{"id":14246,"date":"2015-12-03T11:09:31","date_gmt":"2015-12-03T03:09:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2015\/12\/03\/the-prediction-for-2016\/"},"modified":"2015-12-03T11:09:31","modified_gmt":"2015-12-03T03:09:31","slug":"the-prediction-for-2016","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2015\/12\/03\/the-prediction-for-2016\/","title":{"rendered":"2016 \u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u5927\u9810\u8a00\uff1a\u9019\u5c07\u662f\u5145\u6eff\u9a5a\u5687\u7684\u4e00\u5e74"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"\/\/buzzorange.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/b11.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-49772\" src=\"\/\/buzzorange.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/b11.jpg\" alt=\"b1\" width=\"700\" height=\"382\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u6587 \/ \u4eca\u5468\u520a\u6574\u7406<\/p>\n<p>\u52d5\u76ea\uff0c\u6050\u5c07\u52a0\u5287\u3002\u9019\u662f\u9762\u5c0d 2016 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\u5e74\u4f86\u7684\u9996\u5ea6\u5347\u606f\u3002\u4e0d\u5c11\u8072\u97f3\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5347\u606f\u50c5\u6703\u4ee5\u5fae\u5e45\u3001\u7de9\u6b65\u7684\u7bc0\u594f\u9032\u884c\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u8afe\u8c9d\u723e\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u734e\u5f97\u4e3b\u5e2d\u52d2\uff08Robert Shiller\uff09\u63a5\u53d7\u672c\u520a\u5c08\u8a2a\u6642\u4e5f\u8aaa\uff1a\u300c\u6b77\u53f2\u4e0a\u5f9e\u672a\u767c\u751f\u904e\u96f6\u5229\u7387\u9019\u9ebc\u4e45\u7684\u72c0\u6cc1\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4e5f\u6c92\u4eba\u80fd\u9810\u6599\uff0c\u4e00\u65e6\u5347\u606f\u6703\u767c\u751f\u4ec0\u9ebc\u4e8b\uff01\u300d\u5371\u6a5f\u767c\u751f\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\uff0c\u7d55\u5c0d\u5b58\u5728\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u6700\u8106\u5f31\u6838\u5fc3\uff1a\u65b0\u8208\u5e02\u5834<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u4ee5\u539f\u6cb9\u8f38\u51fa\u5927\u570b\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u660e\u5e74\u5c55\u671b\u6050\u6015\u9084\u662f\u5f88\u96e3\u6a02\u89c0\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u5728\u65bc\uff1a\u4f0a\u6717\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4eca\u5e74 7 \u6708\uff0c\u53c3\u8207\u4f0a\u6717\u6838\u5b50\u554f\u984c\u8ac7\u5224\u7684 6 \u570b\u6b63\u5f0f\u5354\u8b70\uff0c\u5c07\u89e3\u9664\u5c0d\u4f0a\u6717\u5c07\u8fd1 10 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6.56\uff05\uff0c\u5c0d\u6bd4\u5176\u4ed6\u5927\u570b\uff0c\u901f\u5ea6\u4e0d\u7b97\u6162\uff0c\u4f46\u8f03\u5f80\u5e74\u5927\u5e45\u653e\u7de9\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u9435\u7684\u4e8b\u5be6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u300c\u4e2d\u570b\u6210\u9577\u6703\u653e\u6162\uff0c\u4f46\u61c9\u4e0d\u81f3\u65bc\u786c\u8457\u9678\u3002\u300d\u5bcc\u90a6\u91d1\u63a7\u7e3d\u7d93\u7814\u7a76\u8cc7\u6df1\u5354\u7406\u7f85\u744b\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u6c11\u9593\u6d88\u8cbb\u8f49\u8da8\u71b1\u7d61\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u653f\u5e9c\u63a8\u51fa\u6db5\u84cb 7 \u6210\u65b0\u8eca\u6b3e\u7684\u6e1b\u7a05\u65b9\u6848\uff0c10 \u6708\u65b0\u8eca\u92b7\u552e\u4e00\u53e3\u6c23\u6bd4\u53bb\u5e74\u6210\u9577 13\uff05\uff0c\u6574\u9ad4\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u5167\u9700\u529b\u9053\u61c9\u80fd\u6490\u4f4f\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8eab\u70ba\u4e16\u754c\u7b2c 2 