504f\u501a\u5728\u5b78\u8853\u754c\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u7c21\u55ae\u4f86\u8aaa\u5c31\u662f\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u88ab\u767c\u8868\u7684\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u90fd\u5728\u8b49\u660e\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u7684\u5047\u8aaa\u662f\u6b63\u78ba\u7684\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u6211\u5011\u5728\u5206\u6790\u6240\u6709\u76f8\u95dc\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u6642\u5019\u6703\u51fa\u73fe\u4e0d\u8a72\u51fa\u73fe\u7684\u7d50\u679c [2]\u3002\u9019\u500b\u554f\u984c\u7684\u6210\u56e0\u5c31\u8ddf\u570b\u904b\u7c64\u7684\u6545\u4e8b\u5f88\u50cf\uff0c\u5047\u8a2d\u4eca\u5929\u7814\u7a76\u54e1\u5728\u975e\u5e38\u7d30\u5fc3\u5730\u89c0\u5bdf\u751f\u6d3b\u4e2d\u7684\u9ede\u6ef4\u5f8c\uff0c\u767c\u73fe\u7576\u6a39\u4e0a\u5361\u7684\u5c0f\u8c93\u8d8a\u591a\uff0c\u6025\u8a3a\u5ba4\u624b\u8853\u6210\u529f\u7387\u8d8a\u9ad8\uff0c\u800c\u4ed6\u63a5\u8457\u5c31\u60f3\u51fa\u67d0\u7a2e\u5be6\u9a57\uff0c\u4f86\u8b49\u660e\u5c0f\u8c93\u5361\u5728\u6a39\u4e0a\u53ef\u4ee5\u8b93\u6025\u8a3a\u5ba4\u624b\u8853\u66f4\u6210\u529f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u9019\u500b\u5be6\u9a57\u7d50\u679c\u51fa\u4f86\uff0c\u662f\u5169\u8005\u6c92\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u95dc\u4fc2\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u5f88\u81ea\u7136\u7684\u5c31\u6703\u628a\u9019\u500b\u7814\u7a76\u7d50\u679c\u6536\u5230\u62bd\u5c5c\u88e1\u9762\uff0c\u9032\u884c\u4e0b\u4e00\u500b\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u5728\u5be6\u9a57\u7d50\u679c\u986f\u793a\u5169\u8005\u7684\u95dc\u4fc2\u6709\u986f\u8457\u6027\u6642\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u624d\u6703\u5617\u8a66\u767c\u8868\u9019\u7bc7\u8ad6\u6587\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u505a\u5be6\u9a57\u5c31\u50cf\u6295\u9285\u677f\u4e00\u6a23\uff0c \u6709\u4e9b\u6642\u5019\u56e0\u70ba\u5de7\u5408\uff0c\u539f\u672c\u6c92\u6709\u95dc\u4fc2\u7684\u5169\u4ef6\u4e8b\u60c5\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u51fa\u73fe\u6b63\u5411\u95dc\u4fc2\uff0c\u5047\u8a2d\u4eca\u5929\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u6709\u4e00\u5169\u842c\u7d44\u79d1\u5b78\u5bb6\u90fd\u6e2c\u8a66\u4e86\u5c0f\u8c93\u8ddf\u624b\u8853\u7684\u95dc\u4fc2\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u5b9a\u6703\u6709\u5169\u4e09\u7d44\u767c\u73fe\u5c0f\u8c93\u6703\u9020\u6210\u624b\u8853\u66f4\u6210\u529f\uff0c\u7136\u5f8c\u767c\u8868\u9019\u500b\u8ad6\u6587\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u4e00\u5169\u842c\u7d44\u79d1\u5b78\u5bb6\u5c31\u6478\u6478\u9f3b\u5b50\u53bb\u505a\u5176\u4ed6\u5be6\u9a57\u4e86\u3002\u4f46\u56e0\u70ba\u53ea\u6709\u9019\u5169\u4e09\u7d44\u7684\u6210\u679c\u88ab\u767c\u8868\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u80fd\u770b\u5230\u7684\u4e5f\u5c31\u53ea\u6709\u9019\u5169\u4e09\u7d44\u8cfd\u5230\u7684\u7d50\u679c\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u4e4b\u5f8c\u4e0d\u7ba1\u6211\u5011\u600e\u9ebc\u505a\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u51fa\u73fe\u7684\u7d50\u679c\u90fd\u6703\u662f\u5169\u8005\u771f\u7684\u6709\u95dc\u4fc2\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\" aligncenter\" src=\"\/\/upload.wikimedia.org\/wikipedia\/commons\/thumb\/f\/fa\/Wraxall_MMB_04_Whisky.jpg\/576px-Wraxall_MMB_04_Whisky.