{"id":15235,"date":"2015-09-15T10:16:53","date_gmt":"2015-09-15T02:16:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2015\/09\/15\/brazil-is-dangerous\/"},"modified":"2015-09-15T10:16:53","modified_gmt":"2015-09-15T02:16:53","slug":"brazil-is-dangerous","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2015\/09\/15\/brazil-is-dangerous\/","title":{"rendered":"\u91d1\u78da\u56db\u570b\u9010\u6f38\u57ae\u53f0\u300b\u5df4\u897f\u5012\u4e86\uff0c\u4e0b\u4e00\u500b\u6703\u662f\u8ab0\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone\" src=\"https:\/\/farm1.staticflickr.com\/229\/479370088_2e7091fc6e_z.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"340\" \/><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u300aBO\u300b\u5c0e\u8b80\uff1a\u91d1\u78da\u56db\u570b (BRICs) \u70ba\u5df4\u897f\u3001\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u548c\u4e2d\u570b\uff0c\u662f\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6\u9817\u70ba\u770b\u597d\u7684\u65b0\u8208\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u4f46\u60f3\u4e0d\u5230\u624d\u525b\u8981\u8d77\u98db\u7684\u65b0\u8208\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u958b\u59cb\u6709\u4e86\u4e0b\u5761\u4e4b\u52e2\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u80a1\u707d\u3001\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u5927\u5e45\u8cb6\u503c\uff0c\u5f71\u97ff\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\uff0c\u4f46\u53d7\u5230\u6ce2\u53ca\u6700\u5927\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u7adf\u662f\u5df4\u897f\uff01\uff08\u60f3\u77ad\u89e3\u66f4\u591a\uff0c\u53ef\u95b1\u8b80\u6b64\u6587\uff1a<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"\/\/buzzorange.com\/2015\/08\/13\/rmb-devaluation-impacts-brazil-economy\/\">\u8ab0\u80fd\u60f3\u5230\uff0c\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u5927\u5e45\u8cb6\u503c\uff0c\u640d\u50b7\u6700\u5927\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\u5c45\u7136\u662f\u22ef\u5df4\u897f\uff1f<\/a><\/span>\uff09\u800c\u5df4\u897f\u5927\u5e45\u8cb6\u503c\uff0c\u5167\u90e8\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u98a8\u96aa\u90fd\u5687\u58de\u4e86\u5916\u8cc7\uff0c\u6c92\u4eba\u77e5\u66c9\u5df4\u897f\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u662f\u5426\u70ba\u66f4\u6158\uff0c\u800c\u5168\u7403\u6b0a\u5a01\u91d1\u878d\u5206\u6790\u6a5f\u69cb\uff0c\u5247\u662f\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u8a55\u7d1a\u54ea\u4e9b\u65b0\u8208\u570b\u5bb6\u6709\u6295\u8cc7\u4e0a\u7684\u5371\u96aa\u3002<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\u672c\u9031\u6a19\u6e96\u666e\u723e\uff08\u7de8\u6309\uff1a\u70ba\u4e16\u754c\u6b0a\u5a01\u91d1\u878d\u5206\u6790\u6a5f\u69cb\uff09\u5c07\u5df4\u897f\u7684\u4fe1\u7528\u8a55\u7d1a\u964d\u81f3\u5783\u573e\u7d1a\uff0c\u5176\u8ca0\u9762\u7684\u8a55\u7d1a\u5c55\u671b\u610f\u5473\u8457\u672a\u4f86\u9084\u53ef\u80fd\u7e7c\u7e8c\u88ab\u964d\u7d1a\u3002\u800c<span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">\u9762\u5c0d\u5168\u7403\u8cc7\u672c\u760b\u72c2\u64a4\u96e2\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u552f\u4e00\u6709\u964d\u7d1a\u5371\u96aa\u7684\u65b0\u8208\u5e02\u5834\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u3001\u571f\u8033\u5176\u3001\u5357\u975e\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u6b65\u5176\u5f8c\u5875<\