{"id":12697,"date":"2016-06-02T15:07:56","date_gmt":"2016-06-02T07:07:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2016\/06\/02\/china-us-japan-asia\/"},"modified":"2016-06-02T15:07:56","modified_gmt":"2016-06-02T07:07:56","slug":"china-us-japan-asia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2016\/06\/02\/china-us-japan-asia\/","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u770b\u7834\u4e2d\u570b\u6050\u5687\u624b\u6cd5\u3011\u65e5\u672c\u7126\u616e\u3001\u7f8e\u570b\u62b5\u6297\u662f\u6771\u4e9e\u5c40\u52e2\u4e2d\uff0c\u8b93\u53f0\u7063\u4e0d\u88ab\u7d71\u4e00\u7684\u95dc\u9375"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u6587\uff0f<a href=\"http:\/\/www.insight-post.tw\/editor-pick\/asia-pacific-strategy\/20160508\/14919\">\u6797\u4f2f\u96cd<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u65b0\u3001\u820a\u653f\u5e9c\u5373\u5c07\u65bc 520 \u4ea4\u63a5\u7684\u524d\u5915\uff0c\u6d77\u5cfd\u5169\u5cb8\u4e0a\u982d\u4f3c\u4e4e\u88ab\u4e00\u7247\u70cf\u96f2\u6240\u58df\u7f69\uff0c\u4e00\u9023\u4e32\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u5f9e\u300c\u9678\u5ba2\u4f86\u53f0\u6e1b\u91cf\u300d\u3001\u300c\u7518\u6bd4\u4e9e\u5efa\u4ea4\u300d\u3001\u300c\u80af\u4e9e\u4e8b\u4ef6\u300d\uff0c\u5230\u300c\u4e2d\u570b\u5c0d\u53f0\u52d5\u6b66\u6c11\u610f\u8abf\u67e5\u300d\uff0c\u4f86\u81ea\u4e2d\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u5a01\u5687\u6027\u624b\u6cd5\u4e0d\u65b7\uff0c\u4e00\u5207\u770b\u4f3c\u7bad\u5728\u5f26\u4e0a\uff0c\u4ee4\u4eba\u8ff7\u60d1\u3002(\u8acb\u53c3\u95b1:<a href=\"http:\/\/www.insight-post.tw\/%E5%B7%A8%E9%BE%8D%E8%88%87%E5%B7%A8%E6%B5%AA%E7%BE%8E%E4%B8%AD%E8%A7%92%E5%8A%9B\/20151108\/13967\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u6230\u7565\u4e0b\u7684\u99ac\u7fd2\u6703<\/a>)<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5982\u70ba\u5439\u6563\u5169\u5cb8\u8ff7\u9727\uff0c\u53ea\u89c0\u5bdf\u5169\u5cb8\u7684\u884c\u70ba\u4e92\u52d5\uff0c\u5fc5\u5b9a\u6703\u6709\u6240\u504f\u8aa4\u3002\u56e0\u70ba\u6240\u6709\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u90fd\u4e26\u975e\u5b58\u5728\u65bc\u771f\u7a7a\u7684\u74b0\u5883\u4e4b\u4e2d\uff0c\u5b83\u5fc5\u5b9a\u5b58\u5728\u65bc\u4e00\u500b\u8907\u96dc\u7684\u6574\u9ad4\u74b0\u5883\u3002<strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">\u5169\u5cb8\u95dc\u4fc2\uff0c\u5b83\u771f\u771f\u5be6\u5be6\u7684\u9472\u5d4c\u65bc\u6771\u4e9e\u72ac\u7259\u4ea4\u932f\u7684\u6b0a\u529b\u7d50\u69cb\u4e4b\u4e2d\u3002\u60f3\u8981\u4e86\u89e3\u65b0\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u5169\u5cb8\u95dc\u4fc2\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u52e2\u5fc5\u9700\u8981\u7ad9\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u5236\u9ad8\u9ede\uff0c\u5f9e\u6771\u4e9e\u7684\u6b0a\u529b\u7d50\u69cb\uff0c\u4f86\u4fef\u77b0\u5169\u5cb8\u3001\u9810\u6e2c\u5169\u5cb8\u3002\u4ee5\u6b64\u8996\u91ce\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u624d\u6709\u8fa6\u6cd5\u7406\u89e3\u672a\u4f86\u5169\u5cb8\u95dc\u4fc2\u7684\u8b8a\u8207\u4e0d\u8b8a\u3002<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><b>\u6311\u6230\u8005\u7684\u8208\u8d77\uff1a\u5d1b\u8d77\u7684\u4e2d\u570b<\/b><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u904e\u53bb\u5e7e\u5e74\uff0c\u6771\u4e9e\u5728\u7d93\u6fdf\u5c64\u6b21\u8207\u5b89\u5168\u5c64\u6b21\u4e0a\uff0c\u6709\u4e86\u5e7e\u500b\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u767c\u5c55\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u5728<span style=\"color: #ff6600;\"><strong>\u7d93\u6fdf\u5c64\u6b21<\/strong><\/span>\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u5728\u7e3d\u9ad4 GDP \u6b63\u5f0f\u6210\u70ba\u5168\u7403\u7b2c\u4e8c\u3001\u6771\u5357\u4e9e\u570b\u5bb6\u5354\u6703\u8207\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u8cbf\u6613\u5340\u958b\u59cb\u904b\u4f5c (\u4ea6\u5373\u6771\u5354 