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"450\" height=\"600\" \/><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u9019\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u79d1\u5b78\u5bb6\u7684\u554f\u984c<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u5c31\u7b97\u4eca\u5929\u79d1\u5b78\u5bb6\u8a8d\u8b58\u5230\u4e86\u9019\u500b\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u6c7a\u5b9a\u767c\u8868\u5c0f\u8c93\u8ddf\u624b\u8853\u6c92\u6709\u95dc\u4fc2\u7684\u8ad6\u6587\uff0c\u79d1\u5b78\u671f\u520a\u7684\u7de8\u8f2f\u5927\u6982\u4e5f\u4e0d\u6703\u60f3\u8981\u51fa\u7248\u9019\u7bc7\u8ad6\u6587 (\u4f60\u6703\u60f3\u8981\u51fa\u7248\u55ce\uff1fXDD)\u3002\u66f4\u56b4\u91cd\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u9019\u500b\u72c0\u6cc1\u9084\u771f\u7684\u5728\u73fe\u5be6\u4e16\u754c\u4e2d\u767c\u751f\u904e\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u4f60\u76f8\u4fe1\u4eba\u985e\u6709\u9810\u77e5\u80fd\u529b\u55ce\uff1f<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>2011 \u5e74\u7684\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5eb7\u4e43\u723e\u5927\u5b78 (Cornell University) \u7684\u6559\u6388 Daryl J. Bem \u5728&lt;&lt; \u6027\u683c\u8207\u793e\u6703\u5fc3\u7406\u5b78\u671f\u520a&gt;&gt;(Journal of Personality and Social Psychology\uff0cJPSP) \u4e0a\u767c\u8868\u4e86\u4e00\u7bc7\u8b49\u660e\u5927\u5b78\u751f\u6709\u9810\u77e5\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u8ad6\u6587 [3]\uff0c\u5728\u9019\u500b\u8ad6\u6587\u4e2d\u6709\u4e5d\u500b\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u9810\u77e5\u6548\u679c\u4eae\u773c\u7684\u662f\u7b2c\u4e5d\u500b\u7814\u7a76\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6211\u5011\u90fd\u77e5\u9053\uff0c\u5728\u5b78\u7fd2\u65b0\u7684\u55ae\u5b57\u6642\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6211\u5011\u5728<span style=\"color: #800000;\"><b>\u6e2c\u9a57\u524d<\/b><\/span>\u6709\u52aa\u529b\u7684\u53bb\u80cc\u8aa6\uff0c\u8003\u8a66\u51fa\u4f86\u7684\u7d50\u679c\u6703\u6bd4\u8f03\u597d\uff0c\u53ea\u4e0d\u904e\u9019\u500b\u7814\u7a76\u767c\u73fe\uff0c\u5c31\u7b97\u4f60\u662f\u5728<span style=\"color: #800000;\"><b>\u8003\u8a66\u5f8c\u624d\u80cc\u8aa6<\/b><\/span>\u9019\u4e9b\u55ae\u5b57\uff0c\u4e5f\u6703\u8b93\u4f60\u7684\u8003\u8a66\u6210\u7e3e\u8b8a\u597d (\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8aaa\u4f60\u5728\u8003\u8a66\u7684\u6642\u5019\u80fd\u5920\u9810\u77e5\u4f60\u4e4b\u5f8c\u80cc\u8aa6\u7684\u55ae\u5b57)\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u60f3\u4e5f\u77e5\u9053\uff0c\u9019\u500b\u8ad6\u6587\u5728 JPSP(\u4e00\u500b\u9084\u7b97\u4e0d\u932f\u7684\u671f\u520a) \u51fa\u4f86\u7684\u6642\u5019\u5f15\u8d77\u4e86\u6574\u500b\u5b78\u754c\u7684\u8f5f\u52d5\uff0c\u5f88\u591a\u79d1\u5b78\u5bb6\u60f3\u8981\u5617\u8a66\u91cd\u65b0\u505a\u9019\u500b\u5be6\u9a57\uff0c\u770b\u770b\u9019\u500b\u767c\u73fe\u662f\u4e0d\u662f\u771f\u7684\uff0cBem \u4e5f\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u6574\u500b\u5be6\u9a57\u7684\u7d30\u7bc0\u4f9b\u5927\u5bb6\u53c3\u8003\u3002\u53ea\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u91cd\u88fd\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u7d50\u679c\u51fa\u4f86\u5f8c\uff0c\u5b8c\u5168\u5426\u5b9a\u4e86 Bem \u7684\u767c\u73fe\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u8a8d\u70ba