{"id":1219,"date":"2020-11-10T12:21:00","date_gmt":"2020-11-10T04:21:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2020\/11\/10\/michele-flournoy\/"},"modified":"2021-09-01T20:44:23","modified_gmt":"2021-09-01T12:44:23","slug":"michele-flournoy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/citiorange\/2020\/11\/10\/michele-flournoy\/","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u5979\u66fe\u8207\u8521\u82f1\u6587\u5408\u7167\u904e\u3011\u7f8e\u570b\u9632\u90e8\u9577\u300c\u71b1\u9580\u4eba\u9078\u300d\uff1a\u7f8e\u8ecd\u9808\u63d0\u5347\u5be6\u529b\uff0c72 \u5c0f\u6642\u5167\u6bb2\u6ec5\u5357\u6d77\u4e2d\u570b\u6d77\u8ecd"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uff08\u672c\u6587\u7d93\u5408\u4f5c\u5925\u4f34 \u4e2d\u592e\u793e \u6388\u6b0a\u8f49\u8f09\uff0c\u4e26\u540c\u610f BuzzOrange \u7de8\u5beb\u5c0e\u8b80\u8207\u4fee\u8a02\u6a19\u984c\uff0c\u539f\u6587\u6a19\u984c\u70ba\u3008<a href=\"https:\/\/project.cna.com.tw\/20201005-USelection\/202011090355\">\u7f8e\u9632\u9577\u71b1\u9580\u4eba\u9078\uff1a\u7f8e\u8ecd\u9808\u80fd72\u5c0f\u6642\u6bb2\u6ec5\u5357\u6d77\u4e2d\u570b\u6d77\u8ecd<\/a>\u3009\u3002\u9996\u5716\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cna.com.tw\/news\/acn\/202011080186.aspx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u4e2d\u592e\u793e<\/a>\u00a0\uff0c\u7531\u6c11\u9032\u9ee8\u63d0\u4f9b\u3002\uff09<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u3010\u6211\u5011\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6311\u9078\u9019\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u3011<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u570b\u65b0\u4efb\u7684\u570b\u9632\u90e8\u9577\u6703\u662f\u8ab0\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u56e0\u73fe\u4efb\u7f8e\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u5ddd\u666e\u7a0d\u65e9\u7a81\u5728\u63a8\u7279\u4e0a<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/realDonaldTrump\/status\/1325859406349799424\">\u8868\u793a<\/a>\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u9632\u90e8\u9577\u827e\u65af\u57f9\uff08Mark Esper\uff09\u5df2\u88ab\u64a4\u8077\uff0c\u5c07\u7531\u570b\u5bb6\u53cd\u6050\u4e2d\u5fc3\u4e3b\u4efb\u7c73\u52d2\uff08Christopher C. Miller\uff09\u64d4\u4efb\u570b\u9632\u90e8\u4ee3\u7406\u90e8\u9577\uff0c\u6b64\u4e8b\u4e0d\u50c5\u88ab\u5916\u754c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cna.com.tw\/news\/firstnews\/202011100008.aspx\">\u89e3\u8b80<\/a>\u6210\u79cb\u5f8c\u7b97\u8cec\uff0c\u66f4\u8b93\u5169\u4eba\u4e0d\u5408\u7684\u6d88\u606f\u7372\u5f97\u8b49\u5be6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u540c\u6a23\u5f15\u8d77\u8a0e\u8ad6\u7684\u9084\u6709\u88ab\u8996\u70ba\u62dc\u767b\u65b0\u5718\u968a\u4e2d\u570b\u9632\u90e8\u9577\u4eba\u9078\uff1a\u4f5b\u6d1b\u8afe\u4f0a\uff08Michele Flournoy\uff09\u3002\u4f5b\u6d1b\u8afe\u4f0a\u5230\u5e95\u662f\u8ab0\uff0c\u8207\u53f0\u7063\u53c8\u6709\u4ec0\u9ebc\u95dc\u4fc2\uff1f\u4e00\u8d77\u4f86\u770b\u3002\uff08\u8cac\u4efb\u7de8\u8f2f\uff1a\u5f90\u5b50\u6377\uff09<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<div id=\"attachment_213762\" style=\"width: 1090px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-213762\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-213762 