10+1)\u3001\u4e2d\u570b\u8207\u5357\u97d3\u7684\u81ea\u7531\u8cbf\u6613\u5340\u4e5f\u6b63\u5f0f\u901a\u904e\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u6210\u7acb\u4e86\u4e9e\u6d32\u57fa\u790e\u8a2d\u65bd\u6295\u8cc7\u9280\u884c (Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, AIIB)\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u5728<strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">\u5b89\u5168\u5c64\u6b21<\/span><\/strong>\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u76df\u53cb\u5317\u97d3\u64c1\u6709\u4e86\u6838\u5b50\u6b66\u5668\u3001\u4e2d\u570b\u8ecd\u4e8b\u529b\u91cf\u6301\u7e8c\u5feb\u901f\u589e\u9577\u3001\u300c\u4e0a\u6d77\u5408\u4f5c\u7d44\u7e54\u300d\u9996\u6b21\u64f4\u54e1\u4e26\u63a5\u7d0d\u4e86\u5370\u5ea6\u8207\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u3001\u4e2d\u570b\u9010\u6f38\u52a0\u5927\u5728\u5357\u6d77\u5730\u5340\u7684\u5be6\u969b\u63a7\u5236\u6b0a\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u8207\u65e5\u672c\u722d\u596a\u91e3\u9b5a\u53f0\u4e3b\u6b0a\uff0c\u800c\u9019\u4e00\u5207\u90fd\u767c\u751f\u5728\u904e\u53bb 5 \u5e74\u4e4b\u5167\u3002\u4e0a\u8ff0\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u8207\u5b89\u5168\u4e8b\u8b49\u90fd\u660e\u78ba\u7684\u6307\u5411\u540c\u4e00\u500b\u767c\u5c55\uff1a\u4e2d\u570b\u5728\u5340\u57df\u4e2d\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u3001\u8ecd\u4e8b\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\u4e0d\u65b7\u52a0\u5927\u3002\u800c\u5176\u4e2d\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u860a\u542b\u662f\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u6b63\u5728\u9010\u6b65\u7684\u6539\u8b8a\u6771\u4e9e\u7684\u6b0a\u529b\u7d50\u69cb\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6620\u8b49\u4e2d\u570b\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u6b0a\u529b\u7d50\u69cb\u6539\u8b8a\uff0c<span style=\"color: #ff6600;\"><strong>\u6700\u660e\u986f\u7684\u6307\u6a19\u4fbf\u662f\u4e2d\u570b\u9130\u8fd1\u570b\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u6539\u8b8a<\/strong><\/span>\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9762\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u5be6\u529b\u6210\u9577\uff0c\u8207\u4e2d\u570b\u6709\u9818\u571f\u722d\u8b70\u3001\u6b77\u53f2\u8b70\u984c\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\u70ba\u4e86\u8981\u5feb\u901f\u56de\u61c9\u8a72\u5c40\u52e2\u767c\u5c55\uff0c\u4fbf\u958b\u59cb\u5c0b\u6c42\u5c0d\u5916\u7d50\u76df\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u9130\u570b\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u83f2\u5f8b\u8cd3\u3001\u8d8a\u5357\u3001\u65e5\u672c\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\uff0c\u5728\u904e\u53bb\u6578\u5e74\u5167\uff0c\u5206\u5225\u958b\u59cb\u5c0b\u6c42\u5340\u57df\u5916\u570b\u5bb6\u4e0d\u540c\u5c64\u6b21\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u4fdd\u8b49\u6216\u5408\u4f5c\u3002\u65e5\u672c\u7a4d\u6975\u7684\u6253\u9020\u6c11\u4e3b\u548c\u5e73\u4e4b\u947d (\u8acb\u53c3\u8003: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.insight-post.tw\/asia-pacific\/20140708\/8341\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u6771\u4e9e\u5b89\u5168\u65b0\u5c40\uff1a\u5378\u8cac\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u8207\u91cd\u7372\u96c6\u9ad4\u81ea\u885b\u6b0a\u7684\u65e5\u672c<\/a>)\u3001\u83f2\u5f8b\u8cd3\u5247\u662f\u81ea\u51b7\u6230\u7d50\u675f\u5f8c\u91cd\u65b0\u6b61\u8fce\u7f8e\u8ecd\u9032\u99d0\u524d\u51b7\u6230\u57fa\u5730\u3001\u8d8a\u5357\u5247\u662f\u5927\u5e45\u5ea6\u7684\u6539\u5584\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u95dc\u4fc2\uff0c\u800c\u5370\u5ea6\u5247\u662f\u5de6\u53f3\u9022\u6e90\uff0c\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u5927\u5e45\u5ea6\u6539\u5584\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u95dc\u4fc2\u3001\u4e8c\u65b9\u9762\u7a4d\u6975\u7684\u8207\u65e5\u672c\u3001\u7f8e\u570b\u3001\u6fb3\u6d32\uff0c\u958b\u5c55\u66f4\u5bc6\u5207\u7684\u8ecd\u4e8b\u5408\u4f5c\u95dc\