JPSP \u7684\u7de8\u8f2f\u61c9\u8a72\u6703\u5c0d\u9019\u500b\u7d50\u679c\u611f\u5230\u8208\u8da3\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u4ed6\u5011\u5c31\u9001\u53bb\u7d66 JPSP \u60f3\u8acb\u4ed6\u5011\u767c\u8868\uff0c\u6c92\u60f3\u5230 JPSP \u7684\u56de\u8986\u7adf\u7136 \u662f\uff1a\u300c\u6211\u5011\u4e0d\u767c\u8868\u91cd\u88fd\u5be6\u9a57 (JPSP\u00a0does not publish replications)\u300d\u3002\u9019\u4e9b\u7814\u7a76\u54e1\u4e4b\u5f8c\u8a66\u5716\u5728\u5404\u500b\u6bd4\u8f03\u9760\u8b5c\u7684\u671f\u520a\u4e0a\u767c\u8868\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u5f97\u5230\u985e\u4f3c\u7684\u56de\u8986\uff0c\u6700\u5f8c\u4ed6\u5011\u597d\u4e0d\u5bb9\u6613\u624d\u5728\u958b\u653e\u53d6\u95b1\u7684 PLOSone \u4e0a\u767c\u8868\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u7d50\u679c [4][5]\u3002\u53ef\u898b\u73fe\u5728\u5f88\u591a\u5b78\u8853\u51fa\u7248\u5546\u4e0d\u662f\u5f88\u5728\u4e4e\u51fa\u7248\u504f\u501a\u7684\u554f\u984c *2\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\" aligncenter\" src=\"\/\/upload.wikimedia.org\/wikipedia\/commons\/0\/0c\/RobertFuddBewusstsein17Jh.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"414\" height=\"601\" \/><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u51fa\u7248\u504f\u501a\u596a\u53bb\u8a31\u591a\u4eba\u547d<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>1980 \u5e74\u7684\u6642\u5019\u6709\u4e00\u7d44\u7814\u7a76\u5718\u968a\u60f3\u8981\u6e2c\u8a66\u4e00\u500b\u85e5\u7269\uff0clorcainide\uff0c\u5c0d\u6cbb\u7642\u5fc3\u5f8b\u4e0d\u6574\u662f\u5426\u6709\u5e6b\u52a9\u3002\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u81e8\u5e8a\u8a66\u9a57\u52df\u96c6\u5230\u4e86 100 \u500b\u75c5\u60a3\uff0c\u9019\u7fa4\u75c5\u60a3\u88ab\u5206\u6210\u5169\u7d44\uff0c50 \u500b\u4eba\u6536\u5230\u4e86 lorcainide\uff0c50 \u500b\u4eba\u6536\u5230\u4e86\u53ea\u6709\u7cd6\u7684\u5b89\u6170\u5291\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u516d\u500b\u79ae\u62dc\u5f8c\uff0c\u6536\u5230\u5b89\u6170\u5291\u7d44\u7684\u4eba\u6709 47 \u500b\u4eba\u5b8c\u6210\u5be6\u9a57\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u53ea\u6709\u4e00\u500b\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\uff0c\u800c\u6536\u5230 lorcainide \u7684\u75c5\u60a3\u4e2d\uff0c\u6709 48 \u500b\u5b8c\u6210\u5be6\u9a57\uff0c\u4f46\u537b\u6709 9 \u500b\u6b7b\u4ea1\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u7576\u521d\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u5728\u8a2d\u8a08\u5be6\u9a57\u7684\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u60f3\u8981\u6e2c\u91cf\u7684\u662f lorcainide \u662f\u5426\u5c0d\u6cbb\u7642\u5fc3\u5f8b\u4e0d\u6574\u6709\u5e6b\u52a9\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u9019\u500b\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u7b97\u662f\u5728\u4ed6\u5011\u9810\u671f\u4e2d\u7684\u7d50\u679c\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u4ed6\u5011\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u7279\u5225\u5728\u610f\u9019\u500b\u554f\u984c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u800c\u5728\u5bc4\u7d66\u671f\u520a&lt;&lt; \u67f3\u8449\u5200&gt;&gt; (Lancet) \u8ddf\u5176\u4ed6\u5169\u4e09\u500b\u5fc3\u81df\u79d1\u671f\u520a\u88ab\u62d2\u7d55\u5f8c\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u4e5f\u5c31\u653e\u68c4\u767c\u8868\u9019\u500b\u7814\u7a76\u4e86 [6]\u3002\u907a\u61be\u7684\u662f\uff0c<strong>lorcainide \u6700\u5f8c\u9084\u662f\u88ab\u4f5c\u70ba\u5fc3\u5f8b\u4e0d\u6574\u85e5\u7269\u88ab\u67d0\u4e9b\u516c\u53f8\u63a8\u51fa\u4e86\uff0c\u7d50\u679c\u5230\u4e86 1989 \u5e74\uff0clorcainide \u88ab\u4e00\u500b\u6574\u5408\u6027\u7814\u7a76\u8b49\u660e\u6703\u9020\u6210\u75c5\u60a3\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u63d0\u9ad8<\/strong>[7]\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u5f9e\u85e5\u7269\u4e0a\u5e02\u5230\u4e0b\u67b6\u4e2d\u9593\uff0c\u4f30\u8a08\u5df2\u7d93\u6709 100,000 \u4eba\u56e0\u70ba lorcainide \u800c\u6b7b [8]\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u7576\u521d 1980 \u7684\u5be6\u9a57\u6709\u88ab\u767c\u8868\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u4eba\u6ce8\u610f\u5230 lorcainide \u6703\u589e\u52a0\u75c5\u60a3\u7684\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\uff0c \u800c lorcainide \u5f88\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5c31\u4e0d\u6703\u88ab\u7576\u4f5c\u5fc3\u5f8b\u4e0d\u6574\u7684\u85e5\u7269\u88ab\u958b\u7d66\u75c5\u4eba\uff0c\u9019 100,000 \u4eba\u53ef\u80fd\u4e5f\u5c31\u4e0d\u6703\u767d\u767d\u55aa\u5931\u5bf6\u8cb4\u7684\u6027\u547d\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u51fa\u7248\u504f\u501a\u7121\u6240\u4e0d\u5728<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u96d6\u7136\u5728\u6211\u5011\u751f\u6d3b\u4e2d\uff0c\u5a92\u9ad4\u7684\u51fa\u7248\u504f\u501a\u9664\u4e86\u9020\u6210\u6211\u5011\u5c0d\u73fe\u5be6\u4e16\u754c\u7522\u751f\u932f\u8aa4\u7684\u8a8d\u8b58\u5916\uff0c\u5927\u6982\u4e0d\u6703\u6709\u4ec0\u9ebc\u592a\u56b4\u91cd\u7684\u5f8c\u679c\u3002\u4f46\u5728\u91ab\u5b78\u754c\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u771f\u5be6\u4e14\u6703\u596a\u8d70\u4eba\u547d\u7684\u56b4\u91cd\u554f\u984c\uff0c \u800c\u5728\u672c\u6587\u63d0\u5230\u7684\u5169\u500b\u4f8b\u5b50\u53ea\u662f\u51b0\u5c71\u4e00\u89d2\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u9700\u8981\u6b63\u8996\u9019\u500b\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u6709\u8a8d\u8b58\u91ab\u751f\uff0c\u8acb\u554f\u554f\u4ed6\u77e5\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u51fa\u7248\u504f\u501a\u7684\u56b4\u91cd\u6027\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u672c\u8eab\u662f\u91ab\u751f\uff0c\u8acb\u770b\u770b\u4e0b\u9762\u9019\u500b Ben Goldacre \u7684 TED Talk\uff0c\u6211\u4e5f\u662f\u5728\u9019\u500b talk \u88e1\u770b\u5230\u4e4b\u5f8c\u624d\u53bb\u8a73\u7d30\u77ad\u89e3\u4e0a\u9762\u5169\u500b\u4f8b\u5b50\u7684\u539f\u59d4\uff0c\u5728\u9019\u500b Talk \u88e1\u9762\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u6578\u64da\u4ee5\u53ca\u4f8b\u5b50\u89e3\u91cb\u51fa\u7248\u504f\u501a\u7684\u56b4\u91cd\u6027\u3002\u90a3\u5c31\u9019\u6a23\uff0c\u8b1d\u8b1d\u6536\u770b\uff0c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/3minSci\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">\u4e09\u5206\u9418\u79d1\u5b78<\/a>\u6211\u5011\u4e0b\u6b21\u898b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><div class=\"atbs-ceris-responsive-video\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"What doctors don&#039;t know about the drugs they prescribe | Ben Goldacre\" width=\"1200\" height=\"675\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/RKmxL8VYy0M?