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/FotoJet-7-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1080\" height=\"567\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-213762\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u7e3d\u7d71\u8521\u82f1\u6587\uff08\u5de6\uff09\u66fe\u57282015\u5e7411\u670816\u65e5\u6703\u898b\u524d\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u9632\u90e8\u6b21\u9577\u4f5b\u6d1b\u8afe\u4f0a\uff08\u53f3\uff09\u5e36\u9818\u7684\u300c\u65b0\u7f8e\u570b\u5b89\u5168\u4e2d\u5fc3\u300d\u8a2a\u5718\u3002\u5716\u7247\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cna.com.tw\/news\/acn\/202011080186.aspx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u4e2d\u592e\u793e<\/a>\uff0c\u7531\u6c11\u9032\u9ee8\u63d0\u4f9b\u3002<\/p><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.com\/news\/2020\/11\/07\/joe-biden-cabinet-picks-possible-choices-433431\">\u88ab\u9ede\u540d<\/a>\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\u65b0\u7e3d\u7d71\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u64d4\u4efb\u570b\u9632\u90e8\u9577\u7684\u4f5b\u6d1b\u8afe\u4f0a\u65e5\u524d\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u82e5\u80fd\u8b93\u5916\u754c\u76f8\u4fe1\uff0c\u7f8e\u8ecd\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u5728 72 \u5c0f\u6642\u5167\u64ca\u6c89\u5357\u6d77\u6240\u6709\u4e2d\u570b\u8266\u8247\u548c\u5546\u8239\uff0c\u5247\u53ef\u80fd\u6709\u6548\u904f\u963b\u5171\u8ecd\u4fb5\u72af\u53f0\u7063\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u7f8e\u570b\u65b0\u570b\u9632\u90e8\u9577\u7684\u71b1\u9580\u4eba\u9078\uff1a\u7f8e\u8ecd\u80fd 72 \u5c0f\u6642\u6bb2\u6ec5\u5357\u6d77\u4e2d\u570b\u6d77\u8ecd\uff0c\u5687\u963b\u4e2d\u5171\u4fb5\u53f0<\/h2>\n<p>\u4f5b\u6d1b\u8afe\u4f0a\uff08Michele Flournoy\uff09\u66fe\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\u524d\u7e3d\u7d71\u6b50\u5df4\u99ac\uff08Barack Obama\uff09\u4efb\u5167\u64d4\u4efb\u570b\u9632\u90e8\u653f\u7b56\u6b21\u9577\u3002\u5979\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\u77e5\u540d\u96d9\u6708\u520a\u300a\u5916\u4ea4\u4e8b\u52d9\u300b\uff08<a href=\"https:\/\/www.foreignaffairs.com\/\">Foreign Affairs<\/a>\uff096 \u6708\u865f\u767c\u8868\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u6a19\u984c\u662f\u300c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.foreignaffairs.com\/articles\/united-states\/2020-06-18\/how-prevent-war-asia\">\u5982\u4f55\u907f\u514d\u4e9e\u6d32\u958b\u6230\uff1a\u7f8e\u570b\u5a01\u61fe\u80fd\u529b\u6e1b\u5f31\u4ee4\u4e2d\u570b\u8aa4\u5224\u60c5\u52e2\u98a8\u96aa\u5347\u9ad8<\/a>\u300d\uff08How to Prevent a War in Asia\uff1aThe Erosion of American Deterrence Raises the Risk of Chinese Miscalculation\uff09\uff0c\u5167\u5bb9\u63d0\u53ca\u91cd\u5efa\u7f8e\u570b\u5728\u897f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u8ecd\u4e8b\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6587\u4e2d\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u4eca\u65e5\u4e2d\u570b\u81ea\u4fe1\u5fc3\u548c\u8ecd\u4e8b\u80fd\u529b\u6108\u4f86\u6108\u5f37\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5a01\u61fe\u52e2\u529b\u5247\u65e5\u76ca\u524a\u5f31\uff0c\u7a2e\u7a2e\u56e0\u7d20\u76f8\u52a0\u53ea\u6703\u5e36\u4f86\u5371\u96aa\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u4e9e\u6d32\u7206\u767c\u6230\u722d\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u6bd4\u904e\u53bb\u6578\u5341\u5e74\u9ad8\uff0c\u4e14\u6301\u7e8c\u5347\u6eab\u4e2d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6709\u9451\u65bc\u6b64\uff0c\u4f5b\u6d1b\u8afe\u4f0a\u6307\u51fa\uff1a<span style=\"color: #800000\"><strong>\u300c\u5982\u679c\u7f8e\u8ecd\u80fd\u767c\u51fa\u5a01\u5687\uff0c\u4ee4\u5916\u754c\u76f8\u4fe1\u4ed6\u5011\u80fd\u5728 