u4fc2\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5c0d\u65bc\u6771\u4e9e\u6b0a\u529b\u7d50\u69cb\u8abf\u6574\u5c0d\u4e16\u754c\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u555f\u793a\uff0c\u6050\u6015\u4e0d\u662f\u5c0d\u9130\u570b\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5c0d\u65bc\u9738\u6b0a\u7684\u6311\u6230\u3002<strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">\u4e2d\u570b\u5d1b\u8d77\u7684\u5be6\u529b\u8207\u983b\u7e41\u7684\u64f4\u5f35\u6d3b\u52d5\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u5f7c\u5cb8\u7684\u9738\u6b0a\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u6df1\u611f\u8292\u523a\u5728\u80cc\u3002<\/span><\/strong>\u4e2d\u570b\u4ee5\u4e00\u500b\u6311\u6230\u8005\u4e4b\u59ff\uff0c\u91cd\u65b0\u559a\u9192\u4e86\u6c7a\u7b56\u8005\u5c0d\u6b0a\u529b\u4e4b\u9593\u6d88\u9577\u7684\u671d\u5915\u4e4b\u722d\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u66f4\u4ee5\u4e00\u500b\u4fee\u6b63\u4e3b\u7fa9\u8005\u7684\u89d2\u8272\uff0c\u63d0\u9192\u5404\u570b\u884c\u70ba\u8005\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4e0d\u61c9\u662f\u570b\u969b\u9ad4\u7cfb\u88e1\u552f\u4e00\u7684\u6c7a\u5b9a\u8005\u3002<span style=\"color: #ff6600;\"><strong>\u7121\u7591\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u9738\u6b0a\u5730\u4f4d\u81ea\u9032\u5165\u5230\u5f8c\u51b7\u6230\u6642\u671f\uff0c\u53d7\u5230\u56b4\u91cd\u7684\u6311\u6230\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-66125\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Shenzhen_huizhanzhongxin-815x554.jpg\" alt=\"Shenzhen_huizhanzhongxin-815x554\" width=\"600\" height=\"408\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>\u5d1b\u8d77\u7684\u4e2d\u570b \u5716\u7247\u4f86\u6e90\uff1ahttps:\/\/goo.gl\/oe5OwK<\/strong><\/div>\n<ul>\n<li><b>\u7dad\u8b77\u9738\u6b0a\u7684\u7f8e\u570b<\/b><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u5728\u6311\u6230\u8005\u51fa\u73fe\u5f8c\uff0c<strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">\u7f8e\u570b\u9738\u6b0a\u986f\u7136\u53ea\u6709\u5169\u500b\u9078\u64c7\uff1a\u5c0d\u6297 (Balancing)\u3001\u7d8f\u9756 (\u6216\u8b6f\u59d1\u606f\uff0cAppeasement)<\/span><\/strong>\u3002\u897f\u65b9\u6b77\u53f2\u4e0a\uff0c\u5c0d\u7d8f\u9756\u6709\u5176\u6158\u75db\u7684\u6b77\u53f2\u6559\u8a13\u3002\u8a72\u6559\u8a13\u51fa\u73fe\u5728\u4e8c\u6230\u524d\u5915\uff0c\u82f1\u570b\u9996\u76f8\u5f35\u4f2f\u502b (Chamberlin) \u70ba\u4e86\u7372\u5f97\u548c\u5e73\u800c\u4e0d\u8a08\u4e00\u5207\u4ee3\u50f9\u7684\u5bb9\u5fcd\u300c\u7d0d\u7cb9\u5fb7\u570b\u300d\u64f4\u5f35\u884c\u70ba\u3002\u5f35\u4f2f\u502b\u7684\u7d8f\u9756\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u8b93\u300c\u4fee\u6b63\u4e3b\u7fa9\u8005\u300d<sup><a id=\"identifier_0_14919\" class=\"footnote-link footnote-identifier-link\" title=\" \u610f\u6b32\u6539\u8b8a\u570b\u969b\u73fe\u72c0\u8005\" href=\"http:\/\/www.insight-post.tw\/editor-pick\/asia-pacific-strategy\/20160508\/14919#footnote_0_14919\">1<\/a><\/sup>\u76ca\u52a0\u9858\u610f\u6311\u6230\u73fe\u72c0\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u88ab\u6311\u6230\u570b\u7684\u570b\u529b\u4e0d\u65b7\u88ab\u524a\u5f31\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-66126\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/ChamberlainMunichAgreement.jpg\" alt=\"ChamberlainMunichAgreement\" width=\"600\" height=\"514\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>\u4e8c\u6230\u521d\u671f\u82f1\u570b\u9996\u76f8\uff0d\u5f35\u4f2f\u502b \u5716\u7247\u4f86\u6e90\uff1ahttps:\/\/goo.gl\/UIW5Ge<\/strong><\/div>\n<p>\u76f8\u53cd\u800c\u7d8f\u9756\uff0c\u552f\u6709\u5c0d\u6297\uff0c\u624d\u80fd\u7e7c\u7e8c\u978f\u56fa\u9738\u6b0a\u5730\u4f4d\u3002\u9019\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u5728\u4e8c\u6230\u7d50\u675f\u5f8c\uff0c\u51b7\u6230\u671f\u9593\u88e1\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u4e00\u500b\u75b2\u52de\u7121\u6bd4\u7684\u9738\u6b0a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u60f3\u8981\u7dad\u8b77\u81ea\u8eab\u6b0a\u529b\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ea\u80fd\u75b2\u65bc\u5954\u547d\u7684\u53bb\u9762\u5c0d\u65b0\u8208\u7684\u6311\u6230\u8005\u3002(Kagan, 