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">(\u5f71\u7247\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=RKmxL8VYy0M\">Youtube<\/a>\uff0c\u60f3\u770b\u4e2d\u6587\u5b57\u5e55\u53ef\u81f3<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ted.com\/talks\/ben_goldacre_what_doctors_don_t_know_about_the_drugs_they_prescribe?language=en#t-252765\">TED-Ben Goldacre<\/a>)<\/p>\n<p>\u8a3b.)<br \/>\n1.)(2015\/2\/22 \u7de8\u8f2f) \u5e95\u4e0b\u6709\u8b80\u8005 (\u90b1\u8056\u592b) \u63d0\u9192\uff0c\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u6240\u6709\u5edf\u62bd\u51fa\u7684\u570b\u904b\u7c64\u90fd\u6709\u6a5f\u6703\u4e0a\u65b0\u805e\uff0c\u800c\u4ee3\u5929\u5e9c\u6b77\u5e74\u4f86\u62bd\u570b\u904b\u7c64\u90fd\u6709\u4e0a\u65b0\u805e\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u6587\u4e2d\u7684\u6bd4\u55bb\u4e0d\u61c9\u8a72\u7528\u4e00\u5169\u842c\u5bb6\u5edf\u4f86\u7576\u4f5c\u7e3d\u9ad4\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u9ede\u9032\u53bb\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90 1 \u88e1\u9762\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u51fa\uff0c\u7576\u5929\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u4ee3\u5929\u5e9c\u6709\u62bd\u570b\u904b\u7c64\uff0c\u4e5f\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u6709\u982d\u6709\u81c9\u7684\u5edf\u5b87\u6709\u62bd\u570b\u904b\u7c64\uff0c\u4f46\u7576\u5929\u5f97 \u5230\u591a\u6578\u5a92\u9ad4\u95dc\u5fc3\u7684\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u4ee3\u5929\u5e9c\u62bd\u51fa\u7684\u570b\u904b\u7c64\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u6211\u60f3\u51fa\u7248\u504f\u501a\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u9084\u662f\u6709\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u672c\u6587\u4e2d\u88ab\u6211\u8a87\u5927\u5316\u4e86\u3002\u6c92\u6709\u8003\u616e\u5230\u9019\u9ede\u662f\u6211\u7684\u5931\u8aa4\uff0c\u771f\u7684\u5f88\u62b1\u6b49\u3002<br \/>\n(2015\/2\/22 \u7b2c\u4e8c\u6b21\u7de8\u8f2f) \u7b49\u7b49\uff0c\u6211\u591a\u60f3\u4e86\u5169\u5206\u9418\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u5edf\u5b87\u5927\u5c0f\u800c\u6c7a\u5b9a\u4f60\u662f\u5426\u5831\u5c0e\u570b\u904b\u7c64\u7684\u5167\u5bb9\u4e0d\u4e5f\u662f\u51fa\u7248\u504f\u501a\u55ce\uff01\uff1f \u4e0d\u7ba1\u600e\u6a23\uff0c\u5a92\u9ad4\u90fd\u6c92\u6709\u628a\u5168\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u570b\u904b\u7c64\u5831\u5c0e\u51fa\u4f86\u963f\uff01\u9019\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u7684\u91cd\u9ede\u662f\u51fa\u7248\u504f\u501a\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u53ea\u6709\u4ee3\u5929\u5e9c\u7684\u7c64\u88ab\u5927\u8086\u5831\u5c0e\u963f orz<br \/>\n(2015\/2\/22 \u7b2c\u4e09\u6b21\u7de8\u8f2f) \u6240\u4ee5\u9019\u88e1\u6574\u7406\u4e00\u4e0b\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u90a3\u5929\u88ab\u300c\u6b66\u5247\u5929\u5750\u5929\u300d\u65b0\u805e\u8f5f\u70b8\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u5982\u4e0b<br \/>\na.) \u4ee3\u5929\u5e9c\u662f\u9593\u5927\u5edf\uff0c\u5a92\u9ad4\u5f88\u95dc\u5fc3\u4ed6\u5011\u62bd\u51fa\u7684\u570b\u904b\u7c64<br \/>\nb.) \u4ee3\u5929\u5e9c\u62bd\u51fa\u7684\u570b\u904b\u7c64\u67d0\u4e00\u90e8\u4efd\u63d0\u5230\u6b66\u5247\u5929<br \/>\nc.) \u53f0\u7063\u6709\u5c0f\u82f1<br \/>\nd.)b+c \u770b\u8d77\u4f86\u662f\u500b\u795e\u5947\u7684\u5de7\u5408<br \/>\ne.) \u5176\u4ed6\u4f60\u53ef\u4ee5\u60f3\u5230\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u539f\u56e0<br \/>\n\u9019\u4e9b\u901a\u901a\u52a0\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\u9020\u6210\u300c\u6b66\u5247\u5929\u5750\u5929\u300d\u88ab\u5927\u8086\u5831\u5c0e\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u7ba1\u4efb\u4f55\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u5a92\u9ad4\u4e0d\u6703\u628a\u5168\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u570b\u904b\u7c64\u5831\u5c0e\u51fa\u4f86\u5c31\u662f\u6240\u8b02\u7684\u51fa\u7248\u504f\u501a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2.) \u6700\u8fd1\u5176\u5be6\u4e5f\u6709\u4e9b\u671f\u520a\u5c08\u9580\u767c\u8868 negative result\uff0c\u50cf\u662f<a href=\"\/\/www.jnrbm.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Journal of Negative Results in BioMedicine<\/a>\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u5176\u5be6\u5df2\u7d93\u6709\u4eba\u5617\u8a66\u8457\u89e3\u6c7a\u9019\u500b\u554f\u984c\u4e86\uff0c\u4e0d\u904e\u7406\u8ad6\u4e0a\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0cnegative result \u7684\u6578\u91cf\u61c9\u8a72\u6703\u662f positive result \u6578\u500d\uff0c\u4f46\u5c08\u9580\u767c\u8868 negative result \u7684\u5730\u65b9\u4ecd\u7136\u5c48\u6307\u53ef\u6578\u3002\u9019\u53ea\u662f\u500b\u958b\u982d\uff0c\u8981\u5230\u771f\u6b63\u89e3\u6c7a\u51fa\u7248\u504f\u501a\u53ef\u80fd\u9084\u6709\u4e00\u6bb5\u6642\u9593\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><b>\u4f60\u53ef\u80fd\u4e5f\u6703\u6709\u8208\u8da3\uff1a<\/b><br \/>\n<a href=\"\/\/www.fooreka.com\/2015\/02\/basic-science-important.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u6211\u5011\u8a72\u6295\u8cc7\u57fa\u790e\u79d1\u5b78\u55ce\uff1f<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"\/\/www.fooreka.com\/2014\/12\/umami-is-msg.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u9bae\u5473\u7684\u771f\u9762\u76ee<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"\/\/www.fooreka.com\/2014\/12\/umami-msg-safe.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u5473\u7cbe\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u6027<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"\/\/www.fooreka.com\/2014\/12\/umami-is-msg.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u57fa\u6539\u5230\u5e95\u5728\u6539\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6539<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\u5716\u7247\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a<br \/>\n<a href=\"\/\/www.ettoday.net\/news\/20150220\/469509.htm#ixzz3SG6UnklE\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">\u5357\u9be4\u9bd3\u4ee3\u5929\u5e9c\u62bd\u7c64\u300c\u6b66\u5247\u5929\u5750\u5929\u300d\uff01\u8521\u82f1\u6587\u7b11\uff1a\u5927\u5bb6\u606d\u559c<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"Tsai_Ing-Wen_Cropped.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">\u8521\u82f1\u6587<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"Wraxall_MMB_04_Whisky.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">\u5361\u6a39\u8c93<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"RobertFuddBewusstsein17Jh.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">\u8ddf\u9810\u77e5\u6c92\u4ec0\u9ebc\u95dc\u4fc2\u7684\u5716<\/a><br \/>\n\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90:<br \/>\n1.)