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\/><\/a><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u6700\u6232\u5287\u6539\u9769\uff1a\u5b89\u500d\u7d93\u6fdf<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u76f8\u8f03\u65bc\u4ecd\u6709\u653f\u7b56\u7a7a\u9593\u7684\u4e2d\u570b\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u8655\u5883\u4f3c\u4e4e\u66f4\u52a0\u56f0\u96e3\u3002\u5b98\u65b9\u6578\u64da\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u7b2c 2\u3001\u7b2c 3 \u5b63\uff0c\u65e5\u672c GDP \u8f03\u53bb\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u8870\u9000 0.7\u30010.8 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Shirakawa\uff09\u8aaa\u3002\u767d\u5ddd\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u65e5\u5713\u8cb6\u503c\u3001\u6d88\u8cbb\u7a05\u589e\u81f3\u516b\uff05\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u5bb6\u5ead\u7684\u8cfc\u8cb7\u529b\uff0c\u5df2\u88ab\u8f38\u5165\u6027\u901a\u81a8\uff08\u9032\u53e3\u54c1\u50f9\u683c\u4e0a\u6f32\u5c0e\u81f4\u7684\u901a\u81a8\uff09\u4fb5\u8755\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u6700\u6182\u9b31\u8cb4\u65cf\uff1a\u6b50\u5143\u5730\u5340<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff08ECB\uff09\u6253\u7b97\u5168\u529b\u4e00\u8a66\uff0c\u64f4\u5927 QE \u7bc4\u570d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>12 \u6708 3 \u65e5\uff0c\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u96c6\u6703\u8a0e\u8ad6\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7e3d\u88c1\u5fb7\u62c9\u5409\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u63a8\u51fa\u6bcf\u6708\u4e0a\u770b 750 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\u9ede\uff0c\u9019\u500b\u6307\u6578\uff0c\u5e7e\u4e4e\u5c31\u662f\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u6c34\u6e96\uff1b\u63db\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u9ad8\u76db\u8b49\u5238\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u672a\u4f86\u4e00\u5e74\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u80a1\u5e02\u300c\u4e0d\u6703\u6f32\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9ad8\u76db\u9810\u4f30\uff0c\u300c\u7576\u5347\u606f\u8da8\u52e2\u78ba\u7acb\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u5fc5\u7136\u964d\u4f4e\u3002\u300d\u56e0\u6b64\u5373\u4f7f\u5347\u606f\u4ee3\u8868\u4f01\u696d\u76c8\u9918\u6709\u5411\u4e0a\u6210\u9577\u6a5f\u6703\uff0c\u4f46\u80a1\u50f9\u7684\u5411\u4e0a\u7a7a\u9593\u537b\u96e3\u540c\u6b65\u63d0\u5347\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u76f8\u5c0d\u65bc\u5176\u4ed6\u8ad6\u9ede\uff0c\u9ad8\u76db\u5c0d\u65bc\u7f8e\u570b\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u9810\u4f30\u7b97\u662f\u6a02\u89c0\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p>(\u672c\u5716\u6587\u7531<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"\/\/www.businesstoday.com.tw\/masterpage-content\">\u4eca\u5468\u520a<\/a><\/span>\u6388\u6b0a\u520a\u767b\uff0c\u539f\u6587\u6a19\u984c\uff1a<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"\/\/www.businesstoday.com.tw\/article-content-92743-133279\">\u5f31\u7d93\u6fdf\u00a0\u00a0 2016 \u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u5927\u9810\u8a00<\/a><\/span>\uff0c\u672a\u7d93\u5141\u8a31\u8acb\u52ff\u4efb\u610f\u8f49\u8f09)<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>\u5ef6\u4f38\u95b1\u8b80<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"\/\/goo.gl\/Wvfj0T\">\u9676\u51ac\u4e09\u5927\u9810\u8a00 \u660e\u5e74\u7d93\u6fdf\u5f31\u6210\u9577<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"\/\/goo.gl\/BvzFTA\">\u9078\u8209\u5230\u4e86\uff0c\u5c0f\u5fc3\u300c\u5bcc\u4eba\u4e82\u653f\u300d\uff01<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" 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