2014) \u5c0d\u65bc\u6253\u7834\u7f8e\u570b\u5efa\u570b\u5143\u52f3\u5ff5\u8332\u5728\u8332\u7684\u4e0d\u4ecb\u5165\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5c0d\u6b0a\u529b\u7684\u5805\u6301\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u8b8a\u6210\u4e86\u65b0\u7684\u5bbf\u547d\uff0c\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u9738\u6b0a\u7684\u5bbf\u547d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u986f\u800c\u6613\u898b\u7684\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u9019\u5e7e\u5e74\u7684\u8868\u73fe\uff0c\u537b\u4e26\u975e\u4e00\u500b\u9738\u6b0a\u8005\u8a72\u6709\u7684\u8868\u73fe\u3002\u6b50\u5df4\u99ac\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u4e0a\u7684\u904e\u65bc\u4fdd\u5b88\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u7f8e\u570b\u5728\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u3001\u6558\u5229\u4e9e\u3001\u5357\u6d77\u554f\u984c\u983b\u983b\u5931\u5229\u3002<strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">\u7f8e\u570b\u6c11\u4e3b\u3001\u5171\u548c\u5169\u9ee8\u7686\u8a93\u8a00\u5c0b\u6c42\u4e00\u500b\u66f4\u80fd\u7a69\u56fa\u7f8e\u570b\u9738\u6b0a\u5730\u4f4d\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5e0c\u62c9\u854a\u3001\u5ddd\u666e\u3001\u514b\u9b6f\u8332\u7686\u7136\u3002\u4e0d\u8ad6\u6c11\u4e3b\u3001\u5171\u548c\u5169\u9ee8\u54ea\u9ee8\u7372\u5f97\u52dd\u9078\uff0c\u4e0b\u4e00\u4efb\u7f8e\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u52e2\u5fc5\u5c07\u6703\u978f\u56fa\u5176\u9738\u6b0a\u5730\u4f4d\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u9019\u5c0d\u65bc\u53f0\u7063\uff0c\u6709\u4ec0\u9ebc\u555f\u793a\uff1f<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\"><strong>\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\uff0c\u5411\u4f86\u8207\u5927\u570b\u7684\u6b0a\u529b\u722d\u596a\u6709\u95dc\u3002<\/strong><\/span>\u570b\u5171\u5167\u6230\u671f\u9593\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u675c\u9b6f\u9580\u66fe\u63d0\u51fa\u300c\u5875\u57c3\u843d\u5b9a\u8aaa\u300d\u3002\u7576\u6642\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5b98\u65b9\u5c0d\u65bc\u570b\u5171\u5167\u6230\u7684\u614b\u5ea6\u662f\uff0c\u300c\u4e00\u5207\u7b49\u5875\u57c3\u843d\u5b9a\u81ea\u6709\u5206\u66c9\u300d\u3002\u63db\u53e5\u8a71\u8aaa\uff0c\u6557\u4ea1\u7684\u570b\u6c11\u653f\u5e9c\uff0c\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u5229\u76ca\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u6e96\u5099\u4ea4\u6d89\u7684\u5c0d\u8c61\u662f\u570b\u5171\u5167\u6230\u7684\u52dd\u5229\u8005\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u97d3\u6230\u4e00\u7206\u767c\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u5171\u7522\u9ee8\u7684\u300c\u6297\u7f8e\u63f4\u671d\u300d\u5927\u65d7\u4e00\u625b\uff0c\u4e2d\u5171\u8ecd\u968a\u7ffb\u904e\u9577\u767d\u5c71\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u624d\u5982\u5922\u521d\u9192\u822c\u7684\u5283\u4e0b\u53cd\u5171\u9663\u7dda\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u81ea\u6b64\u6210\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u5354\u9632\u5c0d\u8c61\uff0c\u300a\u4e2d\u7f8e\u9632\u79a6\u5354\u5b9a\u300b\u4e5f\u5728 1954 \u5e74\u8a95\u751f\u3002\u9019\u5176\u4e2d\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u860a\u542b\u4fbf\u662f\uff1a\u53f0\u7063\u5177\u5099\u5c0d\u6297\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u6230\u7565\u50f9\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u6311\u6230\u8005\u8208\u8d77\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5982\u679c\u8981\u7e7c\u7e8c\u978f\u56fa\u5176\u9738\u4e3b\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u81f3\u5c11\u8981\u5805\u6301\u5176\u81ea 