{"id":15065,"date":"2015-08-18T10:56:22","date_gmt":"2015-08-18T02:56:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2015\/08\/18\/are-we-in-trouble\/"},"modified":"2015-08-18T10:56:22","modified_gmt":"2015-08-18T02:56:22","slug":"are-we-in-trouble","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2015\/08\/18\/are-we-in-trouble\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5c0f\u5fc3\u91d1\u878d\u98a8\u66b4\uff01\u65b0\u53f0\u5e63\u5927\u8cb6\u5f8c\u907a\u75c7\u4e0a\u8eab\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u540d\u5217\u300c\u9ebb\u7169\u5341\u570b\u300d"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_42779\" style=\"width: 610px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"\/\/buzzorange.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/11111.jpg\"><img aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-42779\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-42779 size-full\" src=\"\/\/buzzorange.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/11111.jpg\" alt=\"1111\" width=\"600\" height=\"378\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-42779\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u5df4\u897f\u96f7\u4e9e\u723e\u8cb6\u503c\u592a\u5feb\uff0c\u6709\u4eba\u628a\u73fe\u4efb\u7e3d\u7d71\u8fea\u723e\u746a\u00b7\u7f85\u585e\u592b\u7684\u81c9\u5370\u5728\u7d19\u9214\u4e0a\u9762<\/p><\/div>\n<p>\u5fd8\u4e86\u300c\u8106\u5f31\u4e94\u570b\u300d(Fragile Five) \u5427\uff01\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229\u8fd1\u65e5\u53c8\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u300c\u9ebb\u7169\u5341\u570b\u300d(Troubled Ten)\u3002 \u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u8cb6\u503c\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u7528\u300c\u9ebb\u7169\u5341\u570b\u300d\u4f86\u5f62\u5bb9\u5341\u500b\u56e0\u6b64\u9762\u81e8\u6700\u5927\u98a8\u96aa\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\u8ca8\u5e63\uff1a<span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">\u5357\u975e\u862d\u7279\u3001\u5df4\u897f\u96f7\u4e9e\u723e\u3001\u6cf0\u9296\u3001\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u5143\u3001\u81fa\u7063\u5730\u5340\u8ca8\u5e63\u3001\u667a\u5229\u548c\u54e5\u502b\u6bd4\u4e9e\u6bd4\u7d22\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u76e7\u5e03\u3001\u97d3\u5143\u3001\u79d8\u9b6f\u7d22\u723e\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u5118\u7ba1\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\u5011\u9084\u672a\u66fe\u7528\u904e\u9019\u4e00\u8853\u8a9e\uff0c\u4e0d\u904e\u300c\u9ebb\u7169\u5341\u570b\u300d\u61c9\u8a72\u662f\u5c0d\u5404\u570b\u8ca8\u5e63\u6700\u597d\u7684\u63cf\u8ff0\u3002\u7531\u65bc\u5b58\u5728\u8457\u8cbf\u6613\u5f80\u4f86\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u9019\u4e00\u4e16\u754c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5927\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u589e\u901f\u7684\u653e\u7de9\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u5404\u570b\u8ca8\u5e63\u9023\u5e36\u906d\u6b83\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u64da\u5f6d\u535a\u5831\u5c0e\uff0c\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229\u99d0\u502b\u6566\u5168\u7403\u532f\u7387\u7b56\u7565\u4e3b\u7ba1\u6f22\u65af\u2022\u5fb7\u96f7\u514b\uff08 Hans Redeker\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u53d7\u4e2d\u570b\u653f\u7b56\u6539\u8b8a\u5f71\u97ff\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u90fd\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u6709\u8457\u8f03\u9ad8\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u655e\u53e3\u548c\u7af6\u722d\u3002\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229\u5c0d\u300c\u8106\u5f31\u4e94\u570b\u300d\u7684\u5206\u6790\u662f\u6b63\u78ba\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u300c\u8106\u5f31\u4e94\u570b\u300d\u540d\u55ae\u5728 2013 \u5e74\u88ab\u63d0\u51fa\u5f8c\uff0c\u8868\u73fe\u6700\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u516b\u500b\u767c\u5c55\u4e2d\u570b\u5bb6\u88e1\u5c31\u6709\u56db\u500b\u88ab\u5217\u5165\u4e86\u8a72\u540d\u55ae\u3002\u5df4\u897f\u96f7\u4e9e\u723e\u3001\u571f\u8033\u5176\u91cc\u62c9\u3001\u5357\u975e\u862d\u7279\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u76e7\u6bd4\u548c\u5370\u5c3c\u76fe\u90fd\u53d7\u5230\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u5229\u7387\u8d70\u9ad8\u7684\u885d\u64ca\uff0c\u5404\u570b\u7684\u7d93\u5e38\u5c08\u6848\u8d64\u5b57\u878d\u8cc7\u8b8a\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u8271\u96e3\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u6f22\u65af\u2022\u96f7\u5fb7\u514b\u770b\u4f86\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u4e0d\u8db3\u624d\u662f\u6700\u5927\u7684\u6311\u6230\u3002\u5118\u7ba1\u65e5\u672c\u3001\u6b50\u6d32\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u592e\u884c\u90fd\u5be6\u65bd\u4e86\u5275\u6b77\u53f2\u8a18\u9304\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u523a\u6fc0\u8a08\u756b\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u64da\u570b\u969b\u8ca8\u5e63\u57fa\u91d1\u7d44\u7e54\uff08IMF\uff09\u9810\u6e2c\uff0c<span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">\u4eca\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u901f\u4ecd\u662f 2009 \u5e74\u5f8c\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u589e\u901f\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u4e2d\u570b\u655e\u53e3\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5341\u7a2e\u8ca8\u5e63<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u6f22\u65af\u2022\u96f7\u5fb7\u514b\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u4e0d\u51b7\u4e0d\u71b1\u201d\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5fa9\u8607\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u5c07\u7121\u6cd5\u4f9d\u9760\u51fa\u53e3\u62c9\u52d5\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u3002\u800c\u4e2d\u570b\u7de9\u6162\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u901f\u5c07\u5176\u4ea4\u6613\u5925\u4f34\u570b\u63a8\u5165\u4e86\u56f0\u5883\u3002\u64da\u5f6d\u535a\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6\uff08\u622a\u81f3 6 \u6708 30 \u65e5\uff09\u8cc7\u6599\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u532f\u7387\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229\u6392\u540d\u5168\u7403\u7b2c\u4e8c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6f22\u65af\u2022\u5fb7\u96f7\u514b\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u6709\u4e9b\u570b\u5bb6\u53ca\u5176\u8ca8\u5e63\u540c\u6642\u767b\u4e0a\u4e86\u300c\u8106\u5f31\u4e94\u570b\u300d\u548c\u300c\u9ebb\u7169\u5341\u570b\u300d\u7684\u540d\u55ae\uff0c\u9019\u5305\u62ec\u5357\u975e\u862d\u7279\u548c\u5df4\u897f\u96f7\u4e9e\u723e\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6cf0\u9296\u3001\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u5143\u3001\u81fa\u7063\u5730\u5340\u8ca8\u5e63\u3001\u667a\u5229\u548c\u54e5\u502b\u6bd4\u4e9e\u6bd4\u7d22\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u76e7\u5e03\u3001\u97d3\u5143\u3001\u79d8\u9b6f\u7d22\u723e\u4e5f<span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">\u53d7\u5230\u4e86\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u901f\u4e0b\u6ed1\u7684\u5f71\u97ff<\/span>\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u64da\u5f6d\u535a\u8cc7\u6599\u986f\u793a\uff0c<span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">\u4e2d\u570b\u662f\u300c\u9ebb\u7169\u5341\u570b\u300d\u540d\u55ae\u4e2d\u5927\u591a\u6578\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u6700\u5927\u51fa\u53e3\u76ee\u7684\u570b<\/span>\u30022014 \u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u5360\u5230\u5357\u975e\u51fa\u53e3\u7684 37%\uff0c\u5360\u97d3\u570b\u51fa\u53e3\u7684 