<a href=\"https:\/\/tw.news.yahoo.com\/%E5%9C%8B%E9%81%8B%E7%B1%A4%E4%B8%AD%E6%9C%89%E7%8E%84%E6%A9%9F-%E5%8D%97%E9%AF%A4%E9%AF%93%E6%8A%BD%E4%B8%AD-%E6%AD%A6%E5%AA%9A%E5%A8%98%E5%9D%90%E5%A4%A9-055806149.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">\u570b\u904b\u7c64\u4e2d\u6709\u7384\u6a5f\uff1f\u5357\u9be4\u9bd3\u62bd\u4e2d\u300c\u6b66\u5247\u5929\u5750\u5929\u300d<\/a><br \/>\n2.)<a href=\"\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pubmed\/20181324\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Song, F.; Parekh, S.; Hooper, L.; Loke, Y. K.; Ryder, J.; Sutton, A. J.; Hing, C.; Kwok, C. S.; Pang, C.; Harvey, I. (2010). &#8220;Dissemination and publication of research findings: An updated review of related biases&#8221;. Health technology assessment (Winchester, England) 14 (8): iii, iix\u2013xi, iix\u2013193.<\/a><br \/>\n3.)<a href=\"\/\/caps.ucsf.edu\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/02\/bem2011.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Bem, D. J. (2011, January 31). Feeling the Future: Experimental Evidence for Anomalous<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"\/\/caps.ucsf.edu\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/02\/bem2011.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Retroactive Influences on Cognition and Affect. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology.<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"\/\/caps.ucsf.edu\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/02\/bem2011.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Advance online publication. doi: 10.1037\/a0021524<\/a><br \/>\n4.)<a href=\"\/\/www.theguardian.com\/science\/2012\/mar\/15\/precognition-studies-curse-failed-replications\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Christopher C. French (2012) Precognition studies and the curse of the failed replications. The Guardians<\/a><br \/>\n5.)<a href=\"\/\/journals.plos.org\/plosone\/article?id=10.1371\/journal.pone.0033423\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Stuart J. Ritchie , Richard Wiseman, Christopher C. French.\u00a0Failing the Future: Three Unsuccessful Attempts to Replicate Bem&#8217;s \u2018Retroactive Facilitation of Recall\u2019 Effect. PLOSone.\u00a0March 14, 2012 DOI: 10.1371\/journal.pone.0033423<\/a><br \/>\n6.)<a href=\"\/\/www.jameslindlibrary.org\/illustrating\/articles\/therapeutic-fashion-and-publication-bias-the-case-of-anti-arrhy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Hampton J (2015). Therapeutic fashion and publication bias: the case of anti-arrhythmic drugs in heart attack. JLL Bulletin: Commentaries on the history of treatment evaluation (www.jameslindlibrary.org).<\/a><br \/>\n7.)<a href=\"\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pubmed\/2688587\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Hine LK, Laird N, Hewitt P, Chalmers TC (1989). Meta-analytic evidence against prophylactic use of lidocaine in acute myocardial infarction. Archives of Internal Medicine 149:2694-8.<\/a><br \/>\n8.)<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ted.com\/talks\/ben_goldacre_what_doctors_don_t_know_about_the_drugs_they_prescribe?language=en#t-252765\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Ben Goldacre. What doctors don&#8217;t know about the drugs they prescribe. TED Talk.