1979 \u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\u7b26\u5408\u5404\u65b9\u5229\u76ca\u7684\u8cfd\u5c40\u7d50\u679c\uff1a\u300c\u7dad\u6301\u73fe\u72c0\u300d\u3002\u9019\u4f7f\u5f97\u5728\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u5169\u5cb8\u95dc\u4fc2\u4e2d\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7dad\u8b77\u81fa\u6d77\u73fe\u72c0\u7684\u57fa\u8abf\u52e2\u5fc5\u52a0\u5f37\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><b>\u65e5\u672c\u7684\u7126\u616e<\/b><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u65e5\u672c\u7684\u7126\u616e\u4e0d\u50c5\u662f\u4f86\u81ea\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u5d1b\u8d77\uff0c\u66f4\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u904e\u53bb\u5e7e\u5e74\u7684\u4fdd\u5b88\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u65e5\u672c\u653f\u5e9c\u7a4d\u6975\u7684\u806f\u7d61\u6fb3\u6d32\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u3001\u83f2\u5f8b\u8cd3\uff0c\u8981\u6c42\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u660e\u8a00\u300c\u7f8e\u65e5\u5b89\u4fdd\u300d\u7bc4\u570d\u53ca\u65bc\u91e3\u9b5a\u53f0\u3001\u4fee\u6539\u300c\u96c6\u9ad4\u81ea\u885b\u6b0a\u300d\uff0c\u4fee\u6539\u300c\u6b66\u5668\u51fa\u53e3\u4e09\u539f\u5247\u300d\u3002\u65e5\u672c\u653f\u5e9c\u4e00\u9023\u4e32\u7684\u52d5\u4f5c\uff0c\u4e0d\u5916\u4e4e\u662f\u5c0b\u6c42\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u63aa\u65bd\u4f86\u8b93\u65e5\u672c\u7372\u5f97\u66f4\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u5730\u4f4d\u3002\u6211\u5011\u66f4\u7121\u6cd5\u5168\u7136\u6392\u9664\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u56e0\u70ba\u5176\u5b89\u5168\u4e0a\u7684\u8003\u91cf\uff0c\u5c0b\u6c42\u8207\u53f0\u7063\u66f4\u7dca\u5bc6\u7684\u5408\u4f5c\u95dc\u4fc2\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u5e7e\u5e74\u524d\u50b3\u51fa\uff0c\u5b89\u500d\u9996\u76f8\u7684\u80de\u5f1f\uff0c\u5cb8\u4fe1\u592b\u610f\u6b32\u63a8\u52d5\u65e5\u672c\u7248\u7684\u53f0\u7063\u95dc\u4fc2\u6cd5\uff0c\u4fbf\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u4f8b\u8b49\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">\u65e5\u672c\u5b89\u5168\u7126\u616e\u4e0b\u7684\u53f0\u65e5\u7684\u5408\u4f5c\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u4ee5\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6a23\u7684\u5f62\u5f0f\u51fa\u73fe\uff1f\u82e5\u4ee5\u654f\u611f\u7a0b\u5ea6\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u53f0\u65e5\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u8cbf\u6613\u5354\u5b9a\u8f03\u70ba\u4e0d\u654f\u611f\uff0c\u96d9\u65b9\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u300c\u4e16\u754c\u8cbf\u6613\u7d44\u7e54\u300d(World Trade Organization) \u7684\u67b6\u69cb\u4e0b\uff0c\u4ee5\u4e0d\u6d89\u53ca\u4e3b\u6b0a\u8a8d\u5b9a\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u63a8\u52d5\u66f4\u7a4d\u6975\u7684\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u4fbf\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u52a0\u5f37\u96d9\u65b9\u95dc\u4fc2\u7684\u7acb\u5373\u6027\u9078\u9805\u3002<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u77ed\u671f\u4e4b\u5167\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u6587\u5b98\u7684\u4fdd\u5b88\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u53f0\u65e5\u4e4b\u9593\u8981\u51fa\u73fe\u98db\u8e8d\u6027\u7684\u6210\u9577\uff0c\u6050\u6015\u4e0d\u6613\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u65e5\u672c\u6587\u5b98\u7684\u4fdd\u5b88\u5916\uff0c\u6cc1\u65e5\u672c\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u66f4\u5fc5\u9808\u8003\u91cf\u5230\u7f8e\u570b\u76df\u90a6\u7684\u7acb\u5834\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c<strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">\u4e00\u500b\u66f4\u52a0\u7dca\u5bc6\u7684\u53f0\u65e5\u95dc\u4fc2\uff0c\u662f\u4e2d\u570b\u5a01\u8105\u4e0b\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u5c0b\u6c42\u66f4\u52a0\u5b89\u5168\u5730\u4f4d\u7684\u5408\u7406\u8868\u73fe\u3002<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-66127 