30%\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u5168\u7403\u5f8c\u679c<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u5275\u4e0b\u4e86\u81ea 1994 \u5e74\u4f86\u6700\u5927\u5e45\u5ea6\u7684\u8cb6\u503c\uff0c\u5f15\u767c\u5168\u7403\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u9707\u76ea\u548c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u7684\u6050\u614c\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\u8a8d\u70ba\u4e2d\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u4f01\u5716\u5229\u7528\u8f03\u4f4e\u7684\u532f\u7387\uff0c\u4f86\u63d0\u632f 20 \u591a\u5e74\u4f86\u6700\u840e\u9761\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c<span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">\u53d7\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u8cb6\u503c\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u8207\u4e2d\u570b\u5b58\u5728\u51fa\u53e3\u7af6\u722d\u95dc\u4fc2\u7684\u4e9e\u6d32\u570b\u5bb6\u8ca8\u5e63\u8d70\u5f31\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u767c\u5c55\u4e2d\u570b\u5bb6\u80a1\u5e02\u9032\u5165\u718a\u5e02\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u64da\u8ffd\u8e64\u4e3b\u8981\u65b0\u8208\u5e02\u5834\u8ca8\u5e63\u7684\u5f6d\u535a\u6307\u6578\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u53d7\u5230\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u901f\u653e\u7de9\u548c\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u50f9\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u65b0\u8208\u5e02\u5834\u8ca8\u5e63\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u632b 0.95%\uff0c\u8dcc\u81f3\u6b77\u53f2\u65b0\u4f4e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5b8f\u5229\u8cc7\u7522\u7ba1\u7406\u516c\u53f8\uff08Manulife Asset Management\uff09\u99d0\u502b\u6566\u56fa\u5b9a\u6536\u76ca\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u514b\u88e1\u65af\u2022\u67e5\u666e\u66fc\uff08Chris Chapman\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u8cb6\u503c\u5f15\u767c\u5916\u754c\u5c0d\u65b0\u8208\u5e02\u5834\u5916\u532f\u4f30\u503c\u7684\u64d4\u6182\u3002\u7531\u65bc\u98a8\u96aa\u88dc\u511f\u767c\u751f\u4e86\u6539\u8b8a\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u6211\u5011\u5df2\u7d93\u6e1b\u5c11\u4e86\u6240\u6301\u6709\u7684\u65b0\u8208\u5e02\u5834\u5009\u4f4d\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u5c07\u7e7c\u7e8c\u5bc6\u5207\u95dc\u6ce8\u65b0\u8208\u5e02\u5834\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u514b\u88e1\u65af\u2022\u67e5\u666e\u66fc\u6240\u5728\u7684\u5b8f\u5229\u8cc7\u7522\u7ba1\u7406\u516c\u53f8\u7ba1\u7406\u8457 30.2 \u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8cc7\u7522\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u75db\u82e6\u7684\u904e\u6e21\u671f<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u5118\u7ba1\u4eba\u6c11\u8cb6\u503c\u5f15\u767c\u5e02\u5834\u9707\u52d5\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u4f9d\u820a\u8a8d\u70ba\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u5c07\u6703\u5805\u6301<span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">\u6309\u539f\u8a08\u5283\u9032\u884c\u4e5d\u5e74\u4f86\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u8feb\u4f7f\u8cc7\u672c\u6d41\u51fa\u65b0\u8208\u5e02\u5834\u3002<\/span>\u671f\u8ca8\u5408\u7d04\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u592e\u884c\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u70ba 75%\u3002\u82b1\u65d7\u96c6\u5718\uff08Citigroup Inc.