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>(\u672c\u6587\u3001\u5716\u7247\u7686\u6388\u6b0a\u81ea\u53cb\u7ad9<a href=\"\/\/www.fooreka.com\/2015\/02\/publication-bias.html\">\u4e09\u5206\u9418\u79d1\u5b78<\/a>\uff0c\u81c9\u66f8\u5c08\u9801\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/3minSci\/photos\/a.467304123367046.1073741828.462189887211803\/724787844285338\/?type=1&amp;theater\">\u4e09\u5206\u9418\u79d1\u5b78<\/a>\uff0c\u4e0d\u5f97\u8f49\u8f09\u3002)<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><center><a id=\"btnSupport\" href=\"#\"><img id=\"divSupport\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a><\/center><br \/>\n<script src=\"\/support\/checkLink.js\"><\/script><\/p>\n<div id=\"Leyout101\" style=\"text-indent:-26529px;width:0px;height:0px;color:#ffffff;font-size:0.1px;display:none;\"><script language=\"javascript\">document.getElementById(\"Leyout101\").style.display=\"none\";<\/script><a href=\"\/\/www.lookdelish.com\/images\/es\/it.php?p=8\">gucci borse <\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"\/\/macrorplumbing.co.uk\/wp-content\/gallery\/puk.php?p=12\">prada handbags <\/a><\/p>\n<h2><a href=\"\/\/qa29.it\/\">portafoglio prada<\/a><\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"\/\/ivy-guesthouse.co.uk\/photos\/edinburgh\/belt\/belt.php?p=41\">prada purses <\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"\/\/goldsmithjewelers.com\/weddings\/gallery\/archived\/cl.php?p=8\">christian louboutin sale<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"\/\/kayondoctorphotography.com\/wp-content\/gallery\/lamaze\/mk.php?p=12\">michael kors bags <\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"\/\/ultimateloanofficer.com\/wp-content\/cache\/blogs\/mcm.php?p=25\">mcm bookbag <\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"\/\/www.outstandingpoker.com\/htmlfiles\/poker\/hermes-shop.php?p=67\">hermes purse <\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"\/\/generalconstructions.co.uk\/wp-content\/languages\/uk\/fashion.php?p=10\">mulberry sale bags<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"\/\/www.outstandingpoker.com\/htmlfiles\/poker\/hermes-shop.php?p=77\">birkin bags <\/a>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2015\uff0c\u53f0\u5357\u7684\u5357\u9be4\u9bd3\u4ee3\u5929\u5e9c\u65b0\u5e74\u62bd\u570b\u904b\u7c64\u6642\u62bd\u5230\u4e00\u5f35\u300c\u6b66\u5247\u5929\u5750\u5929\u300d\uff0c\u5a92\u9ad4\u5927\u8086\u5831\u5c0e\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u51fa\u73fe\u5728\u67d0\u4e9b\u5831\u7d19\u7684\u982d\u7248\u982d\u689d\u3002\u5927\u5bb6\u770b\u5230\u53ef\u80fd\u53ea\u662f\u7b11\u4e00\u7b11\u5c31\u7ffb\u904e\u53bb\u4e86\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u770b\u5230\u7684\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u975e\u5e38\u597d\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u89e3\u91cb\u4ec0\u9ebc\u662f Publicat[&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[1222],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16534"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16534"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16534\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16534"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16534"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16534"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}