/span>\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u9031\u5df4\u897f\u88ab<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"\/\/wallstreetcn.com\/node\/223374\">\u964d\u7d1a<\/a><\/span>\u5f8c\uff0c\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u898b\u805e\u6587\u7ae0<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"\/\/wallstreetcn.com\/node\/223327\">\u63d0\u5230<\/a><\/span>\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u8a55\u7d1a\u6a5f\u69cb\u60e0\u8b7d\u5c07\u65b0\u8208\u5e02\u5834\u570b\u5bb6\u5217\u5165\u964d\u7d1a\u98a8\u96aa\u540d\u55ae\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u653e\u7de9\u548c\u8ca1\u653f\u8d64\u5b57\u9ad8\u4f01\u7684\u5df4\u897f\u548c\u5357\u975e\u9ad8\u5c45\u699c\u9996\uff0c\u571f\u8033\u5176\u548c\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u4e5f\u5728\u5176\u4e2d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u82f1\u570b\u300a\u91d1\u878d\u6642\u5831\u300b\u5831\u5c0e<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"\/\/www.ft.com\/intl\/cms\/s\/2\/f972e87c-57e5-11e5-a28b-50226830d644.html#axzz3lTjuhRUe\">\u6307\u51fa<\/a><\/span>\uff0c\u548c\u904e\u53bb\u5c08\u6ce8\u65bc\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u511f\u9084\u5916\u50b5\u80fd\u529b\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u4e09\u5927\u570b\u969b\u6b0a\u5a01\u8a55\u7d1a\u6a5f\u69cb\u2014\u2014\u6a19\u6e96\u666e\u723e\u3001\u7a46\u8fea\u548c\u60e0\u8b7d\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u4f9d\u9760\u5ee3\u6cdb\u7684\u5b8f\u89c0\u7d93\u6fdf\u8861\u91cf\u6a19\u6e96\u7d66\u4e88\u8a55\u7d1a\u3002\u5df4\u897f\u7684\u5916\u5e63\u4e3b\u6b0a\u50b5\u52d9\u76f8\u5c0d\u8f03\u5c11\uff0c<span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">\u53ef\u662f\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u672c\u5e63\u50b5\u52d9\u548c\u570b\u5167\u4f01\u696d\u767c\u884c\u7684\u5916\u5e63\u50b5\u5238\u90fd\u5f88\u591a\u3002<\/span>\u5fb7\u570b\u5546\u696d\u9280\u884c\u7684\u65b0\u8208\u5e02\u5834\u7814\u7a76\u4e3b\u7ba1 Simon Quijano-Evans \u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u8a55\u7d1a\u6a5f\u69cb\u95dc\u6ce8\u7684\u662f\u7d50\u69cb\u6027\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u7279\u5225\u662f\u7d50\u69cb\u6539\u9769\u7684\u9032\u5c55\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u4f9d\u8cf4\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u51fa\u53e3\u7684\u65b0\u8208\u5e02\u5834\u570b\u5bb6\u6709\u7121\u63a8\u884c\u7d93\u6fdf\u591a\u5143\u5316\u767c\u5c55\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Quijano-Evans \u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u7684\u516c\u50b5\u8207 GDP \u4e4b\u6bd4\u5f9e 2002 \u5e74\u5dd4\u5cf0\u6c34\u5e73\u7684 78% \u964d\u81f3 2011 \u5e74\u7684 61%\uff0c\u6b64\u5f8c\u76f4\u7dda\u56de\u5347\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u3001\u5357\u975e\u8207\u571f\u8033\u5176\u7684\u50b5\u52d9\u589e\u9577\u4e5f\u5448\u73fe\u540c\u6a23\u7684\u589e\u52e2\u3002\u4ee5\u4e0b\u300a\u91d1\u878d\u6642\u5831\u300b\u5716\u8868\u5c55\u793a\u4e86\u4e09\u5927\u8a55\u7d1a\u6a5f\u69cb\u5206\u5225\u7d66\u4e88\u5df4\u897f\u3001\u5357\u975e\u3001\u571f\u8033\u5176\u548c\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u7684\u8a55\u7d1a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u7d05\u8272\u4ee3\u8868\u5783\u573e\u7d1a\uff0c\u85cd\u8272\u4ee3\u8868\u6295\u8cc7\u7d1a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u662f\u53f3\u4e0a\u65b9\u5e36\u6709\u661f\u865f\u7684\u85cd\u8272\u8a55\u7d1a\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868\u8ddd\u96e2\u5783\u573e\u7d1a\u50c5\u5dee\u5169\u7d1a\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"\/\/buzzorange.