72 \u5c0f\u6642\u5167\u64ca\u6c89\u6240\u6709\u5728\u5357\u6d77\u51fa\u6c92\u7684\u4e2d\u570b\u8ecd\u8266\u3001\u6f5b\u8247\u548c\u5546\u8239\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u8b93\u4e2d\u570b\u9818\u5c0e\u4eba\u5728\u63a1\u53d6\u4e00\u4e9b\u884c\u52d5\u524d\u4e09\u601d\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u5c01\u9396\u6216\u5165\u4fb5\u53f0\u7063\u300d\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u4f5b\u6d1b\u8afe\u4f0a\u66fe\u5728 2015 \u5e74 11 \u6708\u5e36\u9818\u300c\u65b0\u7f8e\u570b\u5b89\u5168\u4e2d\u5fc3\u300d\uff08CNAS\uff09\u4ee3\u8868\u5718\u8a2a\u53f0\uff0c\u62dc\u6703\u7576\u6642\u7e3d\u7d71\u5019\u9078\u4eba\u8521\u82f1\u6587\uff0c\u5169\u4eba\u91dd\u5c0d\u53f0\u7f8e\u95dc\u4fc2\u3001\u5169\u5cb8\u60c5\u52e2\u53ca\u570b\u9632\u5b89\u5168\u8b70\u984c\u9032\u884c\u6df1\u5ea6\u4ea4\u6d41\u3002<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_213763\" style=\"width: 1034px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-213763\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-213763 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/2000x1428_0863934993328.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"731\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-213763\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u5716\u70ba\u7f8e\u8ecd\u7b2c\u4e03\u8266\u968a\u99ac\u4f83\u865f 10 \u6708 9 \u65e5\u5728\u5357\u6d77\u9032\u884c\u9632\u885b\u6f14\u7fd2\u3002\u5716\u7247\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a\u53d6\u81ea <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/7thfleet\">U.S. 7th Fleet<\/a> \u81c9\u66f8\u7c89\u5c08\u3002<\/p><\/div>\n<h2>\u4e0d\u53ea\u570b\u9632\u90e8\u9577\uff01\u62dc\u767b\u5718\u968a\u4e2d\u9084\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u633a\u53f0\u5927\u5c07<\/h2>\n<p>\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u4e2d\u83ef\u5168\u7403\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7814\u7a76\u54e1\u5b8b\u6587\u7b1b\u9810\u671f\u53ef\u80fd\u56de\u934b\u4efb\u8077\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u524d\u52a9\u7406\u570b\u52d9\u537f\u5eb7\u8c9d\u723e\uff08Kurt Campbell\uff09\uff0c10 \u6708 28 \u65e5\u63a5\u53d7\u82f1\u570b\u667a\u5eab\u300c\u653f\u7b56\u4ea4\u6d41\u300d\uff08Policy Exchange\uff09\u8a2a\u554f\u6642\u4e5f<a href=\"https:\/\/policyexchange.org.uk\/pxevents\/the-future-of-the-indo-pacific\/\">\u8868\u793a<\/a>\uff0c<span style=\"color: #800000\"><strong>\u7f8e\u570b\u9762\u81e8\u8207\u4e2d\u570b\u300c\u4e00\u6bb5\u6df1\u5207\u7684\u6230\u7565\u7af6\u722d\u6642\u671f\u300d\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5167\u90e8\u5fc5\u9808\u4ee5\u5718\u7d50\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u4f86\u6d88\u5f2d\u5916\u754c\u8a8d\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u52e2\u529b\u6b63\u5728\u300c\u731b\u70c8\u4e0b\u6ed1\u300d\u7684\u5370\u8c61<\/strong><\/span>\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5eb7\u8c9d\u723e\u5728\u6b50\u5df4\u99ac\u653f\u5e9c\u6642\u4ee3\u64d4\u4efb\u6771\u4e9e\u66a8\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u4e8b\u52d9\u52a9\u7406\u570b\u52d9\u537f\u3002\u8521\u82f1\u6587 2015 \u5e74\u7f8e\u570b\u884c\u8d74\u83ef\u5e9c\u667a\u5eab\u300c\u6230\u7565\u66a8\u570b\u969b\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\u300d\uff08CSIS\uff09\u767c\u8868\u516c\u958b\u6f14\u8aaa\u6642\uff0c\u4fbf\u662f\u7531\u5eb7\u8c9d\u723e\u8ca0\u8cac\u4e3b\u6301\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5b8b\u6587\u7b1b\u4eca\u5929\u5728\u570b\u7b56\u7814\u7a76\u9662\u8209\u884c\u7684\u300c\u7f8e\u570b\u5927\u9078\u5f8c\u7684\u570b\u969b\u65b0\u5c40\u300d\u5ea7\u8ac7\u6703\u4e0a\u8868\u793a\uff0c<span