\uff09G10 \u5916\u532f\u7b56\u7565\u5168\u7403\u4e3b\u7ba1\u53f2\u8482\u82ac\u2022\u82f1\u683c\u862d\u5fb3\uff08Steven Englander\uff09\u5728\u5f6d\u535a\u96fb\u8996\u81fa\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u65b0\u8208\u5e02\u5834\u8ca8\u5e63\u6210\u70ba\u5f37\u52e2\u8cb7\u5165\u8ca8\u5e63\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u81f3\u5c11\u9084\u8981\u518d\u7d93\u6b77\u4e00\u6bb5\u75db\u82e6\u7684\u6642\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6f22\u65af\u2022\u5fb7\u96f7\u514b\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u70ba\u4e86\u63d0\u632f\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u548c\u626d\u8f49\u65b0\u8208\u5e02\u5834\u80a1\u5e02\u7684\u66b4\u8dcc\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u9700\u8981\u5be6\u65bd\u4e00\u652c\u5b50\u8ca1\u653f\u8a08\u756b\uff0c\u4e0d\u904e\u8a08\u756b\u662f\u5426\u80fd\u5920\u6210\u578b\u9084\u662f\u672a\u77e5\u6578\u3002\u73fe\u5728\u6700\u64d4\u5fc3\u7684\u5c31\u662f\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u7121\u6cd5\u6e21\u904e\u96e3\u95dc\uff0c\u4e14\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u9084\u6703\u7e7c\u7e8c\u75b2\u8edf\u3002\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u5c07\u6703\u5bc6\u5207\u95dc\u6ce8\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u8cc7\u6599\uff0c\u4e26\u76f8\u61c9\u5730\u9032\u884c\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\uff08\u672c\u6587\u7531\u5408\u4f5c\u5a92\u9ad4<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"\/\/www.guancha.cn\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u89c0\u5bdf\u8005<\/a><\/span>\u6388\u6b0a\u8f49\u8f09\uff0c\u539f\u6587\u6a19\u984c\uff1a<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"\/\/www.guancha.cn\/economy\/2015_08_17_330927.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u7e7c\u300c\u8106\u5f31\u4e94\u570b\u300d\u5f8c \u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229\u63d0\u51fa\u300c\u9ebb\u7169\u5341\u570b\u300d<\/a>\uff0c<\/span>\u672a\u7d93\u6388\u6b0a\u7981\u6b62\u8f49\u8f09\uff09<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>\u5ef6\u4f38\u95b1\u8b80\uff1a<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"\/\/buzzorange.com\/2015\/08\/12\/numismatics\/\">\u56de\u61c9\u300a\u9023\u570b\u4e2d\u751f\u90fd\u770b\u5f97\u61c2\u7684\u300c\u8ca8\u5e63\u5b78\u300d\u300b<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"\/\/buzzorange.com\/2015\/08\/14\/usd-depreciation\/\">\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u8ca8\u5e63\u6230\u722d\uff1f\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u5728\u8cb6\u503c\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u4e5f\u5728\u300c\u6084\u6084\u300d\u4e0b\u8dcc<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"\/\/buzzorange.com\/2015\/08\/13\/a-better-monetary-system\/\">\u8ca8\u5e63\u65b0\u986f\u5b78\u300b\u4e3b\u6b0a\u8ca8\u5e63\u80fd\u5e6b\u5fd9\u5b88\u4f4f\u8377\u5305\uff0c\u907f\u958b\u91d1\u878d\u6ce1\u6cab\u5371\u6a5f\u55ce\uff1f<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u5fd8\u4e86\u300c\u8106\u5f31\u4e94\u570b\u300d(Fragile Five) \u5427\uff01\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229\u8fd1\u65e5\u53c8\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u300c\u9ebb\u7169\u5341\u570b\u300d(Troubled Ten)\u3002 \u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u8cb6\u503c\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u7528\u300c\u9ebb\u7169\u5341\u570b\u300d\u4f86\u5f62\u5bb9\u5341\u500b\u56e0\u6b64\u9762\u81e8\u6700\u5927\u98a8\u96aa\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\u8ca8\u5e63\uff1a\u5357\u975e\u862d\u7279[&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":116,"featured_media":43590,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[525,5117],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15065"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/116"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15065"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15065\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/43590"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15065"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15065"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15065"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}