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/f1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-44309\" src=\"\/\/buzzorange.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/f1.jpg\" alt=\"f1\" width=\"352\" height=\"324\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Quijano-Evans \u5c0d\u6bd4\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u8a08\u50f9\u7684\u5404\u570b\u4fe1\u7528\u9055\u7d04\u4e92\u63db\uff08CDS\uff09\u540c\u6a19\u6e96\u666e\u723e\u8207\u7a46\u8fea\u5206\u5225\u7d66\u4e88\u7684\u8a55\u7d1a\uff0c\u767c\u73fe\u9ad8\u65bc\u4e0b\u5716\u7d05\u7dda\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\u662f\u5e02\u5834\u8a8d\u70ba\u98a8\u96aa\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u5176\u5be6\u969b\u98a8\u96aa\u8d85\u904e\u4e86\u8a55\u7d1a\u6a5f\u69cb\u76ee\u524d\u7d66\u4e88\u8a55\u7d1a\u9ad4\u73fe\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\u7d05\u7dda\u4e0b\u65b9\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\u76f8\u5c0d\u98a8\u96aa\u8f03\u5c0f\u3002\u5982\u5716\u6240\u793a\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u8a8d\u70ba\u5df4\u897f\u3001\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u3001\u571f\u8033\u5176\u548c\u5357\u975e\u7684\u5be6\u969b\u8a55\u7d1a\u660e\u986f\u4f4e\u65bc\u8a55\u7d1a\u6a5f\u69cb\u73fe\u5728\u7d66\u4e88\u7684\u8a55\u7d1a\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"\/\/buzzorange.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/f2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-44310\" src=\"\/\/buzzorange.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/f2.jpg\" alt=\"f2\" width=\"607\" height=\"430\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u570b\u79c1\u4eba\u9280\u884c\u5e03\u6717\u5144\u5f1f\u00b7\u54c8\u91cc\u66fc\uff08Brown Brothers Harriman\uff0cBBH\uff09\u7684\u9ad8\u7d1a\u5916\u532f\u7b56\u7565\u5e2b Win Thin \u7528 15 \u7a2e\u5b8f\u89c0\u548c\u653f\u6cbb\u6307\u6a19\u7de8\u88fd\u4e86\u52a0\u6b0a\u6307\u6578\uff0c\u751f\u6210\u96b1\u6027\u8a55\u7d1a\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u64da\u8a72\u6a21\u578b\u4f30\u7b97\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u7684\u8a55\u7d1a\u61c9\u8a72\u6bd4\u6a19\u6e96\u666e\u723e\u7d66\u4e88\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u8a55\u7d1a\u9084\u4f4e\u5169\u7d1a\uff0c\u5206\u5225\u6bd4\u7a46\u8fea\u548c\u60e0\u8b7d\u73fe\u6709\u8a55\u7d1a\u4f4e\u4e09\u7d1a\u548c\u56db\u7d1a\u3002Thin \u9810\u8a08\uff0c\u7a46\u8fea\u548c\u60e0\u8b7d\u5c07\u5df4\u897f\u8a55\u7d1a\u964d\u70ba\u5783\u573e\u7d1a\u53ea\u662f\u6642\u9593\u554f\u984c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Thin \u5c07\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u3001\u571f\u8033\u5176\u548c\u5357\u975e\u5217\u70ba\u4e09\u5927\u6700\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u4e3b\u6b0a\u8a55\u7d1a\u88ab\u4e0b\u8abf\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\u3002\u64da BBH \u4eca\u5e74 7 \u6708\u672b\u66f4\u65b0\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u4f30\u7b97\u7d50\u679c\uff1a<\/p>\n<p>\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u7684\u8a55\u7d1a\u70ba BB-\uff0c\u6bd4\u6a19\u6e96\u666e\u723e\u548c\u7a46\u8fea\u8a55\u7d1a\u4f4e\u5169\u7d1a\uff0c\u6bd4\u552f\u4e00\u7d66\u4e88\u8a72\u570b\u6295\u8cc7\u7d1a\u8a55\u7d1a\u7684\u60e0\u8b7d\u7684\u8a55\u7d1a\u4f4e\u4e09\u7d1a\u3002<br \/>\n\u5357\u975e\u7684\u8a55\u7d1a\u70ba BB\uff0c\u6bd4\u7a46\u8fea\u548c\u60e0\u8b7d\u7684\u8a55\u7d1a\u4f4e\u4e09\u7d1a\uff0c\u6bd4\u6a19\u6e96\u666e\u723e\u7684\u8a55\u7d1a\u4f4e\u5169\u7d1a\uff1b<br \/>\n\u571f\u8033\u5176\u7684\u8a55\u7d1a\u4e5f\u662f BB\uff0c\u6bd4\u7a46\u8fea\u548c\u60e0\u8b7d\u7684\u8a55\u7d1a\u4f4e\u5169\u7d1a\uff0c\u6bd4\u6a19\u6e96\u666e\u723e\u7684\u8a55\u7d1a\u4f4e\u4e00\u7d1a\u3002<br \/>\nThin \u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u904e\u53bb\u5341\u5e74\u5927\u5bb6\u9ad8\u4f30\u4e86\u65b0\u8208\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u9762\uff0c\u5b83\u5011\u7684\u5f37\u52c1\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u5be6\u969b\u4e0a\u662f\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u5927\u7e41\u69ae\u7684\u7522\u7269\u3002\u7576\u7136\u571f\u8033\u5176\u662f\u4f8b\u5916\u3002\u571f\u8033\u5176\u56e0\u70ba\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u50f9\u683c\u8d70\u4f4e\u800c\u53d7\u76ca\uff0c\u56f0\u64fe\u571f\u8033\u5176\u7684\u662f\u653f\u6cbb\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u904e\u53bb\u4e94\u516d\u5e74\u571f\u8033\u5176\u7d93\u6fdf\u5c31\u662f\u50b5\u52d9\u50ac\u751f\u7684\u6ce1\u6cab\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\uff08\u672c\u6587\u70ba\u5408\u4f5c\u5a92\u9ad4\u300a<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"\/\/wallstreetcn.com\/node\/223479\">\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u898b\u805e<\/a><\/span>\u300b\u6388\u6b0a\u520a\u8f09\uff0c\u975e\u7d93\u5141\u8a31\u3001\u4e0d\u5f97\u8f49\u8f09\uff1b\u9996\u5716\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/rednuht\/479370088\/in\/photolist-JmU2w-bXofqs-eXsijw-5GoNLA-q5Fped-4e3F5K-q7oao7-amfJt6-6RAcZJ-qVkcx6-amiw57-9PrF71-bXices-bXict3-bXic9S-bXiciE-nXBjLe-aFZmU4-g2Exer-9PrF79-9PrF6U-9S419Q-amiwio-aJZCvk-6RfUEZ-aFZmGv-aFZmx2-9PrF7m-9PrF7f-5Gjtr4-6RjqTG-eyLL6z-eyLmXe-eyPyFo-eyQ7Eh-eyQm4L-eyMeSa-eyPMd7-eyLrPa-eyQ4WS-eyPT6L-eyQ6qj-eyPDFC-eyQ75o-eyLUYH-eyLS9B-eyPYXA-eyMaUV-eyLwqT-eyLNQM\">rednuht<\/a><\/span>\u00a0,CC licensed\u3002\uff09<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>\u5ef6\u4f38\u95b1\u8b80\uff1a<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"\/\/buzzorange.com\/2015\/08\/13\/rmb-devaluation-impacts-brazil-economy\/\">\u8ab0\u80fd\u60f3\u5230\uff0c\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u5927\u5e45\u8cb6\u503c\uff0c\u640d\u50b7\u6700\u5927\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\u5c45\u7136\u662f\u22ef\u5df4\u897f\uff1f<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"\/\/buzzorange.com\/2015\/09\/10\/prediction-for-economy\/\">\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6\uff1a\u672a\u4f86\u5169\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u6700\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u7d50\u5c40\u662f\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u300aBO\u300b\u5c0e\u8b80\uff1a\u91d1\u78da\u56db\u570b (BRICs) 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