style=\"color: #800000\"><strong>\u4f5b\u6d1b\u8afe\u4f0a\u548c\u5eb7\u8c9d\u723e\u66fe\u5728\u4efb\u5167\u63a8\u52d5\u8a31\u591a\u5c0d\u4e9e\u592a\u5730\u5340\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u5021\u8b70\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u300c\u7a7a\u6d77\u4e00\u9ad4\u5354\u540c\u4f5c\u6230\u300d\uff08Air-Sea Battle Concept\uff09\u3001\u5ba3\u793a\u5357\u6d77\u60c5\u52e2\u6d89\u53ca\u7f8e\u570b\u91cd\u8981\u570b\u5bb6\u5229\u76ca\u7b49<\/strong><\/span>\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u81c9\u66f8\u6ed1\u4e0d\u5230\u300a\u5831\u6a58\u300b\u7cbe\u9078\u597d\u6587\uff1f\u5feb\u628a\u6211\u5011\u52a0\u5165\u4f60\u7684\u00a0<a class=\"c-link\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/bo_buzzorange\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Telegram \u597d\u53cb<\/a>\u00a0\u00a0\uff01<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h2>\u63a8\u85a6\u95b1\u8b80<\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/2020\/11\/09\/new-taiwan-us-relations\/\">\u3010\u62dc\u767b\u5718\u968a\u4e2d\u6709\u300c\u633a\u53f0\u300d\u5927\u5c07\u3011\u8521\u82f1\u6587 1 \u5999\u62db\u8b93\u300c\u62bc\u5bf6\u8aaa\u300d\u4e0d\u653b\u81ea\u7834\uff01\u845b\u4f86\u5100\uff1a\u62dc\u767b\u6709\u671b\u52a0\u901f FTA \u9032\u5ea6<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/2020\/11\/09\/biden-taiwan-relations\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u62dc\u767b\u6700\u9ad8\u539f\u5247\u662f\u300c\u78ba\u4fdd\u53f0\u7063\u5b89\u5168\u300d\uff0c\u904e\u53bb\u91cd\u9ede\u767c\u8a00\u8868\u614b\u4e00\u6b21\u770b<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/buzzorange.com\/2020\/11\/09\/united-states-armed-forces-in-taiwan\/\">\u3010\u7f8e\u8ecd\u62b5\u53f0\u300c\u6388\u8ab2\u300d\u570b\u8ecd\u3011\u654f\u611f\u6642\u9593\u6062\u5fa9\u300c\u53f0\u7f8e\u8ecd\u4e8b\u4ea4\u6d41\u300d\uff01\u6d77\u8ecd\u53f8\u4ee4\u90e8\u8b49\u5be6\uff1a\u4e0d\u4e88\u8a55\u8ad6<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\uff08\u672c\u6587\u7d93\u5408\u4f5c\u5925\u4f34 \u4e2d\u592e\u793e \u6388\u6b0a\u8f49\u8f09\uff0c\u4e26\u540c\u610f BuzzOrange \u7de8\u5beb\u5c0e\u8b80\u8207\u4fee\u8a02\u6a19\u984c\uff0c\u539f\u6587\u6a19\u984c\u70ba\u3008<a href=\"https:\/\/project.cna.com.tw\/20201005-USelection\/202011090355\">\u7f8e\u9632\u9577\u71b1\u9580\u4eba\u9078\uff1a\u7f8e\u8ecd\u9808\u80fd72\u5c0f\u6642\u6bb2\u6ec5\u5357\u6d77\u4e2d\u570b\u6d77\u8ecd<\/a>\u3009\u3002\u9996\u5716\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cna.com.tw\/news\/acn\/202011080186.aspx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u4e2d\u592e\u793e<\/a>\u00a0\uff0c\u7531\u6c11\u9032\u9ee8\u63d0\u4f9b\u3002\uff09<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uff08\u672c\u6587\u7d93\u5408\u4f5c\u5925\u4f34 \u4e2d\u592e\u793e \u6388\u6b0a\u8f49\u8f09\uff0c\u4e26\u540c\u610f BuzzOrange \u7de8\u5beb\u5c0e\u8b80\u8207\u4fee\u8a02\u6a19\u984c\uff0c\u539f\u6587\u6a19\u984c\u70ba\u3008\u7f8e\u9632\u9577\u71b1\u9580\u4eba\u9078\uff1a\u7f8e\u8ecd\u9808\u80fd72\u5c0f\u6642\u6bb2\u6ec5\u5357\u6d77\u4e2d\u570b\u6d77\u8ecd\u3009\u3002\u9996\u5716\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a\u00a0\u4e2d\u592e\u793e\u00a0\uff0c\u7531\u6c11\u9032\u9ee8\u63d0\u4f9b\u3002\uff09 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