aligncenter\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Nobuo_Kishi_CTBT_Regional_Conference_2014.jpg\" alt=\"Nobuo_Kishi_CTBT_Regional_Conference_2014\" width=\"600\" height=\"418\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>\u65e5\u672c\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u5bb6\uff0d\u5cb8\u4fe1\u592b \u5716\u7247\u4f86\u6e90\uff1ahttps:\/\/goo.gl\/eTTZs3<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><b>\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u672a\u4f86<\/b><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u8ddd\u4eca\u5169\u5e74\u524d\uff0c\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u5927\u5b78\u7684\u570b\u969b\u95dc\u4fc2\u6559\u6388\u7c73\u723e\u601d\u6d77\u9ed8 (John Mearsheimer) \u505a\u4e86\u4e00\u500b\u60b2\u89c0\u7684\u9810\u8a00\u3002\u7c73\u723e\u65af\u6d77\u9ed8\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u5728\u4e2d\u570b\u5f37\u5927\u7684\u8ecd\u7d93\u5be6\u529b\u4e0b\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u7d42\u7a76\u53ea\u80fd\u8d70\u4e0a\u7d71\u4e00\u4e00\u9014\u3002\u4f5c\u70ba\u4e00\u500b\u7d14\u7136\u7684\u73fe\u5be6\u4e3b\u7fa9\u8005\uff0c\u7c73\u723e\u65af\u6d77\u9ed8\u7684\u8003\u91cf\uff0c\u6709\u5176\u908f\u8f2f\u5b58\u5728\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c<span style=\"color: #ff6600;\"><strong>\u6211\u5011\u540c\u6a23\u4e0d\u80fd\u5ffd\u7565\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u9738\u6b0a\u7684\u6c7a\u5fc3\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u5b89\u5168\u5229\u76ca\u7684\u7126\u616e\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u90fd\u5c07\u662f\u672a\u4f86\u6771\u4e9e\u74b0\u5883\u7684\u8b8a\u9805\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u63db\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u7c73\u723e\u65af\u6d77\u9ed8\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u8207\u300c\u53f0\u7063\u8aaa\u518d\u898b\u300d\u7684\u7406\u7531\u662f\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u5f37\u5927\uff0c\u800c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u65e2\u6709\u9738\u6b0a\u5fc5\u9808\u653e\u68c4\u67d0\u4e9b\u5229\u76ca\uff0c\u5728\u6771\u4e9e\u5c31\u662f\u53f0\u7063\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c<strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">\u672c\u6587\u7684\u89c0\u9ede\u6b63\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u5f37\u5927\uff0c\u5c0e\u81f4\u5728\u5411\u300c\u53f0\u7063\u8aaa\u518d\u898b\u524d\u300d\uff0c\u5fc5\u9808\u5148\u554f\u904e\u7f8e\u570b\u7dad\u8b77\u9738\u6b0a\u7684\u610f\u5fd7\uff0c\u8207\u65e5\u672c\u5c0d\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u7591\u616e\u3002\u800c\u5f9e\u76ee\u524d\u770b\u4f86\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u5728\u672a\u4f86 20 \u5e74\u5167\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u7e3d\u9ad4\u7d93\u6fdf\u5be6\u529b\u548c\u8ecd\u4e8b\u529b\u91cf\u90fd\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u4fc3\u6210\u6b64\u7d50\u679c\u3002<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-66128\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/John-J.Mear-sheimer.png\" alt=\"John-J.Mear-sheimer\" width=\"600\" height=\"372\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>\u570b\u969b\u95dc\u4fc2\u6559\u6388\u7c73\u723e\u601d\u6d77\u9ed8 \u5716\u7247\u4f86\u6e90\uff1ahttps:\/\/goo.gl\/Zlfp8b<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c<strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u672a\u4f86\u4e0d\u53ea\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u7f8e\u3001\u65e5\u5169\u570b\uff0c\u66f4\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u53f0\u7063\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u7684\u6c7a\u5fc3<\/span><\/strong>\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5373\u4fbf\u7f8e\u570b\u8207\u65e5\u672c\u6709\u610f\u9858\u7dad\u8b77\u5176\u81ea\u8eab\u5728\u81fa\u6d77\u7684\u5229\u76ca\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u53f0\u7063\u6c7a\u7b56\u8005\u6c92\u6709\u6c7a\u5fc3\uff0c\u7f8e\u65e5\u5c07\u6c92\u6709\u8a98\u56e0\u5728\u627f\u53d7\u906d\u53f0\u7063\u80cc\u53db\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u4e0b\u4ecb\u5165\u53f0\u7063\u3002\u5c0d\u65bc\u53f0\u7063\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u9019\u986f\u7136\u4e5f\u4e0d\u662f\u500b\u5bb9\u6613\u4e0b\u7684\u6c7a\u5b9a\u30021971 \u5e74\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u5c3c\u514b\u68ee (Nixon) \u62cb\u51fa\u7684\u300c\u5c3c\u514b\u68ee\u9707\u64bc\u300d(Nixon Shock)\uff0c\u7247\u9762\u7684\u6539\u8b8a\u5c0d\u83ef\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u4e2d\u83ef\u6c11\u570b\u5c0d\u65bc\u5916\u63f4\u7684\u4ecb\u5165\uff0c\u59cb\u7d42\u4e5f\u62b1\u6301\u8457\u61f7\u7591\u7684\u614b\u5ea6\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4e09\u65b9\u540c\u6642\u90fd\u5c55\u73fe\u5584\u610f\u8207\u5e73\u8861\u7684\u6c7a\u5fc3\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u300c\u7dad\u6301\u73fe\u72c0\u300d\u7684\u8cfd\u5c40\u5747\u8861\u5c07\u7e7c\u7e8c\u7dad\u6301\uff0c\u4e0d\u5411\u4e2d\u65b9\u5feb\u901f\u50be\u659c\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\"><strong>\u672a\u4f86 20 \u5e74\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u53f0\u7f8e\u65e5\u53ef\u4ee5\u7e7c\u7e8c\u7dad\u6301\u9019\u7a2e\u529b\u91cf\u512a\u52e2\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11\u662f\u5747\u8861\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc 20 \u5e74\u5f8c\u7684\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u73fe\u72c0\u8ddf\u4eca\u5929\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u73fe\u72c0\u5c07\u4e0d\u6703\u6709\u592a\u591a\u5340\u5225\uff0c\u800c\u5982\u679c\u65b0\u653f\u5e9c\u6216\u672a\u4f86\u653f\u5e9c\u60f3\u8981\u78ba\u4fdd\u9019\u6a23\u7684\u672a\u4f86\uff0c\u4fbf\u5fc5\u9808\u529b\u5716\u78ba\u4fdd\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u5be6\u529b\u80fd\u6301\u7e8c\u9472\u5d4c\u5728\u7f8e\u65e5\u540c\u76df\u5167\u3002\u5982\u679c\u53f0\u7f8e\u65e5\u806f\u76df\u7f3a\u4e4f\u6b64\u9ed8\u5951\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u53f0\u7063\u672a\u4f86\u5c07\u975e\u5e38\u582a\u6182\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>2016 \u5e74\u8207 1950 \u5e74\u7684\u570b\u969b\u5c40\u52e2\uff0c\u6709\u5176\u985e\u4f3c\u4e4b\u8655\u3002\u5169\u500b\u5e74\u4ee3\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u90fd\u540c\u6a23\u9762\u5c0d\u4e2d\u83ef\u4eba\u6c11\u5171\u548c\u570b\u7684\u6311\u6230\u3002\u5373\u4fbf\u5982\u4eca\u4e2d\u5171\u4e26\u4e0d\u8f15\u555f\u6230\u7aef\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u4eca\u65e5\u7684\u4e2d\u5171\u537b\u66f4\u52a0\u5f37\u5927\u300260 \u9918\u5e74\u524d\u7684\u97d3\u6230\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u6210\u70ba\u4e86\u53cd\u5171\u9663\u7dda\u4e00\u54e1\u3002\u51b7\u6230\u7d50\u675f\u4e8c\u5341\u9918\u5e74\u5f8c\u7684\u4eca\u5929\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u4f3c\u4e4e\u770b\u5230\u4e86\u5927\u570b\u653f\u6cbb\u518d\u6b21\u4e0a\u6f14\u6b0a\u529b\u9b25\u722d\u6232\u78bc\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u53c8\u518d\u6b21\u6d6e\u73fe\u3002\u6b77\u53f2\u662f\u5426\u53c8\u6703\u518d\u6b21\u91cd\u6f14\uff1f\u6291\u6216\u662f\u300c\u68c4\u53f0\u8ad6\u300d\u518d\u6b21\u91cd\u73fe\uff1f\u6b64\u6b21\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u5df2\u9000\u7121\u53ef\u9000\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u53c3\u8003\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a<br \/>\nKagan, R. (2014). \u201c<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/newrepublic.com\/article\/117859\/allure-normalcy-what-america-still-owes-world\">Superpowers Don\u2019t Get to Retire: What our tired country still owes the world<\/a><\/span>.\u201d Retrieved April 28, 2016,<br \/>\n\u6797\u4f2f\u96cd (2015)\uff0c\u3008<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.insight-post.tw\/editor-pick\/asia-pacific-strategy\/20151108\/13967\">\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u6230\u7565\u4e0b\u7684\u99ac\u7fd2\u6703<\/a><\/span>\u3009\u3002<br \/>\n\u6797\u4f2f\u96cd (2014)\uff0c\u3008<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.insight-post.tw\/editor-pick\/asia-pacific-strategy\/20140708\/8341\">\u6771\u4e9e\u5b89\u5168\u65b0\u5c40\uff1a\u5378\u8cac\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u8207\u91cd\u7372\u96c6\u9ad4\u81ea\u885b\u6b0a\u7684\u65e5\u672c<\/a><\/span>\u3009\u3002<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<ol class=\"footnotes\">\n<li id=\"footnote_0_14919\" class=\"footnote\">\n<blockquote><p>\u610f\u6b32\u6539\u8b8a\u570b\u969b\u73fe\u72c0\u8005 [<a class=\"footnote-link footnote-back-link\" href=\"http:\/\/www.insight-post.tw\/editor-pick\/asia-pacific-strategy\/20160508\/14919#identifier_0_14919\">\u21a9<\/a>]<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>\uff08\u672c\u6587\u7531<a href=\"http:\/\/www.insight-post.tw\/\">\u6d1e\u898b\u570b\u969b\u4e8b\u52d9\u8a55\u8ad6\u7db2<\/a>\u6388\u6b0a\u8f49\u8f09\uff0c\u539f\u6587\u6a19\u984c\uff1a<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.insight-post.tw\/editor-pick\/asia-pacific-strategy\/20160508\/14919\">\u5c0f\u570b\u5927\u9053\u7406\uff1a\u53f0\u7063\u5982\u4f55\u9762\u5c0d\u8b8a\u52d5\u7684\u6771\u4e9e\u68cb\u5c40<\/a><\/span>\u3002\u672a\u7d93\u5141\u8a31\uff0c\u4e0d\u5f97\u8f49\u8f09\u3002\u9996\u5716\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.lwinst.com\/index.php?m=content&amp;c=index&amp;a=show&amp;catid=29&amp;id=7476\">\u77ad\u671b\u667a\u5eab<\/a><\/span>\uff09<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>\u5ef6\u4f38\u95b1\u8b80\uff1a<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><a href=\"\/2015\/04\/14\/tw-need-to-define-our-own-strategic-position\/\"><span class=\"s1\">\u53f0\u7063\u82e5\u767c\u5c55\u51fa\u81ea\u8eab\u7684\u6230\u7565\u4f4d\u7f6e\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u4e00\u5e36\u4e00\u8def\u3001\u4e9e\u6295\u884c\u6839\u672c\u4e0d\u6210\u5a01\u8105<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><a href=\"\/2015\/04\/08\/the-real-reason-why-china-organized-aiib\/\"><span class=\"s1\">\u4e2d\u570b\u7c4c\u7d44\u4e9e\u6295\u884c\u7684\u771f\u6b63\u539f\u56e0\uff1a\u7d44\u4e00\u500b\u9322\u838a\u8981\u8ddf\u7f8e\u570b\u62da\u4e86\uff01<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u6587\uff0f\u6797\u4f2f\u96cd \u5728\u65b0\u3001\u820a\u653f\u5e9c\u5373\u5c07\u65bc 520 \u4ea4\u63a5\u7684\u524d\u5915\uff0c\u6d77\u5cfd\u5169\u5cb8\u4e0a\u982d\u4f3c\u4e4e\u88ab\u4e00\u7247\u70cf\u96f2\u6240\u58df\u7f69\uff0c\u4e00\u9023\u4e32\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u5f9e\u300c\u9678\u5ba2\u4f86\u53f0\u6e1b\u91cf\u300d\u3001\u300c\u7518\u6bd4\u4e9e\u5efa\u4ea4\u300d\u3001\u300c\u80af\u4e9e\u4e8b\u4ef6\u300d\uff0c\u5230\u300c\u4e2d\u570b\u5c0d\u53f0\u52d5\u6b66\u6c11\u610f\u8abf\u67e5\u300d\uff0c\u4f86\u81ea\u4e2d\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u5a01\u5687\u6027\u624b[&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":153,"featured_media":31897,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[43,577,29005],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12697"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/153"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12697"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12697\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/31897"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12697"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12697"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12697"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}